The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Air Force (9‑6) vs Bentley (7‑4‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
15 | Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | 39% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bentley Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| RIT (3‑9) vs Sacred Heart (6‑5‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | RIT Sweeps 2 Games | 31% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sacred Heart Sweeps 2 Games | 27% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mercyhurst (2‑12) vs Canisius (3‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Mercyhurst Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Canisius Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Holy Cross (4‑9‑1) vs Army (5‑6) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Holy Cross Sweeps 1 Game | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Army Sweeps 1 Game | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| American Int'l (3‑8‑1) vs Niagara (6‑4‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | American Int'l Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Niagara Sweeps 2 Games | 27% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Air Force (9‑6) vs Bentley (7‑4‑1) |
9 | Air Force Wins | 33% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bentley Wins | 22% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Mercyhurst (2‑12) vs Canisius (3‑8) |
2 | Mercyhurst Wins | 29% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Canisius Wins | 28% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Holy Cross (4‑9‑1) vs Army (5‑6) |
1 | Holy Cross Wins | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Army Wins | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sacred Heart (6‑5‑1) vs RIT (3‑9) |
0 | Sacred Heart Wins | 28% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| RIT Wins | 30% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| American Int'l (3‑8‑1) vs Niagara (6‑4‑3) |
0 | American Int'l Wins | 30% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Niagara Wins | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||