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Wed Oct 8 7:00 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 6 of 20

Real Madrid Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Real Madrid Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Real Madrid
(2‑0)
vs
Juventus
(0‑0‑2)		 30 Real Madrid Wins 26% 19% 14% 10% 8% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Juventus Wins 5% 8% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1%
Olympiacos
(0‑1‑1)
vs
Barcelona
(1‑1)		 2 Olympiacos Wins 22% 17% 14% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Barcelona Wins 22% 16% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atletico Madrid
(1‑1)
vs
Arsenal
(2‑0)		 2 Atletico Madrid Wins 22% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal Wins 20% 16% 13% 10% 9% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Slavia Prague
(0‑1‑1)
vs
Atalanta
(1‑1)		 2 Slavia Prague Wins 21% 17% 14% 10% 8% 6% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atalanta Wins 21% 18% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Copenhagen
(0‑1‑1)
vs
Dortmund
(1‑0‑1)		 1 Copenhagen Wins 22% 17% 13% 10% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Dortmund Wins 21% 16% 13% 10% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(1‑1)
vs
Inter Milan
(2‑0)		 1 St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins 24% 17% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Inter Milan Wins 20% 16% 13% 10% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ajax
(0‑2)
vs
Chelsea
(1‑1)		 1 Ajax Wins 22% 16% 13% 10% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins 20% 16% 13% 10% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Monaco
(0‑1‑1)
vs
Tottenham
(1‑0‑1)		 1 Monaco Wins 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Wins 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Frankfurt
(1‑1)
vs
Liverpool
(1‑1)		 1 Frankfurt Wins 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins 21% 17% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Villarreal
(0‑1‑1)
vs
Manchester City
(1‑0‑1)		 1 Villarreal Wins 22% 18% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins 21% 16% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Paris SG
(2‑0)
vs
Leverkusen
(0‑0‑2)		 0 Paris SG Wins 18% 17% 13% 11% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leverkusen Wins 24% 17% 12% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pafos
(0‑1‑1)
vs
Kairat
(0‑2)		 0 Pafos Wins 22% 17% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kairat Wins 21% 16% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle
(1‑1)
vs
Benfica
(0‑2)		 0 Newcastle Wins 21% 16% 13% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Benfica Wins 21% 17% 13% 10% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Marseille
(1‑1)
vs
Sporting CP
(1‑1)		 0 Marseille Wins 21% 17% 13% 10% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sporting CP Wins 21% 17% 13% 10% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bayern Munich
(2‑0)
vs
Club Brugge
(1‑1)		 0 Bayern Munich Wins 20% 16% 13% 10% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Club Brugge Wins 25% 16% 12% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bodo/Glimt
(0‑0‑2)
vs
GalatasarayGalatasary
(1‑1)		 0 Bodo/Glimt Wins 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
GalatasarayGalatasary Wins 21% 17% 13% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Qarabag
(2‑0)
vs
Athletic Bilbao
(0‑2)		 0 Qarabag Wins 21% 17% 13% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Athletic Bilbao Wins 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
PSV Eindhoven
(0‑1‑1)
vs
Napoli
(1‑1)		 0 PSV Eindhoven Wins 20% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Napoli Wins 21% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round