PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Jan 14 8:30 am

Atlantic Hockey - Week 16 of 21

Air Force Falcons Standings

Where are the Air Force Falcons going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Air Force standings table presents the probabilities of the Falcons winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Atlantic Hockey Standings
Record Regular Season Finish
Team WRi
Schedule Content
Wins in Regulation
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Loses in OT and SO
LRi
Loses in Regulation
GPi
Games Played
26 game season
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10 11
Sacred Heart 10i
Sacred Heart Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 03 vs Air Force     3-0
Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Air Force     0-3

Tie  Fri, Jan 10 vs Cornell       1-1
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs Cornell       4-2

     Fri, Jan 17 vs Amer. Int'l   
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Amer. Int'l   

2 1 5 18 35 14% 19% 21% 20% 14% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Bentley 10
Bentley Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 03 @  Niagara       2-3
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Niagara       2-4

Won  Fri, Jan 10 @  Air Force     1-0
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  Air Force     1-4

     Fri, Jan 17 vs Holy Cross    
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Holy Cross    

1 1 4 16 33 43% 21% 14% 10% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Niagara 7
Niagara Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 03 vs Bentley       3-2
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs Bentley       4-2

Won  Fri, Jan 10 vs Anchorage     6-2
Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Anchorage     1-3

     Fri, Jan 17 @  Mercy.        

3 2 3 15 29 21% 23% 18% 15% 11% 7% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Holy Cross 6
Holy Cross Recent Games

Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Michigan Tech 3-4

Won  Fri, Jan 10 vs Robert Morris 4-1
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs Robert Morris 2-2

     Fri, Jan 17 @  Bentley       
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Bentley       

3 1 4 14 25 9% 11% 14% 17% 19% 15% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Air Force 7
Air Force Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 03 @  Sacred Heart  0-3
Won  Sat, Jan 04 @  Sacred Heart  3-0

Lost Fri, Jan 10 vs Bentley       0-1
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs Bentley       4-1

     Fri, Jan 17 @  Army          
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Army          

1 1 5 14 24 10% 18% 19% 16% 14% 11% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Canisius 7
Canisius Recent Games

Lost Sat, Dec 14 vs Robert Morris 2-5
Lost Sun, Dec 15 vs Robert Morris 1-3

Won  Fri, Jan 10 vs RIT           5-2
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs RIT           5-2

     Tue, Jan 14 @  Robert Morris 

0 2 5 14 23 <1% 1% 1% 3% 6% 10% 18% 34% 24% 3% <1%
Army 7
Army Recent Games

Lost Tue, Jan 07 @  Amer. Int'l   2-8

Won  Fri, Jan 10 vs Mercy.        9-1
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs Mercy.        13-1

     Fri, Jan 17 vs Air Force     
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Air Force     

0 0 8 15 21 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 10% 26% 50% 6% <1%
Robert Morris 5
Robert Morris Recent Games

Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Massachusetts 0-8

Lost Fri, Jan 10 @  Holy Cross    1-4
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  Holy Cross    2-2

     Tue, Jan 14 vs Canisius      

1 2 5 13 19 2% 4% 7% 10% 15% 22% 22% 12% 5% 1% <1%
American Int'l 5
American Int'l Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 03 @  Stonehill     3-1

Won  Tue, Jan 07 vs Army          8-2

     Fri, Jan 17 @  Sacred Heart  
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Sacred Heart  

0 2 6 13 17 1% 3% 5% 8% 13% 19% 24% 16% 10% 2% <1%
RIT 2
RIT Recent Games

Lost Sun, Dec 29 @  B. Green      1-2

Lost Fri, Jan 10 @  Canisius      2-5
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  Canisius      2-5

     Fri, Jan 17 @  Robert Morris 
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Robert Morris 

1 1 10 14 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8% 68% 22%
Mercyhurst 1
Mercyhurst Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 03 @  Minnesota     2-6
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Minnesota     2-5

Lost Fri, Jan 10 @  Army          1-9
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  Army          1-13

     Fri, Jan 17 vs Niagara       

2 1 12 16 8 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament


(5) Falcons 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(21%)
Away
(1%)
Opponent WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
Bye 78%
(11)Mercyhurst 1 2 1 12 8 10% 10% <1%
(10)RIT 2 1 1 10 9 7% 7% <1%
(7)Army 7 0 0 8 21 2% 1% 1%
(6)Canisius 7 0 2 5 23 1% 1% <1%
(9)American Int'l 5 0 2 6 17 1% 1% <1%
(8)Robert Morris 5 1 2 5 19 <1% <1% <1%
(4)Holy Cross 6 3 1 4 25 <1% <1% <1%
(1)Sacred Heart 10 2 1 5 35 <1% <1% <1%
(3)Niagara 7 3 2 3 29 <1% <1% <1%
(2)Bentley 10 1 1 4 33 <1% <1% <1%
Elimination X



