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Wed Jan 21 5:45 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 20 of 20

Athletic Bilbao Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Athletic Bilbao are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Athletic Bilbao fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Athletic Bilbao Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Athletic Bilbao Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Athletic Bilbao
(2‑3‑2)
vs
Sporting CP
(4‑2‑1)		 99 Athletic Bilbao Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 7% 28% 34% 21% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Sporting CP Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
Marseille
(3‑4)
vs
Club Brugge
(2‑4‑1)		 7 Marseille Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 8% 9% 6% 5% 6% 7% 57%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Club Brugge Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 8% 9% 4% 1% 2% 4% 5% 64%
Real Madrid
(5‑2)
vs
Benfica
(2‑5)		 6 Real Madrid Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 9% 5% 3% 4% 5% 6% 60%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Benfica Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 1% 3% 5% 66%
Atletico Madrid
(4‑2‑1)
vs
Bodo/Glimt
(1‑3‑3)		 6 Atletico Madrid Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 9% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 61%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Bodo/Glimt Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 1% 3% 5% 67%
Chelsea
(4‑2‑1)
vs
Napoli
(2‑3‑2)		 5 Chelsea Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 60%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Napoli Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 8% 6% 3% 2% 4% 6% 66%
Ajax
(2‑5)
vs
Olympiacos
(2‑3‑2)		 5 Ajax Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 8% 9% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 60%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Olympiacos Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 6% 8% 6% 3% 2% 3% 6% 65%
Barcelona
(4‑2‑1)
vs
Copenhagen
(2‑3‑2)		 5 Barcelona Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 9% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Copenhagen Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 1% 3% 5% 67%
Bayern Munich
(6‑1)
vs
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑3‑2)		 5 Bayern Munich Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 9% 9% 4% 2% 4% 6% 5% 60%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
PSV Eindhoven Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 8% 9% 4% 2% 4% 6% 64%
Juventus
(3‑1‑3)
vs
Monaco
(2‑2‑3)		 4 Juventus Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 9% 8% 4% 2% 4% 5% 5% 60%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Monaco Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 9% 8% 3% 2% 4% 6% 64%
Villarreal
(0‑6‑1)
vs
Leverkusen
(2‑2‑3)		 4 Villarreal Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 9% 6% 3% 2% 4% 5% 4% 59%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Leverkusen Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 6% 9% 6% 3% 3% 5% 6% 63%
Slavia Prague
(0‑4‑3)
vs
Pafos
(1‑3‑3)		 2 Slavia Prague Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Pafos Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 9% 5% 2% 2% 4% 5% 63%
Liverpool
(5‑2)
vs
Qarabag
(3‑3‑1)		 1 Liverpool Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 8% 9% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Qarabag Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 9% 5% 4% 5% 6% 63%
Atalanta
(4‑2‑1)
vs
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(2‑5)		 1 Atalanta Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 9% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 9% 5% 2% 3% 4% 5% 63%
Inter Milan
(4‑3)
vs
Dortmund
(3‑2‑2)		 0 Inter Milan Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 9% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Dortmund Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 7% 9% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Manchester City
(4‑2‑1)
vs
GalatasarayGalatasary
(3‑3‑1)		 0 Manchester City Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 8% 9% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
GalatasarayGalatasary Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 8% 9% 5% 4% 5% 6% 62%
Arsenal
(7‑0)
vs
Kairat
(0‑6‑1)		 0 Arsenal Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Kairat Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Frankfurt
(1‑5‑1)
vs
Tottenham
(4‑1‑2)		 0 Frankfurt Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Tottenham Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Paris SG
(4‑2‑1)
vs
Newcastle
(4‑2‑1)		 0 Paris SG Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
Newcastle Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 8% 5% 2% 3% 5% 6% 62%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round