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Wed Jan 21 5:45 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 20 of 20

Newcastle Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Newcastle are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Newcastle fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Newcastle Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Newcastle Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Newcastle
(4‑2‑1)

vs
Paris SG
(4‑2‑1)
100 Newcastle Wins X X 4% 31% 47% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Paris SG Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 18% 33% 30% 12% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Bodo/Glimt
(1‑3‑3)

vs
Atletico Madrid
(4‑2‑1)
1 Bodo/Glimt Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 16% 30% 29% 12% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Atletico Madrid Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 16% 29% 30% 12% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Dortmund
(3‑2‑2)

vs
Inter Milan
(4‑3)
1 Dortmund Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 16% 29% 28% 11% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Inter Milan Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 17% 30% 29% 12% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Athletic Bilbao
(2‑3‑2)

vs
Sporting CP
(4‑2‑1)
1 Athletic Bilbao Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 15% 29% 30% 13% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Sporting CP Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 15% 29% 31% 13% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Copenhagen
(2‑3‑2)

vs
Barcelona
(4‑2‑1)
0 Copenhagen Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 16% 28% 27% 12% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Barcelona Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 17% 30% 29% 11% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Monaco
(2‑2‑3)

vs
Juventus
(3‑1‑3)
0 Monaco Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 11% 24% 34% 21% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Juventus Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 11% 24% 34% 21% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Napoli
(2‑3‑2)

vs
Chelsea
(4‑2‑1)
0 Napoli Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 13% 27% 31% 15% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Chelsea Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 14% 28% 33% 15% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(2‑5)

vs
Atalanta
(4‑2‑1)
0 St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 14% 29% 31% 14% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Atalanta Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 14% 29% 31% 13% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Liverpool
(5‑2)

vs
Qarabag
(3‑3‑1)
0 Liverpool Wins X X X 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Qarabag Wins X X 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Frankfurt
(1‑5‑1)

vs
Tottenham
(4‑1‑2)
0 Frankfurt Wins X X <1% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Tottenham Wins X X X <1% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 19% 30% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
GalatasarayGalatasary
(3‑3‑1)

vs
Manchester City
(4‑2‑1)
0 GalatasarayGalatasary Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 17% 29% 27% 11% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Manchester City Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 18% 29% 28% 10% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Benfica
(2‑5)

vs
Real Madrid
(5‑2)
0 Benfica Wins X X <1% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Real Madrid Wins X X X <1% 3% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 26% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Ajax
(2‑5)

vs
Olympiacos
(2‑3‑2)
0 Ajax Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Olympiacos Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Arsenal
(7‑0)

vs
Kairat
(0‑6‑1)
0 Arsenal Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Kairat Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Club Brugge
(2‑4‑1)

vs
Marseille
(3‑4)
0 Club Brugge Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Marseille Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Leverkusen
(2‑2‑3)

vs
Villarreal
(0‑6‑1)
0 Leverkusen Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Villarreal Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑3‑2)

vs
Bayern Munich
(6‑1)
0 PSV Eindhoven Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Bayern Munich Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Pafos
(1‑3‑3)

vs
Slavia Prague
(0‑4‑3)
0 Pafos Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Slavia Prague Wins X X <1% 1% 2% 1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 29% 27% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round