Falcons Conference Schedule
Current Week 16
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
4 American Int'l
(7‑13‑1)
2‑1 (OT) Away Fri Oct 25, 1:00 pm
4 American Int'l
(7‑13‑1)
2‑4 Away Sat Oct 26, 1:00 pm
6 Canisius
(7‑11‑2)
2‑0 Home Fri Nov 8, 9:05 pm
6 Canisius
(7‑11‑2)
2‑1 Home Sun Nov 10, 3:05 pm
7 Mercyhurst
(2‑19‑3)
1‑0 Home Fri Nov 15, 10:05 pm
7 Mercyhurst
(2‑19‑3)
4‑1 Home Sat Nov 16, 10:05 pm
8 Bentley
(12‑8‑2)
0‑2 Away Fri Nov 22, 7:00 pm
8 Bentley
(12‑8‑2)
0‑2 Away Sat Nov 23, 4:00 pm
10 Niagara
(11‑9‑3)
2‑3 (OT) Home Fri Dec 6, 9:05 pm
10 Niagara
(11‑9‑3)
4‑2 Home Sat Dec 7, 7:05 pm
14 Sacred Heart
(12‑8‑4)
0‑3 Away Fri Jan 3, 7:00 pm
14 Sacred Heart
(12‑8‑4)
3‑0 Away Sat Jan 4, 5:00 pm
15 Bentley
(12‑8‑2)
0‑1 Home Fri Jan 10, 9:05 pm
15 Bentley
(12‑8‑2)
4‑1 Home Sat Jan 11, 7:05 pm
16 Army
(7‑16)
  Away Fri Jan 17, 7:00 pm
16 Army
(7‑16)
  Away Sat Jan 18, 4:00 pm
17 Holy Cross
(9‑12‑2)
  Home Fri Jan 24, 9:05 pm
17 Holy Cross
(9‑12‑2)
  Home Sat Jan 25, 7:05 pm
18 RIT
(4‑17‑1)
  Home Fri Jan 31, 9:05 pm
18 RIT
(4‑17‑1)
  Home Sat Feb 1, 7:05 pm
19 Canisius
(7‑11‑2)
  Away Fri Feb 7, 7:00 pm
19 Canisius
(7‑11‑2)
  Away Sat Feb 8, 4:00 pm
20 Army
(7‑16)
  Home Fri Feb 14, 9:05 pm
20 Army
(7‑16)
  Home Sat Feb 15, 7:05 pm
21 Robert Morris
(8‑10‑3)
  Away Fri Feb 21, 7:00 pm
21 Robert Morris
(8‑10‑3)
  Away Sat Feb 22, 7:00 pm


Falcons Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Arizona St.
(11‑8‑1)
NCHCNCHC 1‑8 Home Fri Oct 4, 9:05 pm
1 Arizona St.
(11‑8‑1)
NCHCNCHC 4‑3 (OT) Home Sat Oct 5, 9:05 pm
2 Minnesota
(18‑4‑2)
Big 10Big 10 1‑7 Away Fri Oct 11, 10:30 pm
2 MassachusettsMass.
(10‑10‑2)
EastEast 5‑5 Away Sat Oct 12, 7:00 pm
2 MassachusettsMass.
(10‑10‑2)
EastEast 1‑5 Away Sat Oct 12, 7:00 pm
3 Lindenwood
(5‑16‑1)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 3‑2 Home Fri Oct 18, 9:05 pm
3 Lindenwood
(5‑16‑1)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 2‑1 Home Sun Oct 20, 5:35 pm
5 Colorado College
(10‑9‑1)
NCHCNCHC 2‑3 (OT) Away Fri Nov 1, 9:00 pm
5 Colorado College
(10‑9‑1)
NCHCNCHC 1‑6 Home Sat Nov 2, 9:05 pm
9 Brown
(4‑9‑2)
ECACECAC 1‑1 (OT) Away Fri Nov 29, 7:00 pm
9 Brown
(4‑9‑2)
ECACECAC 2‑5 Away Sat Nov 30, 4:00 pm