The Most Important Games for the Southern Utah Thunderbirds are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thunderbirds final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Utah Thunderbirds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Utah Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Southern Utah (5‑13) vs Abilene Christian (10‑8) |
8 | Southern Utah Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 22% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 74% | ||
| Abilene Christian Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 80% | ||
| Utah Tech (9‑10) vs Tarleton St. (11‑7) |
0 | Utah Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 74% | ||
| Tarleton St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 75% | ||
| Utah Valley (14‑4) vs UT Arlington (12‑5) |
0 | Utah Valley Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 74% | ||
| UT Arlington Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 74% | ||