The Most Important Games for Atletico Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Atletico Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Atletico Madrid Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Atletico Madrid (1‑1) vs Arsenal (2‑0) |
47 | Atletico Madrid Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 10% | ||
| Villarreal (0‑1‑1) vs Manchester City (1‑0‑1) |
3 | Villarreal Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Ajax (0‑2) vs Chelsea (1‑1) |
2 | Ajax Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Chelsea Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 6% | ||
| Copenhagen (0‑1‑1) vs Dortmund (1‑0‑1) |
2 | Copenhagen Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Dortmund Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Benfica (0‑2) vs Newcastle (1‑1) |
2 | Benfica Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Newcastle Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | ||
| Pafos (0‑1‑1) vs Kairat (0‑2) |
1 | Pafos Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Kairat Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 6% | ||
| Club Brugge (1‑1) vs Bayern Munich (2‑0) |
1 | Club Brugge Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao (0‑2) vs Qarabag (2‑0) |
1 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Qarabag Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 6% | ||
| Slavia Prague (0‑1‑1) vs Atalanta (1‑1) |
1 | Slavia Prague Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Atalanta Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Frankfurt (1‑1) vs Liverpool (1‑1) |
1 | Frankfurt Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose (1‑1) vs Inter Milan (2‑0) |
1 | St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Inter Milan Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 5% | ||
| Olympiacos (0‑1‑1) vs Barcelona (1‑1) |
1 | Olympiacos Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 5% | ||
| Monaco (0‑1‑1) vs Tottenham (1‑0‑1) |
1 | Monaco Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Tottenham Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 6% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven (0‑1‑1) vs Napoli (1‑1) |
0 | PSV Eindhoven Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Napoli Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 6% | ||
| Leverkusen (0‑0‑2) vs Paris SG (2‑0) |
0 | Leverkusen Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Bodo/Glimt (0‑0‑2) vs GalatasarayGalatasary (1‑1) |
0 | Bodo/Glimt Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Real Madrid (2‑0) vs Juventus (0‑0‑2) |
0 | Real Madrid Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Juventus Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 6% | ||
| Marseille (1‑1) vs Sporting CP (1‑1) |
0 | Marseille Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 6% | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | ||