The Troy Trojans What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Troy plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 1 | 28% | 36% | 36% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 4 | 1 | 17% | 31% | 50% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 2 | 8% | 31% | 59% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 22% | 27% | 49% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 17% | 31% | 50% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 14% | 27% | 57% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Southern Miss beats Arkansas St. |
Worst Case Scenario Arkansas St. beats Southern Miss |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 82% | 18% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 6 | 2 | 15% | 60% | 26% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 21% | 77% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 4 | 4 | X | 3% | 85% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ^ |