The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | |||
| Army (0‑1) vs Holy Cross (2‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Army Sweeps 2 Games | 19% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Holy Cross Sweeps 2 Games | 18% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | |||
| Army (0‑1) vs Holy Cross (2‑2) |
1 | Army Wins | 19% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 18% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||