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Mon Feb 17 11:30 am

WAC Basketball - Week 16 of 18

California Baptist Lancers Standings

Where are the California Baptist Lancers going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The California Baptist standings table presents the probabilities of the Lancers winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

WAC Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
16 game season
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3**
First Round Bye
4**
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 NT
Utah Valley 10i
Utah Valley Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 01 @  Grand Canyon        57-75 
Won  Thu, Feb 06 vs UT Arlington        94-73 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs Tarleton St.        81-56 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 @  Southern Utah       70-68 
     Thu, Feb 20 @  Utah Tech          
     Sat, Feb 22 vs Seattle            
     Sat, Mar 01 vs Southern Utah      
     Thu, Mar 06 @  Abilene Christian  

1 11 81% 19% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Grand Canyon 9
Grand Canyon Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 01 vs Utah Valley         75-57 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 @  California Baptist  71-85 
Won  Thu, Feb 13 @  Tarleton St.        64-60 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 @  UT Arlington        82-75 
     Sat, Feb 22 vs California Baptist 
     Thu, Feb 27 vs UT Arlington       
     Sat, Mar 01 @  Seattle            
     Thu, Mar 06 vs Utah Tech          

2 11 19% 79% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
California Baptist 6
California Baptist Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs Southern Utah       57-60 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs Grand Canyon        85-71 
Lost Thu, Feb 13 @  UT Arlington        79-82 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 vs Utah Tech           86-83 
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Grand Canyon       
     Thu, Feb 27 @  Seattle            
     Sat, Mar 01 @  Utah Tech          
     Thu, Mar 06 vs Tarleton St.       

5 11 <1% 2% 63% 19% 9% 5% 2% <1% <1%
Tarleton St. 6
Tarleton St. Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 06 @  Seattle             54-91 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 @  Utah Valley         56-81 
Lost Thu, Feb 13 vs Grand Canyon        60-64 
Won  Sat, Feb 15 vs Seattle             67-64 
     Sat, Feb 22 @  UT Arlington       
     Thu, Feb 27 vs Abilene Christian  
     Thu, Mar 06 @  California Baptist 
     Sat, Mar 08 vs Utah Valley        

6 12 X <1% 17% 26% 23% 19% 14% 1% <1%
Seattle 5
Seattle Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 vs Tarleton St.        91-54 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 vs UT Arlington        67-65 
Lost Thu, Feb 13 @  Abilene Christian   59-75 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 @  Tarleton St.        64-67 
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Utah Valley        
     Thu, Feb 27 vs California Baptist 
     Sat, Mar 01 vs Grand Canyon       
     Thu, Mar 06 @  Southern Utah      

6 11 X <1% 6% 17% 25% 26% 18% 7% 1%
UT Arlington 5
UT Arlington Recent Games

Lost Thu, Feb 06 @  Utah Valley         73-94 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 @  Seattle             65-67 
Won  Thu, Feb 13 vs California Baptist  82-79 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Grand Canyon        75-82 
     Sat, Feb 22 vs Tarleton St.       
     Thu, Feb 27 @  Grand Canyon       
     Sat, Mar 01 vs Abilene Christian  
     Sat, Mar 08 @  California Baptist 

7 12 X <1% 7% 16% 22% 25% 25% 5% <1%
Abilene Christian 4
Abilene Christian Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 30 @  California Baptist  60-83 
Won  Thu, Feb 06 @  Utah Tech           86-72 
Won  Sat, Feb 08 @  Southern Utah       84-70 
Won  Thu, Feb 13 vs Seattle             75-59 
     Thu, Feb 20 vs Southern Utah      
     Sat, Feb 22 vs Utah Tech          
     Thu, Feb 27 @  Tarleton St.       
     Sat, Mar 01 @  UT Arlington       

6 10 <1% <1% 5% 22% 19% 19% 23% 10% 2%
Southern Utah 3
Southern Utah Recent Games

Won  Thu, Feb 06 @  California Baptist  60-57 
Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Abilene Christian   70-84 
Won  Thu, Feb 13 vs Utah Tech           76-74 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Utah Valley         68-70 
     Thu, Feb 20 @  Abilene Christian  
     Thu, Feb 27 @  Utah Tech          
     Sat, Mar 01 @  Utah Valley        
     Thu, Mar 06 vs Seattle            

