Where are the Air Force Falcons going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Air Force standings table presents the probabilities of the Falcons winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 26 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 |
| Niagara | 5i Niagara Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 08 @ Army 0-1 Won Sat, Nov 09 @ Army 2-0 Won Fri, Nov 15 vs Holy Cross 3-3 Won Sat, Nov 16 vs Holy Cross 3-2 Fri, Nov 22 @ Amer. Int'l Sat, Nov 23 @ Amer. Int'l |
1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 16% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Bentley | 6 Bentley Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 08 vs RIT 5-0 Lost Sat, Nov 09 vs RIT 2-6 Won Fri, Nov 15 vs Amer. Int'l 5-2 Won Sat, Nov 16 vs Amer. Int'l 3-0 Fri, Nov 22 vs Air Force Sat, Nov 23 vs Air Force |
0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 30% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Sacred Heart | 5 Sacred Heart Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 08 @ Mercy. 4-3 Won Sat, Nov 09 @ Mercy. 4-1 Won Fri, Nov 15 vs Robert Morris 4-2 Won Sat, Nov 16 vs Robert Morris 6-3 Fri, Nov 22 vs RIT Sat, Nov 23 vs RIT |
0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 12% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Army | 5 Army Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 08 vs Niagara 1-0 Lost Sat, Nov 09 vs Niagara 0-2 Won Fri, Nov 15 @ RIT 5-1 Won Sat, Nov 16 @ RIT 4-2 Fri, Nov 22 vs Holy Cross |
0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 1% |
| Air Force | 4 Air Force Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 08 vs Canisius 2-0 Won Sun, Nov 10 vs Canisius 2-1 Won Fri, Nov 15 vs Mercy. 1-0 Won Sat, Nov 16 vs Mercy. 4-1 Fri, Nov 22 @ Bentley Sat, Nov 23 @ Bentley |
1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 28% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Canisius | 3 Canisius Recent Games Won Thu, Oct 31 vs Army 4-0 Won Fri, Nov 01 vs Army 6-1 Lost Fri, Nov 08 @ Air Force 0-2 Lost Sun, Nov 10 @ Air Force 1-2 Fri, Nov 22 @ Mercy. Sat, Nov 23 @ Mercy. |
0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 5% |
| Holy Cross | 2 Holy Cross Recent Games Won Thu, Nov 07 vs Amer. Int'l 5-2 Lost Fri, Nov 08 vs Amer. Int'l 2-3 Lost Fri, Nov 15 @ Niagara 3-3 Lost Sat, Nov 16 @ Niagara 2-3 Fri, Nov 22 @ Army |
1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 5% |
| American Int'l | 2 American Int'l Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 15 @ Bentley 2-5 Lost Sat, Nov 16 @ Bentley 0-3 Won Tue, Nov 19 vs Stonehill 3-0 Fri, Nov 22 vs Niagara Sat, Nov 23 vs Niagara |
0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 4% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| RIT | 2 RIT Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 08 @ Bentley 0-5 Won Sat, Nov 09 @ Bentley 6-2 Lost Fri, Nov 15 vs Army 1-5 Lost Sat, Nov 16 vs Army 2-4 Fri, Nov 22 @ Sacred Heart Sat, Nov 23 @ Sacred Heart |
0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 29% | 17% |
| Robert Morris | 1 Robert Morris Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 04 @ Mercy. 5-2 Lost Fri, Nov 15 @ Sacred Heart 2-4 Lost Sat, Nov 16 @ Sacred Heart 3-6 Fri, Nov 22 @ North Dakota Sat, Nov 23 @ North Dakota |
1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 2% |
| Mercyhurst | 1 Mercyhurst Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 08 vs Sacred Heart 3-4 Lost Sat, Nov 09 vs Sacred Heart 1-4 Lost Fri, Nov 15 @ Air Force 0-1 Lost Sat, Nov 16 @ Air Force 1-4 Fri, Nov 22 vs Canisius Sat, Nov 23 vs Canisius |
