The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | ||||
| Mercyhurst (3‑18‑1) vs Canisius (11‑9‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
14 | Mercyhurst Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 33% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 23% | 39% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |||
| Canisius Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 22% | 41% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |||
| Holy Cross (11‑9‑2) vs Robert Morris (5‑15‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
5 | Holy Cross Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 23% | 43% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 23% | 39% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |||
| Robert Morris Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 22% | 30% | 16% | 4% | 2% | <1% | |||
| Niagara (7‑14) vs RIT (13‑11) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Niagara Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 24% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 23% | 39% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |||
| RIT Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 22% | 41% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | |||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Mercyhurst (3‑18‑1) vs Canisius (11‑9‑2) |
7 | Mercyhurst Wins | <1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 36% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 23% | 39% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Canisius Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 22% | 40% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Niagara (7‑14) vs RIT (13‑11) |
3 | Niagara Wins | <1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 24% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 23% | 39% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| RIT Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 22% | 41% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Holy Cross (11‑9‑2) vs Robert Morris (5‑15‑2) |
2 | Holy Cross Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 22% | 41% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 23% | 39% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Robert Morris Wins | <1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 22% | 35% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||