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Wed Dec 10 5:15 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 19 of 20

Manchester City Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Manchester City are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Manchester City fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Manchester City Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Manchester City Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Manchester City
(4‑1‑1)

vs
Bodo/Glimt
(0‑3‑3)
34 Manchester City Wins 1% 19% 42% 24% 3% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Bodo/Glimt Wins X <1% <1% 1% 5% 13% 22% 24% 15% 7% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Marseille
(3‑3)

vs
Liverpool
(4‑2)
6 Marseille Wins 1% 13% 27% 19% 8% 10% 9% 6% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Liverpool Wins 1% 11% 27% 16% 5% 9% 10% 8% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
GalatasarayGalatasary
(3‑3)

vs
Atletico Madrid
(4‑2)
5 GalatasarayGalatasary Wins 1% 12% 27% 17% 9% 10% 10% 6% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Atletico Madrid Wins 1% 12% 26% 16% 5% 8% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Monaco
(2‑1‑3)

vs
Real Madrid
(4‑2)
4 Monaco Wins 1% 12% 27% 18% 9% 11% 9% 6% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Real Madrid Wins 1% 11% 26% 16% 6% 10% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Athletic Bilbao
(1‑3‑2)

vs
Atalanta
(4‑1‑1)
4 Athletic Bilbao Wins 1% 13% 27% 18% 8% 11% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Atalanta Wins 1% 12% 27% 16% 6% 9% 10% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Arsenal
(6‑0)

vs
Inter Milan
(4‑2)
3 Arsenal Wins X 11% 28% 18% 8% 11% 9% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Inter Milan Wins 1% 12% 27% 15% 6% 9% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Slavia Prague
(0‑3‑3)

vs
Barcelona
(3‑2‑1)
3 Slavia Prague Wins 1% 12% 27% 17% 7% 10% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Barcelona Wins 1% 12% 26% 17% 6% 9% 9% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Pafos
(1‑2‑3)

vs
Chelsea
(3‑2‑1)
2 Pafos Wins 1% 12% 26% 16% 6% 10% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Chelsea Wins 1% 12% 27% 17% 7% 9% 10% 7% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Paris SG
(4‑1‑1)

vs
Sporting CP
(3‑2‑1)
1 Paris SG Wins <1% 5% 21% 29% 6% 9% 11% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Sporting CP Wins 1% 19% 33% 5% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Tottenham
(3‑1‑2)

vs
Dortmund
(3‑1‑2)
1 Tottenham Wins 1% 12% 27% 17% 7% 10% 9% 7% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Dortmund Wins 1% 12% 26% 16% 6% 9% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(2‑4)

vs
Bayern Munich
(5‑1)
1 St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins 2% 29% 23% 4% 7% 9% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Bayern Munich Wins 1% 10% 27% 18% 7% 10% 9% 7% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Juventus
(2‑1‑3)

vs
Benfica
(2‑4)
0 Juventus Wins 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Benfica Wins 1% 12% 28% 17% 6% 9% 9% 7% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Olympiacos
(1‑3‑2)

vs
Leverkusen
(2‑1‑3)
0 Olympiacos Wins 1% 12% 27% 16% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 3% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Leverkusen Wins 1% 12% 27% 16% 6% 9% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Newcastle
(3‑2‑1)

vs
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑2‑2)
0 Newcastle Wins 1% 12% 26% 17% 7% 10% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
PSV Eindhoven Wins 1% 12% 27% 17% 7% 9% 10% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Frankfurt
(1‑4‑1)

vs
Qarabag
(2‑3‑1)
0 Frankfurt Wins 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Qarabag Wins 1% 11% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Napoli
(2‑3‑1)

vs
Copenhagen
(2‑3‑1)
0 Napoli Wins 1% 12% 27% 16% 6% 9% 10% 7% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Copenhagen Wins 1% 12% 26% 17% 6% 9% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Kairat
(0‑5‑1)

vs
Club Brugge
(1‑4‑1)
0 Kairat Wins 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Club Brugge Wins 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Villarreal
(0‑5‑1)

vs
Ajax
(1‑5)
0 Villarreal Wins 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Ajax Wins 1% 12% 27% 17% 6% 9% 10% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round