1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 21% | 66% |
| Record | Total | Home (19%) |
Away (3%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| Bye | 78% | |||||||
| (11)Mercyhurst | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 7% | 7% | <1% |
| (9)RIT | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| (7)Holy Cross | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| (6)Canisius | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| (8)American Int'l | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (10)Robert Morris | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (4)Army | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (3)Sacred Heart | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| (1)Niagara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (2)Bentley | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | American Int'l (3‑8‑1) |
2‑1 (OT) | Away | Fri Oct 25, 1:00 pm |
| 4 | American Int'l (3‑8‑1) |
2‑4 | Away | Sat Oct 26, 1:00 pm |
| 6 | Canisius (3‑8) |
2‑0 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 9:05 pm |
| 6 | Canisius (3‑8) |
2‑1 | Home | Sun Nov 10, 3:05 pm |
| 7 | Mercyhurst (2‑12) |
1‑0 | Home | Fri Nov 15, 10:05 pm |
| 7 | Mercyhurst (2‑12) |
4‑1 | Home | Sat Nov 16, 10:05 pm |
| 8 | Bentley (7‑4‑1) |
Away | Fri Nov 22, 7:00 pm | |
| 8 | Bentley (7‑4‑1) |
Away | Sat Nov 23, 4:00 pm | |
| 10 | Niagara (6‑4‑3) |
Home | Fri Dec 6, 9:05 pm | |
| 10 | Niagara (6‑4‑3) |
Home | Sat Dec 7, 7:05 pm | |
| 14 | Sacred Heart (6‑5‑1) |
Away | Fri Jan 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Sacred Heart (6‑5‑1) |
Away | Sat Jan 4, 5:00 pm | |
| 15 | Bentley (7‑4‑1) |
Home | Fri Jan 10, 9:05 pm | |
| 15 | Bentley (7‑4‑1) |
Home | Sat Jan 11, 7:05 pm | |
| 16 | Army (5‑6) |
Away | Fri Jan 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Army (5‑6) |
Away | Sat Jan 18, 4:00 pm | |
| 17 | Holy Cross (4‑9‑1) |
Home | Fri Jan 24, 9:05 pm | |
| 17 | Holy Cross (4‑9‑1) |
Home | Sat Jan 25, 7:05 pm | |
| 18 | RIT (3‑9) |
Home | Fri Jan 31, 9:05 pm | |
| 18 | RIT (3‑9) |
Home | Sat Feb 1, 7:05 pm | |
| 19 | Canisius (3‑8) |
Away | Fri Feb 7, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Canisius (3‑8) |
Away | Sat Feb 8, 4:00 pm | |
| 20 | Army (5‑6) |
Home | Fri Feb 14, 9:05 pm | |
| 20 | Army (5‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 15, 7:05 pm | |
| 21 | Robert Morris (4‑3‑2) |
Away | Fri Feb 21, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Robert Morris (4‑3‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona St. (4‑7‑1) |
NCHCNCHC | 1‑8 | Home | Fri Oct 4, 9:05 pm |
| 1 | Arizona St. (4‑7‑1) |
NCHCNCHC | 4‑3 (OT) | Home | Sat Oct 5, 9:05 pm |
| 2 | Minnesota (10‑2) |
Big 10Big 10 | 1‑7 | Away | Fri Oct 11, 10:30 pm |
| 2 | MassachusettsMass. (5‑6‑2) |
EastEast | 5‑5 | Away | Sat Oct 12, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | MassachusettsMass. (5‑6‑2) |
EastEast | 1‑5 | Away | Sat Oct 12, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Lindenwood (2‑9‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 3‑2 | Home | Fri Oct 18, 9:05 pm |
| 3 | Lindenwood (2‑9‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑1 | Home | Sun Oct 20, 5:35 pm |
| 5 | Colorado College (8‑1‑1) |
NCHCNCHC | 2‑3 (OT) | Away | Fri Nov 1, 9:00 pm |
| 5 | Colorado College (8‑1‑1) |
NCHCNCHC | 1‑6 | Home | Sat Nov 2, 9:05 pm |
| 9 | Brown (0‑3‑1) |
ECACECAC | Away | Fri Nov 29, 7:00 pm | |
| 9 | Brown (0‑3‑1) |
ECACECAC | Away | Sat Nov 30, 4:00 pm |