The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | ||||
| Mercyhurst (1‑18‑1) vs Niagara (7‑12) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mercyhurst Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 85% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | |||
| Niagara Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% | |||
| Holy Cross (10‑8‑2) vs Air Force (10‑10‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Holy Cross Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 90% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | |||
| Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | |||
| Bentley (12‑6‑2) vs Sacred Heart (11‑7‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Bentley Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | |||
| Sacred Heart Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | |||
| Canisius (9‑9‑2) vs RIT (13‑9) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Canisius Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | |||
| RIT Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 90% | |||
| Robert Morris (4‑14‑2) vs Army (8‑10‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Robert Morris Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | |||
| Army Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 90% | |||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Mercyhurst (1‑18‑1) vs Niagara (7‑12) |
1 | Mercyhurst Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Niagara Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% | ||
| Holy Cross (10‑8‑2) vs Air Force (10‑10‑2) |
0 | Holy Cross Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Air Force Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Sacred Heart (11‑7‑2) vs Bentley (12‑6‑2) |
0 | Sacred Heart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Bentley Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 91% | ||
| Robert Morris (4‑14‑2) vs Army (8‑10‑5) |
0 | Robert Morris Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Army Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | ||
| Canisius (9‑9‑2) vs RIT (13‑9) |
0 | Canisius Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 90% | ||
| RIT Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 90% | ||