The Most Important Games for the California Baptist Lancers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lancers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Baptist Lancers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Baptist Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| California Baptist (10‑6) vs Utah Tech (9‑7) |
31 | California Baptist Wins | 10% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 9% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Utah Tech Wins | 22% | 23% | 5% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Southern Utah (4‑11) vs Utah Valley (12‑4) |
4 | Southern Utah Wins | 10% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 5% | 9% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 19% | ||
| Utah Valley Wins | 19% | 17% | 3% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Abilene Christian (9‑6) vs Tarleton St. (11‑5) |
2 | Abilene Christian Wins | 10% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 4% | 9% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 19% | ||
| Tarleton St. Wins | 19% | 17% | 4% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||