The Most Important Games for the Troy Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Troy Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Troy Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Troy (4‑2) vs LA Monroe (3‑3) |
20 | Troy Wins | 44% | 33% | 15% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 28% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| LA Monroe Wins | 23% | 26% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 4% | <1% | ||
| UL Lafayette (2‑4) vs Southern Miss (4‑2) |
4 | UL Lafayette Wins | 37% | 24% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 28% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 33% | 29% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Texas St. (3‑3) vs Marshall (3‑3) |
1 | Texas St. Wins | 34% | 28% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 34% | 28% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 33% | 29% | 18% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ||