The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Real Madrid (3‑0) vs AEK Athens (1‑2) |
44 | Real Madrid Wins | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| AEK Athens Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Leipzig (1‑2) vs Manchester City (2‑1) |
2 | Leipzig Wins | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Fenerbahce (0‑1‑2) vs Liverpool (3‑0) |
2 | Fenerbahce Wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid (1‑1‑1) vs Bayern Munich (1‑0‑2) |
2 | Atletico Madrid Wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Villarreal (1‑2) vs Paris SG (3‑0) |
2 | Villarreal Wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Slavia Prague (0‑2‑1) vs Arsenal (2‑0‑1) |
2 | Slavia Prague Wins | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary (1‑2) vs Stuttgart (2‑0‑1) |
1 | GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Stuttgart Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Dortmund (2‑1) vs Real Betis (3‑0) |
1 | Dortmund Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Manchester U. (1‑2) vs Roma (1‑1‑1) |
1 | Manchester U. Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Roma Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Aston Villa (3‑0) vs Barcelona (2‑1) |
1 | Aston Villa Wins | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Porto (0‑3) vs Napoli (1‑2) |
1 | Porto Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Napoli Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Como (2‑1) vs Lens (1‑2) |
1 | Como Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Lens Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Lille (0‑3) vs Bodo (1‑2) |
0 | Lille Wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Bodo Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Feyenoord (1‑2) vs Inter Milan (1‑2) |
0 | Feyenoord Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Inter Milan Wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Club Brugge (2‑1) vs PSV Eindhoven (1‑1‑1) |
0 | Club Brugge Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Sabah (1‑2) vs Viking FK (0‑2‑1) |
0 | Sabah Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Viking FK Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Slovan (0‑3) vs Lask Linz (1‑2) |
0 | Slovan Wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Lask Linz Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Shakhtar (1‑1‑1) vs Sporting CP (2‑1) |
0 | Shakhtar Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||