The Most Important Games for the Southern Utah Thunderbirds are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thunderbirds final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Utah Thunderbirds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Utah Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Utah Valley (20‑7) vs Tarleton St. (14‑14) |
25 | Utah Valley Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 32% | 23% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 1% | 28% | 27% | 45% | ||
| Tarleton St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 41% | 51% | ||
| Utah Tech (17‑12) vs Abilene Christian (13‑14) |
14 | Utah Tech Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 33% | 31% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 1% | 28% | 27% | 45% | ||
| Abilene Christian Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 18% | 17% | 64% | ||
| UT Arlington (15‑12) vs California Baptist (19‑8) |
3 | UT Arlington Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 29% | 26% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 1% | 28% | 27% | 45% | ||
| California Baptist Wins | X | X | X | 1% | 26% | 27% | 46% | ||