The Most Important Games for the Southern Utah Thunderbirds are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thunderbirds final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Utah Thunderbirds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Utah Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Southern Utah (8‑15) vs Tarleton St. (11‑12) |
38 | Southern Utah Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 68% | 22% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 49% | 31% | 14% | ||
| Tarleton St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 36% | 40% | 21% | ||
| California Baptist (17‑6) vs Abilene Christian (10‑12) |
8 | California Baptist Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 51% | 32% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 49% | 31% | 14% | ||
| Abilene Christian Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 42% | 33% | 20% | ||
| Utah Valley (17‑6) vs UT Arlington (14‑8) |
0 | Utah Valley Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 49% | 31% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 49% | 31% | 14% | ||
| UT Arlington Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 50% | 31% | 14% | ||