Where are the St. Mary's Gaels going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Mary's standings table presents the probabilities of the Gaels winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| Gonzaga | 9i Gonzaga Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 15 @ Washington St. 86-65 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Seattle 71-50 Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Pepperd. 84-60 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs San Francisco 68-66 Sat, Jan 31 vs St. Mary's Wed, Feb 04 @ Portland Sat, Feb 07 @ Oregon St. Tue, Feb 10 vs Washington St. |
0 | 9 | 75% | 20% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Santa Clara | 8 Santa Clara Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Loyola Marymount 103-72 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Pacific 85-69 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs St. Mary's 62-54 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ San Diego 85-73 Wed, Jan 28 vs San Francisco Sat, Jan 31 @ Loyola Marymount Wed, Feb 04 @ Pacific Sat, Feb 07 @ Washington St. |
1 | 9 | 6% | 27% | 54% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| St. Mary's | 8 St. Mary's Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 13 @ San Francisco 82-68 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Santa Clara 54-62 Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Oregon St. 81-51 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Portland 75-69 Sat, Jan 31 @ Gonzaga Wed, Feb 04 vs San Diego Sat, Feb 07 vs San Francisco Wed, Feb 11 vs Pepperd. |
1 | 9 | 19% | 51% | 27% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| San Francisco | 5 San Francisco Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Pepperd. 80-60 Lost Tue, Jan 13 vs St. Mary's 68-82 Won Sun, Jan 18 vs Washington St. 85-80 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Gonzaga 66-68 Wed, Jan 28 @ Santa Clara Sat, Jan 31 vs Pacific Wed, Feb 04 vs Loyola Marymount Sat, Feb 07 @ St. Mary's |
4 | 9 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 30% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Pacific | 5 Pacific Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 vs San Diego 77-70 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Santa Clara 69-85 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Oregon St. 81-64 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Seattle 56-54 Wed, Jan 28 vs Portland Sat, Jan 31 @ San Francisco Wed, Feb 04 vs Santa Clara Sat, Feb 07 @ Pepperd. |
4 | 9 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 33% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Washington St. | 4 Washington St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 15 vs Gonzaga 65-86 Lost Sun, Jan 18 @ San Francisco 80-85 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ San Diego 92-96 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Pepperd. 95-79 Wed, Jan 28 vs Seattle Sat, Jan 31 vs Portland Wed, Feb 04 @ Oregon St. Sat, Feb 07 vs Santa Clara |
5 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 2% |
| Portland | 3 Portland Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Oregon St. 82-76 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Pepperd. 63-67 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Loyola Marymount 71-58 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs St. Mary's 69-75 Wed, Jan 28 @ Pacific Sat, Jan 31 @ Washington St. Wed, Feb 04 vs Gonzaga Sat, Feb 07 vs Seattle |
6 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 6% |
| Oregon St. | 3 Oregon St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Portland 76-82 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Loyola Marymount 76-70 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Pacific 64-81 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ St. Mary's 51-81 Wed, Jan 28 @ Loyola Marymount Sat, Jan 31 @ San Diego Wed, Feb 04 vs Washington St. Sat, Feb 07 vs Gonzaga |
6 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 5% |
| Seattle | 3 Seattle Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 15 vs San Diego 75-64 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Gonzaga 50-71 Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Loyola Marymount 69-59 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Pacific 54-56 Wed, Jan 28 @ Washington St. Wed, Feb 04 vs Pepperd. Sat, Feb 07 @ Portland Wed, Feb 11 @ Santa Clara |
