The Most Important Games for Atletico Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Atletico Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Atletico Madrid Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Atletico Madrid (4‑2) vs Leverkusen (4‑1‑1) |
64 | Atletico Madrid Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Leverkusen Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bologna (0‑4‑2) vs Dortmund (4‑2) |
6 | Bologna Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Liverpool (6‑0) vs Lille (4‑1‑1) |
4 | Liverpool Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lille Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Feyenoord (3‑2‑1) vs Bayern Munich (4‑2) |
4 | Feyenoord Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Monaco (3‑2‑1) vs Aston Villa (4‑1‑1) |
3 | Monaco Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| RB Leipzig (0‑6) vs Sporting CP (3‑2‑1) |
3 | RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Shakhtar (1‑4‑1) vs Brest (4‑1‑1) |
3 | Shakhtar Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brest Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Club Brugge (3‑2‑1) vs Juventus (3‑1‑2) |
3 | Club Brugge Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Juventus Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Girona (1‑5) vs AC Milan (4‑2) |
3 | Girona Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| AC Milan Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sturm Graz (1‑5) vs Atalanta (3‑1‑2) |
3 | Sturm Graz Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atalanta Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Zagreb (2‑2‑2) vs Arsenal (4‑1‑1) |
2 | Zagreb Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Manchester City (2‑2‑2) vs Paris SG (2‑3‑1) |
1 | Manchester City Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Sparta Prague (1‑4‑1) vs Inter Milan (4‑1‑1) |
1 | Sparta Prague Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Inter Milan Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Slovan (0‑6) vs Stuttgart (2‑3‑1) |
1 | Slovan Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stuttgart Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| RS Belgrade (1‑5) vs PSV Eindhoven (2‑2‑2) |
0 | RS Belgrade Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Celtic (2‑1‑3) vs Young Boys (0‑6) |
0 | Celtic Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Young Boys Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Madrid (3‑3) vs Salzburg (1‑5) |
0 | Real Madrid Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Salzburg Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona (5‑1) vs Benfica (3‑2‑1) |
0 | Barcelona Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Benfica Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||