Where are the Southern Utah Thunderbirds going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Southern Utah standings table presents the probabilities of the Thunderbirds winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Utah Valley | 11i Utah Valley Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 06 vs UT Arlington 94-73 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Tarleton St. 81-56 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ Southern Utah 70-68 Won Thu, Feb 20 @ Utah Tech 79-77 Sat, Feb 22 vs Seattle Sat, Mar 01 vs Southern Utah Thu, Mar 06 @ Abilene Christian Sat, Mar 08 @ Tarleton St. |
1 | 12 | 84% | 16% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Grand Canyon | 9 Grand Canyon Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Utah Valley 75-57 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ California Baptist 71-85 Won Thu, Feb 13 @ Tarleton St. 64-60 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ UT Arlington 82-75 Sat, Feb 22 vs California Baptist Thu, Feb 27 vs UT Arlington Sat, Mar 01 @ Seattle Thu, Mar 06 vs Utah Tech |
2 | 11 | 16% | 82% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| California Baptist | 6 California Baptist Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs Southern Utah 57-60 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Grand Canyon 85-71 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ UT Arlington 79-82 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Utah Tech 86-83 Sat, Feb 22 @ Grand Canyon Thu, Feb 27 @ Seattle Sat, Mar 01 @ Utah Tech Thu, Mar 06 vs Tarleton St. |
5 | 11 | X | 2% | 63% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Tarleton St. | 6 Tarleton St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Seattle 54-91 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Utah Valley 56-81 Lost Thu, Feb 13 vs Grand Canyon 60-64 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Seattle 67-64 Sat, Feb 22 @ UT Arlington Thu, Feb 27 vs Abilene Christian Thu, Mar 06 @ California Baptist Sat, Mar 08 vs Utah Valley |
6 | 12 | X | <1% | 16% | 23% | 24% | 21% | 16% | <1% | ^ |
| Abilene Christian | 5 Abilene Christian Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 06 @ Utah Tech 86-72 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Southern Utah 84-70 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs Seattle 75-59 Won Thu, Feb 20 vs Southern Utah 75-59 Sat, Feb 22 vs Utah Tech Thu, Feb 27 @ Tarleton St. Sat, Mar 01 @ UT Arlington Thu, Mar 06 vs Utah Valley |
6 | 11 | X | <1% | 7% | 27% | 22% | 20% | 23% | 2% | <1% |
| Seattle | 5 Seattle Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 06 vs Tarleton St. 91-54 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs UT Arlington 67-65 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ Abilene Christian 59-75 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Tarleton St. 64-67 Sat, Feb 22 @ Utah Valley Thu, Feb 27 vs California Baptist Sat, Mar 01 vs Grand Canyon Thu, Mar 06 @ Southern Utah |
6 | 11 | X | <1% | 6% | 16% | 24% | 28% | 21% | 6% | <1% |
| UT Arlington | 5 UT Arlington Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Utah Valley 73-94 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Seattle 65-67 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs California Baptist 82-79 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Grand Canyon 75-82 Sat, Feb 22 vs Tarleton St. Thu, Feb 27 @ Grand Canyon Sat, Mar 01 vs Abilene Christian Sat, Mar 08 @ California Baptist |
7 | 12 | X | <1% | 7% | 16% | 21% | 24% | 30% | 3% | <1% |
| Southern Utah | 3 Southern Utah Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Abilene Christian 70-84 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs Utah Tech 76-74 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Utah Valley 68-70 Lost Thu, Feb 20 @ Abilene Christian 59-75 Thu, Feb 27 @ Utah Tech Sat, Mar 01 @ Utah Valley Thu, Mar 06 vs Seattle |
10 | 13 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 69% | 23% |
| Utah Tech | 2 Utah Tech Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs Abilene Christian 72-86 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ Southern Utah 74-76 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ California Baptist 83-86 Lost Thu, Feb 20 vs Utah Valley 77-79 Sat, Feb 22 @ Abilene Christian Thu, Feb 27 vs Southern Utah Sat, Mar 01 vs California Baptist Thu, Mar 06 @ Grand Canyon |
9 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 20% | 76% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | X | ||
| (6)Seattle | 5 | 6 | 19% |
| (4)Tarleton St. | 6 | 6 | 18% |
| (7)UT Arlington | 5 | 7 | 17% |
| (5)Abilene Christian | 5 | 6 | 17% |
| (3)California Baptist | 6 | 5 | 6% |
| (9)Utah Tech | 2 | 9 | <1% |
| (2)Grand Canyon | 9 | 2 | <1% |
| (1)Utah Valley | 11 | 1 | X |
| Elimination | 23% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grand Canyon (19‑6) |
71‑82 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Tarleton St. (11‑16) |
66‑74 | Home | Thu Jan 9, 8:30 pm |
| 10 | UT Arlington (12‑14) |
73‑68 | Home | Sat Jan 11, 8:30 pm |
| 11 | Seattle (10‑15) |
52‑75 | Away | Sat Jan 18, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | Grand Canyon (19‑6) |
59‑74 | Home | Thu Jan 23, 8:30 pm |
| 12 | California Baptist (13‑12) |
60‑76 | Home | Sat Jan 25, 8:30 pm |
| 13 | UT Arlington (12‑14) |
68‑70 | Away | Thu Jan 30, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Tarleton St. (11‑16) |
58‑75 | Away | Sat Feb 1, 8:00 pm |
| 14 | California Baptist (13‑12) |
60‑57 | Away | Thu Feb 6, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | Abilene Christian (13‑13) |
70‑84 | Home | Sat Feb 8, 8:30 pm |
| 15 | Utah Tech (6‑20) |
76‑74 | Home | Thu Feb 13, 8:30 pm |
| 15 | Utah Valley (19‑7) |
68‑70 | Home | Sat Feb 15, 8:30 pm |
| 16 | Abilene Christian (13‑13) |
59‑75 | Away | Thu Feb 20, 8:00 pm |
| 17 | Utah Tech (6‑20) |
Away | Thu Feb 27, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | Utah Valley (19‑7) |
Away | Sat Mar 1, 4:00 pm | |
| 18 | Seattle (10‑15) |
Home | Thu Mar 6, 8:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Western N.M. | ‑‑ | 96‑68 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 8:30 pm |
| 1 | FIU (8‑18) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 80‑75 | Home | Sat Nov 9, 8:30 pm |
| 2 | Bethesda (CA) | ‑‑ | 107‑54 | Home | Tue Nov 12, 8:30 pm |
| 2 | Nebraska Omaha (17‑12) |
SummitSummit | 79‑73 | Home | Sat Nov 16, 8:30 pm |
| 3 | Loyola Chicago (17‑9) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 72‑76 | Away | Tue Nov 19, 8:30 pm |
| 3 | San Diego (4‑24) |
West CoastWest Coast | 72‑67 | Away | Fri Nov 22, 10:00 pm |
| 3 | Idaho (12‑15) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 82‑67 | Home | Sat Nov 23, 5:00 pm |
| 4 | UCLA (19‑8) |
Big 10Big 10 | 43‑88 | Away | Tue Nov 26, 10:00 pm |
| 4 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (12‑16) |
Big WestBig West | 74‑64 | Home | Sat Nov 30, 8:30 pm |
| 5 | Park (AZ) | ‑‑ | 90‑55 | Home | Tue Dec 3, 8:30 pm |
| 5 | Arizona (18‑7) |
Big 12Big 12 | 66‑102 | Away | Sat Dec 7, 2:00 pm |
| 7 | New Mexico St. (14‑12) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 69‑72 | Away | Mon Dec 16, 9:00 pm |
| 7 | UT-Rio Grande Valley (14‑13) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 73‑78 | Away | Wed Dec 18, 7:30 pm |
| 7 | Northern Arizona (15‑13) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 75‑83 | Home | Sat Dec 21, 4:00 pm |