The Most Important Games for the St. Mary's Gaels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gaels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Mary's Gaels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| St. Mary's (24‑4) vs Gonzaga (21‑7) |
0 | St. Mary's Wins | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Gonzaga Wins | 90% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San Diego (4‑24) vs Oregon St. (19‑9) |
0 | San Diego Wins | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oregon St. Wins | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington St. (16‑12) vs Santa Clara (18‑10) |
0 | Washington St. Wins | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pacific (9‑21) vs Portland (10‑17) |
0 | Pacific Wins | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Portland Wins | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola Marymount (15‑13) vs Pepperdine (10‑18) |
0 | Loyola Marymount Wins | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pepperdine Wins | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||