The Most Important Games for the Southern Utah Thunderbirds are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thunderbirds final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Utah Thunderbirds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Utah Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Southern Utah (9‑13) vs California Baptist (11‑10) |
18 | Southern Utah Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 23% | 28% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 28% | 38% | ||
| California Baptist Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 29% | 42% | ||
| Abilene Christian (9‑13) vs Utah Tech (6‑16) |
2 | Abilene Christian Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 27% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 28% | 38% | ||
| Utah Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 26% | 40% | ||
| Seattle (8‑13) vs Tarleton St. (10‑13) |
0 | Seattle Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 29% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 28% | 38% | ||
| Tarleton St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 19% | 27% | 38% | ||
| UT Arlington (11‑11) vs Utah Valley (15‑7) |
0 | UT Arlington Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 20% | 29% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 28% | 38% | ||
| Utah Valley Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 27% | 39% | ||