The Most Important Games for Manchester City are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Manchester City fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Manchester City Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Manchester City (1‑0‑1) vs Villarreal (0‑1‑1) |
44 | Manchester City Wins | 7% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 6% | ||
| Monaco (0‑1‑1) vs Tottenham (1‑0‑1) |
3 | Monaco Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Tottenham Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Olympiacos (0‑1‑1) vs Barcelona (1‑1) |
2 | Olympiacos Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Copenhagen (0‑1‑1) vs Dortmund (1‑0‑1) |
2 | Copenhagen Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Dortmund Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Slavia Prague (0‑1‑1) vs Atalanta (1‑1) |
2 | Slavia Prague Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Atalanta Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose (1‑1) vs Inter Milan (2‑0) |
2 | St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Inter Milan Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Newcastle (1‑1) vs Benfica (0‑2) |
2 | Newcastle Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Benfica Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Paris SG (2‑0) vs Leverkusen (0‑0‑2) |
1 | Paris SG Wins | 3% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Leverkusen Wins | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao (0‑2) vs Qarabag (2‑0) |
1 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Qarabag Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Napoli (1‑1) vs PSV Eindhoven (0‑1‑1) |
1 | Napoli Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | ||
| Ajax (0‑2) vs Chelsea (1‑1) |
1 | Ajax Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Chelsea Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Marseille (1‑1) vs Sporting CP (1‑1) |
1 | Marseille Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Frankfurt (1‑1) vs Liverpool (1‑1) |
1 | Frankfurt Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Kairat (0‑2) vs Pafos (0‑1‑1) |
1 | Kairat Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Pafos Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Bayern Munich (2‑0) vs Club Brugge (1‑1) |
1 | Bayern Munich Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Club Brugge Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Atletico Madrid (1‑1) vs Arsenal (2‑0) |
1 | Atletico Madrid Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Juventus (0‑0‑2) vs Real Madrid (2‑0) |
0 | Juventus Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Real Madrid Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary (1‑1) vs Bodo/Glimt (0‑0‑2) |
0 | GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Bodo/Glimt Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||