The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Michigan (9‑0) vs USC (9‑1) |
69 | Michigan Wins | 33% | 23% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 27% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| USC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin (7‑3) vs Purdue (10‑1) |
5 | Wisconsin Wins | 28% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 27% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rutgers (5‑6) vs Ohio St. (8‑2) |
4 | Rutgers Wins | 27% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 27% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (6‑4) vs Minnesota (5‑5) |
3 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 27% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 27% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 27% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (8‑3) vs Illinois (8‑3) |
3 | Penn State Wins | 27% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 27% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa (8‑2) vs UCLA (7‑3) |
1 | Iowa Wins | 27% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 27% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 27% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan St. (9‑1) vs Nebraska (11‑0) |
1 | Michigan St. Wins | 27% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 27% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington (7‑3) vs Indiana (8‑3) |
1 | Washington Wins | 26% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 27% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Maryland (6‑4) vs Oregon (5‑5) |
0 | Maryland Wins | 26% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 27% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oregon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||