The Most Important Games for the Southern Utah Thunderbirds are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thunderbirds final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Utah Thunderbirds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Utah Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| Southern Utah (4‑7) vs Utah Tech (5‑6) |
15 | Southern Utah Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 25% | 38% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 47% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | ||
| Utah Tech Wins | 13% | 22% | 52% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| California Baptist (7‑3) vs Utah Valley (6‑3) |
1 | California Baptist Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 47% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 47% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Utah Valley Wins | 13% | 22% | 48% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| UT Arlington (6‑3) vs Tarleton St. (7‑4) |
1 | UT Arlington Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 47% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 47% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | ||
| Tarleton St. Wins | 14% | 22% | 47% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||