The Most Important Games for the Central Arkansas Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Central Arkansas Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Central Arkansas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Central Arkansas (5‑12) vs North Florida (8‑9) |
20 | Central Arkansas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 45% | ||
| North Florida Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 23% | 49% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast (8‑9) vs West Georgia (3‑14) |
5 | Fla Gulf Coast Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 23% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 45% | ||
| West Georgia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 20% | 50% | ||
| Lipscomb (11‑6) vs Bellarmine (3‑14) |
3 | Lipscomb Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 45% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 22% | 49% | ||
| Queens U. (11‑6) vs Stetson (4‑13) |
3 | Queens U. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 45% | ||
| Stetson Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 24% | 47% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky (8‑9) vs Austin Peay (6‑11) |
2 | Eastern Kentucky Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 45% | ||
| Austin Peay Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 23% | 47% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville (9‑7) vs North Alabama (11‑6) |
0 | JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 45% | ||
| North Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 46% | ||