Where are the St. Mary's Gaels going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Mary's standings table presents the probabilities of the Gaels winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 |
St. Mary's | 14i St. Mary's Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Oregon St. 63-49 Won Tue, Feb 11 vs Santa Clara 73-64 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Washington St. 77-56 Won Wed, Feb 19 vs Portland 79-66 Sat, Feb 22 @ Gonzaga Thu, Feb 27 @ Loyola Marymount Sat, Mar 01 vs Oregon St. |
1 | 15 | 94% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Gonzaga | 12 Gonzaga Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Pacific 78-61 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs San Francisco 88-77 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Pepperd. 107-55 Won Wed, Feb 19 @ Washington St. 84-63 Sat, Feb 22 vs St. Mary's Thu, Feb 27 @ Santa Clara Sat, Mar 01 @ San Francisco |
3 | 15 | 5% | 47% | 34% | 13% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
San Francisco | 11 San Francisco Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 06 vs St. Mary's 65-64 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Loyola Marymount 72-66 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ Gonzaga 77-88 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ San Diego 84-61 Thu, Feb 20 vs Pacific Wed, Feb 26 @ Oregon St. Sat, Mar 01 vs Gonzaga |
4 | 15 | <1% | 41% | 49% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Santa Clara | 9 Santa Clara Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Pacific 83-49 Won Thu, Feb 06 @ Portland 97-50 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs San Diego 93-70 Lost Tue, Feb 11 @ St. Mary's 64-73 Thu, Feb 20 vs Loyola Marymount Sat, Feb 22 @ Washington St. Thu, Feb 27 vs Gonzaga Sat, Mar 01 @ Pacific |
5 | 14 | X | 6% | 14% | 60% | 17% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Oregon St. | 8 Oregon St. Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 06 vs Washington St. 82-74 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs St. Mary's 49-63 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ Portland 72-84 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Pacific 79-65 Thu, Feb 20 @ Pepperd. Sat, Feb 22 @ San Diego Wed, Feb 26 vs San Francisco Sat, Mar 01 @ St. Mary's |
6 | 14 | X | <1% | 4% | 17% | 72% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Loyola Marymount | 7 Loyola Marymount Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs San Francisco 66-72 Won Tue, Feb 11 @ Pepperd. 69-60 Lost Thu, Feb 13 vs Pacific 58-83 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Portland 78-89 Thu, Feb 20 @ Santa Clara Sat, Feb 22 vs Pepperd. Thu, Feb 27 vs St. Mary's |
8 | 15 | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 29% | 56% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Washington St. | 6 Washington St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Oregon St. 74-82 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Pepperd. 87-86 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ St. Mary's 56-77 Lost Wed, Feb 19 vs Gonzaga 63-84 Sat, Feb 22 vs Santa Clara Thu, Feb 27 vs San Diego Sat, Mar 01 @ Pepperd. |
9 | 15 | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 60% | 33% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Portland | 5 Portland Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs Santa Clara 50-97 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs Oregon St. 84-72 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Loyola Marymount 89-78 Lost Wed, Feb 19 @ St. Mary's 66-79 Sat, Feb 22 @ Pacific Thu, Feb 27 vs Pepperd. Sat, Mar 01 @ San Diego |
10 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 74% | 17% | 2% | ^ |