9 12 X X <1% <1% 1% 4% 14% 59% 21%
 
Utah Tech 2
Utah Tech Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 01 @  UT Arlington        71-73 
Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs Abilene Christian   72-86 
Lost Thu, Feb 13 @  Southern Utah       74-76 
Lost Sat, Feb 15 @  California Baptist  83-86 
     Thu, Feb 20 vs Utah Valley        
     Sat, Feb 22 @  Abilene Christian  
     Thu, Feb 27 vs Southern Utah      
     Sat, Mar 01 vs California Baptist 

8 10 X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 18% 76%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(3) Lancers 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 84%
(8)Southern Utah 3 9 6%
(7)Abilene Christian 4 6 3%
(9)Utah Tech 2 8 3%
(6)UT Arlington 5 7 2%
(5)Seattle 5 6 1%
(4)Tarleton St. 6 6 1%
(2)Grand Canyon 9 2 <1%
(1)Utah Valley 10 1 X
Elimination <1%



Lancers Conference Schedule
Current Week 16
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
9 Seattle
(10‑15)
61‑59 Home Sat Jan 4, 8:00 pm
10 Utah Valley
(18‑7)
69‑75 Away Sat Jan 11, 4:00 pm
11 Tarleton St.
(11‑16)
57‑67 Away Thu Jan 16, 8:00 pm
11 Abilene Christian
(12‑13)
60‑54 Away Sat Jan 18, 7:00 pm
12 Utah Valley
(18‑7)
69‑74 Home Thu Jan 23, 10:00 pm
12 Southern Utah
(11‑15)
76‑60 Away Sat Jan 25, 8:30 pm
13 Abilene Christian
(12‑13)
83‑60 Home Thu Jan 30, 10:00 pm
14 Southern Utah
(11‑15)
57‑60 Home Thu Feb 6, 10:00 pm
14 Grand Canyon
(19‑6)
85‑71 Home Sat Feb 8, 8:00 pm
15 UT Arlington
(12‑14)
79‑82 (OT) Away Thu Feb 13, 5:00 pm
15 Utah Tech
(6‑19)
86‑83 Home Sat Feb 15, 9:00 pm
16 Grand Canyon
(19‑6)
  Away Sat Feb 22, 8:00 pm
17 Seattle
(10‑15)
  Away Thu Feb 27, 10:00 pm
17 Utah Tech
(6‑19)
  Away Sat Mar 1, 9:00 pm
18 Tarleton St.
(11‑16)
  Home Thu Mar 6, 10:00 pm
18 UT Arlington
(12‑14)
  Home Sat Mar 8, 8:00 pm


Lancers Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Incarnate Word
(12‑14)
SouthlandSouth-land 83‑78 Home Mon Nov 4, 10:00 pm
1 Kennesaw St.
(15‑11)
Conference USAConf. USA 88‑84 Home Sat Nov 9, 8:00 pm
2 UC Riverside
(17‑10)
Big WestBig West 69‑70 Home Tue Nov 12, 10:00 pm
2 Long Island U.
(12‑15)
NortheastNorth East 90‑77 Home Fri Nov 15, 10:00 pm
3 Northern Colorado
(19‑8)
Big SkyBig Sky 68‑79 Home Wed Nov 20, 10:30 pm
3 Eastern Washington
(10‑16)
Big SkyBig Sky 79‑68 Home Sat Nov 23, 8:00 pm
4 SMU
(19‑6)
ACCACC 77‑79 Away Tue Nov 26, 9:30 pm
4 Fresno St.
(5‑21)
Mountain WestMntn West 86‑81 (OT) Away Thu Nov 28, 12:01 am
4 UCF
(13‑12)
Big 12Big 12 59‑74 Away Sun Dec 1, 4:00 pm
6 San Diego St.
(17‑6)
Mountain WestMntn West 75‑81 Away Wed Dec 11, 10:00 pm
7 Middle Tenn.
(17‑8)
Conference USAConf. USA 64‑75 Away Mon Dec 16, 7:30 pm
7 Fresno St.
(5‑21)
Mountain WestMntn West 86‑69 Away Sat Dec 21, 5:00 pm
8 Jackson St.
(8‑17)
SouthwesternSWAC 79‑73 Home Sat Dec 28, 8:00 pm
9 UC Irvine
(22‑4)
Big WestBig West 63‑71 Home Mon Dec 30, 10:00 pm