Are the Troy Trojans going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Troy playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Trojans will win the division and play in the Conference Championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Southern Miss | 4i Southern Miss Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Jacksonville St. 42-25 Won Thu, Oct 09 @ Ga. Southern 38-35 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ UL Lafayette 22-10 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs LA Monroe 49-21 Sat, Nov 08 @ Arkansas St. Sat, Nov 15 vs Texas St. Sat, Nov 22 @ South Alabama Sat, Nov 29 vs Troy |
0 | 4 | 49% | 34% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Troy | 4 Troy Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 04 vs South Alabama 31-24 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Texas St. 48-41 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ LA Monroe 37-14 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs UL Lafayette 35-23 Sat, Nov 01 vs Arkansas St. Thu, Nov 13 @ Old Dominion Sat, Nov 22 vs Georgia St. Sat, Nov 29 @ Southern Miss |
0 | 4 | 41% | 42% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Arkansas St. | 3 Arkansas St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ LA Monroe 16-28 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Texas St. 31-30 Won Tue, Oct 14 @ South Alabama 15-14 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs Ga. Southern 34-24 Sat, Nov 01 @ Troy Sat, Nov 08 vs Southern Miss Thu, Nov 20 vs UL Lafayette Sat, Nov 29 @ App. St. |
1 | 4 | 11% | 22% | 36% | 21% | 9% | 2% | <1% |
| LA Monroe | 1 LA Monroe Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ N. Western 7-42 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ C. Carolina 8-23 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Troy 14-37 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Southern Miss 21-49 Sat, Nov 01 vs Old Dominion Sat, Nov 15 vs South Alabama Sat, Nov 22 @ Texas St. Sat, Nov 29 @ UL Lafayette |
3 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 17% | 26% | 23% | 19% | 15% |
| UL Lafayette | 1 UL Lafayette Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Marshall 54-51 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ James Madison 14-24 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Southern Miss 10-22 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Troy 23-35 Sat, Nov 01 @ South Alabama Sat, Nov 08 vs Texas St. Thu, Nov 20 @ Arkansas St. Sat, Nov 29 vs LA Monroe |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 10% | 18% | 22% | 25% | 25% |
| South Alabama | 1 South Alabama Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ North Texas 22-36 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Troy 24-31 Lost Tue, Oct 14 vs Arkansas St. 14-15 Won Thu, Oct 23 @ Georgia St. 38-31 Sat, Nov 01 vs UL Lafayette Sat, Nov 15 @ LA Monroe Sat, Nov 22 vs Southern Miss Sat, Nov 29 @ Texas St. |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 17% | 25% | 27% | 25% |
| Texas St. | 0 Texas St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Arkansas St. 30-31 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs Troy 41-48 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Marshall 37-40 Lost Tue, Oct 28 vs James Madison 20-52 Sat, Nov 08 @ UL Lafayette Sat, Nov 15 @ Southern Miss Sat, Nov 22 vs LA Monroe Sat, Nov 29 vs South Alabama |
4 | 4 | X | X | 2% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 35% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)James Madison | 5 | 0 | 27% |
| (2)Coastal Carolina | 4 | 1 | 13% |
| (3)Marshall | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (4)Old Dominion | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (5)Ga. Southern | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| Elimination | 59% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | South Alabama (2‑6) |
31‑24 (OT) | Home | Sat Oct 4, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Texas St. (3‑5) |
48‑41 (OT) | Away | Sat Oct 11, 8:00 pm |
| 8 | LA Monroe (3‑5) |
37‑14 | Away | Sat Oct 18, 3:00 pm |
| 9 | UL Lafayette (2‑6) |
35‑23 | Home | Sat Oct 25, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Arkansas St. (4‑4) |
Home | Sat Nov 1, 8:00 pm | |
| 12 | Old Dominion (5‑3) |
Away | Thu Nov 13, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Georgia St. (1‑7) |
Home | Sat Nov 22, TBD | |
| 14 | Southern Miss (6‑2) |
Away | Sat Nov 29, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicholls | ‑‑ | 38‑20 | Home | Sat Aug 30, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Clemson (3‑4) |
ACCACC | 16‑27 | Away | Sat Sep 6, 3:30 pm |
| 3 | Memphis (7‑1) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 7‑28 | Home | Sat Sep 13, 12:00 pm |
| 4 | Buffalo (4‑4) |
MACMAC | 21‑17 | Away | Sat Sep 20, 3:30 pm |