Pepperdine | 4 Pepperdine Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Washington St. 86-87 Lost Tue, Feb 11 vs Loyola Marymount 60-69 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs San Diego 88-81 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Gonzaga 55-107 Thu, Feb 20 vs Oregon St. Sat, Feb 22 @ Loyola Marymount Thu, Feb 27 @ Portland Sat, Mar 01 vs Washington St. |
10 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 2% | 14% | 65% | 19% | ^ |
Pacific | 4 Pacific Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 06 vs San Diego 71-69 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Gonzaga 61-78 Won Thu, Feb 13 @ Loyola Marymount 83-58 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Oregon St. 65-79 Thu, Feb 20 @ San Francisco Sat, Feb 22 vs Portland Sat, Mar 01 vs Santa Clara |
11 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 79% | <1% |
San Diego | 1 San Diego Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Pacific 69-71 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Santa Clara 70-93 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ Pepperd. 81-88 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs San Francisco 61-84 Sat, Feb 22 vs Oregon St. Thu, Feb 27 @ Washington St. Sat, Mar 01 vs Portland |
14 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
Record | Probability | ||
---|---|---|---|
Opponent | W | L | |
Bye | 100% | ||
Elimination | X |
Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Pacific (9‑20) |
70‑60 | Home | Sat Dec 28, 8:00 pm |
9 | Pepperdine (10‑17) |
71‑41 | Home | Thu Jan 2, 10:00 pm |
9 | Portland (10‑17) |
81‑58 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 10:00 pm |
10 | Loyola Marymount (15‑12) |
81‑56 | Home | Tue Jan 7, 11:00 pm |
10 | San Diego (4‑24) |
103‑56 | Away | Sat Jan 11, 10:00 pm |
11 | Pepperdine (10‑17) |
74‑50 | Away | Sat Jan 18, 10:00 pm |
12 | San Francisco (21‑7) |
71‑51 | Home | Thu Jan 23, 9:00 pm |
12 | Washington St. (16‑12) |
80‑75 | Away | Sat Jan 25, 8:00 pm |
13 | Santa Clara (17‑10) |
67‑54 | Away | Wed Jan 29, 9:00 pm |
13 | Gonzaga (21‑7) |
62‑58 | Home | Sat Feb 1, 11:00 pm |
14 | San Francisco (21‑7) |
64‑65 | Away | Thu Feb 6, 9:00 pm |
14 | Oregon St. (18‑9) |
63‑49 | Away | Sat Feb 8, 10:00 pm |
15 | Santa Clara (17‑10) |
73‑64 | Home | Tue Feb 11, 11:00 pm |
15 | Washington St. (16‑12) |
77‑56 | Home | Sat Feb 15, 10:00 pm |
16 | Portland (10‑17) |
79‑66 | Home | Wed Feb 19, 10:00 pm |
16 | Gonzaga (21‑7) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 8:00 pm | |
17 | Loyola Marymount (15‑12) |
Away | Thu Feb 27, 11:00 pm | |
17 | Oregon St. (18‑9) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, TBD |
Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Towson (18‑9) |
CoastalCoastal | 76‑69 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 10:00 pm |
1 | ChattanoogaChattan. (20‑8) |
SouthernSouthern | 86‑74 | Home | Thu Nov 7, 10:00 pm |
2 | Akron (21‑5) |
MACMAC | 87‑68 | Home | Tue Nov 12, 10:00 pm |
2 | Nebraska (17‑10) |
Big 10Big 10 | 77‑74 | Home | Sun Nov 17, 1:00 pm |
3 | Stanislaus St. | ‑‑ | 78‑38 | Home | Wed Nov 20, 10:00 pm |
3 | Cal Poly (10‑16) |
Big WestBig West | 80‑66 | Home | Sat Nov 23, 8:00 pm |
4 | USC (14‑11) |
Big 10Big 10 | 71‑36 | Away | Thu Nov 28, 9:00 pm |
4 | Arizona St. (12‑14) |
Big 12Big 12 | 64‑68 | Away | Fri Nov 29, 9:30 pm |
5 | Texas-San Antonio (10‑16) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 82‑74 (OT) | Home | Tue Dec 3, 10:00 pm |
5 | Utah (15‑11) |
Big 12Big 12 | 72‑63 | Away | Sat Dec 7, 7:00 pm |
6 | Boise St. (18‑8) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 65‑67 (OT) | Away | Sat Dec 14, 9:00 pm |
7 | Merrimack (14‑12) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 73‑68 | Home | Thu Dec 19, 10:00 pm |
7 | Utah St. (23‑4) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 68‑75 | Home | Sun Dec 22, 8:00 pm |