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Wed Dec 10 5:15 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 19 of 20

St.-Gilloise What If?

The St.-Gilloise What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how St.-Gilloise plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

St.-Gilloise What If?

Next Game - Bayern Munich (5‑1)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Finish Elimination
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Win Next Game 3 4 0 9 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 7% 4% 3% 4% 6% 8% 13% 43%
Current Standings 2 4 0 6 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 89%
Lose Next Game 2 5 0 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 93%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Finish Elimination
  1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Best Case Scenario X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 8% 6% 4% 5% 8% 12% 17% 30%
Current Standings X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 5% 89%
Worst Case Scenario X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 97%
Best Case Scenario
   Kairat beats Club Brugge
   St.-Gilloise beats Bayern Munich
   Juventus beats Benfica
 Worst Case Scenario
   Club Brugge beats Kairat
   Bayern Munich beats St.-Gilloise
   Benfica beats Juventus
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the qualifing probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Qualifing Finish Elimination
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
2 of 2 100% 4 4 0 12 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 16% 28% 28% 16% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
1 of 2 50% 3 5 0 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 17% 75%
0 of 2 0% 2 6 0 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round