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Tue Jan 14 8:30 am

Atlantic Hockey - Week 16 of 21

Mercyhurst Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Mercyhurst Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 5**
First Round Bye
 6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
 7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
 9 10 11
Robert Morris
(8‑10‑3)
vs
Canisius
(7‑11‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Robert Morris Sweeps 1 Game X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Canisius Sweeps 1 Game X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Sacred Heart
(12‑8‑4)
vs
American Int'l
(7‑13‑1)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Sacred Heart Sweeps 2 Games X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
American Int'l Sweeps 2 Games X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Air Force
(12‑12‑1)
vs
Army
(7‑16)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Air Force Sweeps 2 Games X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 20% 79%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Army Sweeps 2 Games X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 21% 79%
Holy Cross
(9‑12‑2)
vs
Bentley
(12‑8‑2)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Holy Cross Sweeps 2 Games X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 20% 79%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Bentley Sweeps 2 Games X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Mercyhurst
(2‑19‑3)
vs
Niagara
(11‑9‑3)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Mercyhurst Sweeps 1 Game X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 29% 69%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Niagara Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 18% 81%


Mercyhurst Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
 5**
First Round Bye
 6***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
 7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
 9 10 11
Robert Morris
(8‑10‑3)
vs
Canisius
(7‑11‑2)		 0 Robert Morris Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Canisius Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Sacred Heart
(12‑8‑4)
vs
American Int'l
(7‑13‑1)		 0 Sacred Heart Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
American Int'l Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 79%
Holy Cross
(9‑12‑2)
vs
Bentley
(12‑8‑2)		 0 Holy Cross Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Bentley Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Air Force
(12‑12‑1)
vs
Army
(7‑16)		 0 Air Force Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 20% 79%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Army Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Mercyhurst
(2‑19‑3)
vs
Niagara
(11‑9‑3)		 0 Mercyhurst Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 29% 69%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 21% 78%
Niagara Wins X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 18% 81%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament