The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | ||||
| Mercyhurst (3‑19‑1) vs Canisius (12‑9‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Mercyhurst Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 29% | 53% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 23% | 65% | |||
| Canisius Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 22% | 69% | |||
| RIT (14‑11) vs Niagara (7‑15) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | RIT Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 24% | 64% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 23% | 65% | |||
| Niagara Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 71% | |||
| Holy Cross (11‑10‑2) vs Robert Morris (6‑15‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Holy Cross Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 24% | 65% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 23% | 65% | |||
| Robert Morris Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 24% | 65% | |||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Mercyhurst (3‑19‑1) vs Canisius (12‑9‑2) |
3 | Mercyhurst Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 29% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 23% | 65% | ||
| Canisius Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 22% | 69% | ||
| RIT (14‑11) vs Niagara (7‑15) |
1 | RIT Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 24% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 23% | 65% | ||
| Niagara Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 71% | ||
| Holy Cross (11‑10‑2) vs Robert Morris (6‑15‑2) |
0 | Holy Cross Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 24% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 23% | 65% | ||
| Robert Morris Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 24% | 65% | ||