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Tue Nov 19 11:15 pm

Atlantic Hockey - Week 8 of 21

Mercyhurst Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Mercyhurst Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 5**
First Round Bye
 6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
 7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
 9 10 11
Mercyhurst
(2‑12)
vs
Canisius
(3‑8)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Mercyhurst Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 13% 28% 49%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 66%
Canisius Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 17% 77%
Holy Cross
(4‑9‑1)
vs
Army
(5‑6)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Holy Cross Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 21% 67%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 66%
Army Sweeps 1 Game <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 66%
RIT
(3‑9)
vs
Sacred Heart
(6‑5‑1)
2 Games Remaining		 0 RIT Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 16% 73%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 66%
Sacred Heart Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 22% 65%
Air Force
(9‑6)
vs
Bentley
(7‑4‑1)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Air Force Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 20% 67%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 66%
Bentley Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 66%
Niagara
(6‑4‑3)
vs
American Int'l
(3‑8‑1)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Niagara Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 21% 65%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 66%
American Int'l Sweeps 2 Games <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 20% 68%


Mercyhurst Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 5**
First Round Bye
 6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
 7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
 9 10 11
Mercyhurst
(2‑12)
vs
Canisius
(3‑8)		 0 Mercyhurst Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 10% 24% 59%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 66%
Canisius Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 19% 72%
Holy Cross
(4‑9‑1)
vs
Army
(5‑6)		 0 Holy Cross Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 21% 67%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 66%
Army Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 66%
RIT
(3‑9)
vs
Sacred Heart
(6‑5‑1)		 0 RIT Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 17% 71%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 66%
Sacred Heart Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 21% 65%
Air Force
(9‑6)
vs
Bentley
(7‑4‑1)		 0 Air Force Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 67%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 66%
Bentley Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 65%
Niagara
(6‑4‑3)
vs
American Int'l
(3‑8‑1)		 0 Niagara Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 66%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 66%
American Int'l Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 21% 67%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament