The Qarabag What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Qarabag plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Qualifing Finish | Elimination | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 
| Current Standings | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 38% | 
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 49% | 
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 38% | 
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 49% | 
| Best Case Scenario Qarabag beats Chelsea | Worst Case Scenario Chelsea beats Qarabag | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won | Winning Percentage of Remaining Games | Resultant Record | Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 14% | 37% | 33% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | 
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 31% | 29% | 14% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | 
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 22% | 27% | 22% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 47% | 
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |