The Most Important Games for the St. Mary's Gaels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gaels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Mary's Gaels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| St. Mary's (23‑3) vs Seattle (16‑11) |
113 | St. Mary's Wins | 8% | 47% | 44% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 46% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Seattle Wins | 1% | 40% | 59% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San Francisco (15‑12) vs Gonzaga (25‑2) |
23 | San Francisco Wins | 22% | 32% | 46% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 46% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Gonzaga Wins | 3% | 48% | 49% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington St. (11‑16) vs Pacific (17‑11) |
0 | Washington St. Wins | 7% | 46% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 46% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pacific Wins | 7% | 46% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Portland (12‑15) vs Pepperdine (7‑20) |
0 | Portland Wins | 7% | 46% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 46% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pepperdine Wins | 7% | 46% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San Diego (11‑17) vs Loyola Marymount (13‑15) |
0 | San Diego Wins | 7% | 46% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 46% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | 7% | 46% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||