PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jun 20 3:00 pm

World Cup - Week 2 of 3

Croatia What If?

The Croatia What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Croatia plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Croatia What If?

Next Game - Panama (0‑1)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  W L T Gi
Goals
GDi
Goal Differential
Pts 1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
Win Next Game 1 1 0 3 -1 3 4% 79% 16% <1%
Current Standings 0 1 0 2 -2 0 2% 62% 21% 15%
Lose Next Game 0 2 0 2 -3 0 X 22% 31% 47%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
Best Case Scenario X 87% 13% ^
Current Standings 2% 62% 21% 15%
Worst Case Scenario X X X 100%
Best Case Scenario
   England beats Ghana
   Croatia beats Panama
Worst Case Scenario
   Ghana beats England
   Panama beats Croatia
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
W L T G GD Pts 1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
2 of 2 100% 2 1 0 4 0 6 6% 93% 1% ^
1 of 2 50% 1 2 0 3 -2 3 X 15% 72% 13%
0 of 2 0% 0 3 0 2 -4 0 X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes knockout round qualifing spot
  • **  denotes possible knockout round qualifing spot