The Most Important Games for the St. Mary's Gaels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gaels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Mary's Gaels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| St. Mary's (5‑0) vs Pacific (3‑3) |
129 | St. Mary's Wins | 19% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Pacific Wins | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Portland (2‑3) vs Washington St. (5‑1) |
12 | Portland Wins | 20% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Washington St. Wins | 18% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola Marymount (1‑2) vs San Francisco (4‑1) |
5 | Loyola Marymount Wins | 20% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | 19% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Pepperdine (1‑3) vs Santa Clara (2‑3) |
1 | Pepperdine Wins | 19% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | 19% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||