The Most Important Games for the California Baptist Lancers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lancers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Baptist Lancers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Baptist Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| California Baptist (13‑12) vs Grand Canyon (19‑6) |
22 | California Baptist Wins | X | 5% | 74% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 63% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | X | <1% | 59% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah Valley (19‑7) vs Seattle (10‑15) |
5 | Utah Valley Wins | X | 2% | 64% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 63% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Seattle Wins | X | 2% | 59% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tarleton St. (11‑16) vs UT Arlington (12‑14) |
2 | Tarleton St. Wins | X | 2% | 61% | 22% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 63% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UT Arlington Wins | X | 2% | 65% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Utah Tech (6‑20) vs Abilene Christian (13‑13) |
2 | Utah Tech Wins | X | 2% | 64% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 63% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Abilene Christian Wins | X | 2% | 62% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ||