The Most Important Games for Athletic Bilbao are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Athletic Bilbao fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Athletic Bilbao Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Athletic Bilbao (1‑3) vs Slavia Prague (0‑2‑2) |
28 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Slavia Prague Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 96% | ||
| Newcastle (3‑1) vs Marseille (1‑3) |
2 | Newcastle Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Marseille Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 88% | ||
| Real Madrid (3‑1) vs Olympiacos (0‑2‑2) |
1 | Real Madrid Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Olympiacos Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 88% | ||
| Bodo/Glimt (0‑2‑2) vs Juventus (0‑1‑3) |
1 | Bodo/Glimt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Juventus Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 88% | ||
| Dortmund (2‑1‑1) vs Villarreal (0‑3‑1) |
1 | Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 88% | ||
| Atalanta (2‑1‑1) vs Frankfurt (1‑2‑1) |
1 | Atalanta Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Liverpool (3‑1) vs PSV Eindhoven (1‑1‑2) |
1 | Liverpool Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 88% | ||
| Kairat (0‑3‑1) vs Copenhagen (0‑3‑1) |
1 | Kairat Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Copenhagen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 88% | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary (3‑1) vs St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose (1‑3) |
1 | GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Club Brugge (1‑2‑1) vs Sporting CP (2‑1‑1) |
1 | Club Brugge Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Inter Milan (4‑0) vs Atletico Madrid (2‑2) |
0 | Inter Milan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Manchester City (3‑0‑1) vs Leverkusen (1‑1‑2) |
0 | Manchester City Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Leverkusen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Barcelona (2‑1‑1) vs Chelsea (2‑1‑1) |
0 | Barcelona Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Chelsea Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Paris SG (3‑1) vs Tottenham (2‑0‑2) |
0 | Paris SG Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Tottenham Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Arsenal (4‑0) vs Bayern Munich (4‑0) |
0 | Arsenal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Ajax (0‑4) vs Benfica (0‑4) |
0 | Ajax Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Benfica Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Monaco (1‑1‑2) vs Pafos (1‑1‑2) |
0 | Monaco Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Pafos Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Qarabag (2‑1‑1) vs Napoli (1‑2‑1) |
0 | Qarabag Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 87% | ||
| Napoli Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 87% | ||