The Most Important Games for Athletic Bilbao are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Athletic Bilbao fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Athletic Bilbao Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Athletic Bilbao (1‑3‑2) vs Atalanta (4‑1‑1) |
38 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Atalanta Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Kairat (0‑5‑1) vs Club Brugge (1‑4‑1) |
3 | Kairat Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Club Brugge Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 93% | ||
| Bayern Munich (5‑1) vs St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose (2‑4) |
2 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 94% | ||
| Juventus (2‑1‑3) vs Benfica (2‑4) |
2 | Juventus Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Benfica Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 94% | ||
| Newcastle (3‑2‑1) vs PSV Eindhoven (2‑2‑2) |
2 | Newcastle Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Chelsea (3‑2‑1) vs Pafos (1‑2‑3) |
2 | Chelsea Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Pafos Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 94% | ||
| Atletico Madrid (4‑2) vs GalatasarayGalatasary (3‑3) |
1 | Atletico Madrid Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Leverkusen (2‑1‑3) vs Olympiacos (1‑3‑2) |
1 | Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Olympiacos Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 93% | ||
| Barcelona (3‑2‑1) vs Slavia Prague (0‑3‑3) |
1 | Barcelona Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Slavia Prague Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 94% | ||
| Frankfurt (1‑4‑1) vs Qarabag (2‑3‑1) |
1 | Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Qarabag Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 93% | ||
| Real Madrid (4‑2) vs Monaco (2‑1‑3) |
1 | Real Madrid Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Monaco Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Manchester City (4‑1‑1) vs Bodo/Glimt (0‑3‑3) |
1 | Manchester City Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Bodo/Glimt Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 93% | ||
| Napoli (2‑3‑1) vs Copenhagen (2‑3‑1) |
1 | Napoli Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Copenhagen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 93% | ||
| Villarreal (0‑5‑1) vs Ajax (1‑5) |
0 | Villarreal Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Ajax Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 93% | ||
| Liverpool (4‑2) vs Marseille (3‑3) |
0 | Liverpool Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Marseille Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Sporting CP (3‑2‑1) vs Paris SG (4‑1‑1) |
0 | Sporting CP Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 92% | ||
| Tottenham (3‑1‑2) vs Dortmund (3‑1‑2) |
0 | Tottenham Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Dortmund Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 92% | ||
| Inter Milan (4‑2) vs Arsenal (6‑0) |
0 | Inter Milan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 93% | ||