The Troy Trojans What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Troy plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 0 | 48% | 50% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 4 | 0 | 41% | 42% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 1 | 24% | 34% | 41% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 48% | 50% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 41% | 42% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 24% | 34% | 41% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Troy beats Arkansas St. |
Worst Case Scenario Arkansas St. beats Troy |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 7 | 1 | 77% | 23% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 6 | 2 | 20% | 67% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 5 | 3 | 1% | 39% | 59% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 4 | 4 | X | 3% | 75% | 22% | <1% | ^ | ^ |