6 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| San Diego | 3 San Diego Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ Seattle 64-75 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Bethesda University 113-67 Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Washington St. 96-92 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Santa Clara 73-85 Wed, Jan 28 @ Pepperd. Sat, Jan 31 vs Oregon St. Wed, Feb 04 @ St. Mary's Sat, Feb 07 @ Loyola Marymount |
6 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 18% | 22% | 6% |
| Loyola Marymount | 2 Loyola Marymount Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Santa Clara 72-103 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Oregon St. 70-76 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Portland 58-71 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Seattle 59-69 Wed, Jan 28 vs Oregon St. Sat, Jan 31 vs Santa Clara Wed, Feb 04 @ San Francisco Sat, Feb 07 vs San Diego |
7 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 8% |
| Pepperdine | 1 Pepperdine Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs San Francisco 60-80 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Portland 67-63 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Gonzaga 60-84 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Washington St. 79-95 Wed, Jan 28 vs San Diego Wed, Feb 04 @ Seattle Sat, Feb 07 vs Pacific Wed, Feb 11 @ St. Mary's |
8 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 16% | 70% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | >99% | ||
| (10)San Diego | 3 | 6 | <1% |
| (12)Pepperdine | 1 | 8 | <1% |
| (6)Washington St. | 4 | 5 | <1% |
| (7)Portland | 3 | 6 | <1% |
| (8)Oregon St. | 3 | 6 | <1% |
| (9)Seattle | 3 | 6 | <1% |
| (11)Loyola Marymount | 2 | 7 | <1% |
| (1)Gonzaga | 9 | 0 | <1% |
| (2)Santa Clara | 8 | 1 | <1% |
| (4)San Francisco | 5 | 4 | <1% |
| (5)Pacific | 5 | 4 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Loyola Marymount (11‑11) |
78‑73 | Away | Sun Dec 28, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Pepperdine (6‑16) |
72‑45 | Away | Tue Dec 30, 9:00 pm |
| 9 | Portland (10‑12) |
78‑57 | Home | Fri Jan 2, 10:00 pm |
| 9 | Seattle (14‑8) |
93‑76 | Home | Sun Jan 4, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Washington St. (9‑13) |
88‑82 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 5:00 pm |
| 11 | San Francisco (13‑8) |
82‑68 | Away | Tue Jan 13, 11:00 pm |
| 11 | Santa Clara (16‑6) |
54‑62 | Away | Sat Jan 17, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Oregon St. (10‑12) |
81‑51 | Home | Wed Jan 21, 11:00 pm |
| 12 | Portland (10‑12) |
75‑69 | Away | Sat Jan 24, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Gonzaga (21‑0) |
Away | Sat Jan 31, 10:30 pm | |
| 14 | San Diego (9‑13) |
Home | Wed Feb 4, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | San Francisco (13‑8) |
Home | Sat Feb 7, 11:30 pm | |
| 15 | Pepperdine (6‑16) |
Home | Wed Feb 11, 10:00 pm | |
| 15 | Pacific (14‑8) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 10:30 pm | |
| 16 | Seattle (14‑8) |
Away | Wed Feb 18, 9:00 pm | |
| 16 | Washington St. (9‑13) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 10:00 pm | |
| 17 | Santa Clara (16‑6) |
Home | Wed Feb 25, 11:00 pm | |
| 17 | Gonzaga (21‑0) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 10:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Thomas (16‑6) |
SummitSummit | 84‑58 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | ChattanoogaChattan. (9‑12) |
SouthernSouthern | 87‑66 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 2 | Ohio (11‑10) |
MACMAC | 90‑60 | Home | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | North Texas (12‑8) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 80‑49 | Home | Fri Nov 14 |
| 3 | Arkansas St. (13‑8) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 85‑72 | Home | Wed Nov 19, 10:00 pm |
| 3 | UC Merced | ‑‑ | 96‑42 | Home | Sat Nov 22, 10:30 pm |
| 4 | Wichita St. (13‑8) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 70‑65 | Away | Wed Nov 26, 7:30 pm |
| 4 | Virginia Tech (15‑6) |
ACCACC | 77‑66 | Away | Thu Nov 27 |
| 5 | Davidson (12‑7) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 70‑61 | Away | Sun Dec 7, 2:00 pm |
| 6 | Boise St. (12‑8) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 67‑68 | Away | Sun Dec 14, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Florida Atlantic (14‑6) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 88‑75 | Home | Fri Dec 19, 10:00 pm |
| 8 | Northern Iowa (13‑8) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 63‑58 | Home | Mon Dec 22, 10:00 pm |