The Most Important Games for the St. Mary's Gaels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gaels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Mary's Gaels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| St. Mary's (3‑0) vs San Diego (3‑1) |
5 | St. Mary's Wins | 30% | 23% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego Wins | 16% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Santa Clara (5‑0) vs Pacific (1‑1) |
1 | Santa Clara Wins | 26% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Pacific Wins | 29% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Portland (1‑2) vs Pepperdine (1‑2) |
0 | Portland Wins | 26% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Pepperdine Wins | 26% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Seattle (0‑2) vs Loyola Marymount (1‑3) |
0 | Seattle Wins | 27% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | 27% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| San Francisco (3‑1) vs Denver (0‑3) |
0 | San Francisco Wins | 26% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Denver Wins | 28% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||