The Most Important Games for the California Baptist Lancers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lancers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Baptist Lancers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Baptist Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| California Baptist (19‑7) vs Utah Valley (18‑7) |
48 | California Baptist Wins | 85% | 13% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 33% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Utah Valley Wins | 22% | 53% | 24% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UT Arlington (14‑11) vs Utah Tech (16‑11) |
19 | UT Arlington Wins | 56% | 33% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 33% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Utah Tech Wins | 47% | 33% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Southern Utah (9‑17) vs Tarleton St. (13‑13) |
1 | Southern Utah Wins | 53% | 33% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 52% | 33% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Tarleton St. Wins | 52% | 33% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||