The Most Important Games for the Michigan St. Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan St. Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Michigan St. (9‑1) vs Nebraska (11‑0) |
78 | Michigan St. Wins | 28% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Penn State (8‑3) vs Illinois (8‑3) |
4 | Penn State Wins | 18% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (6‑4) vs Minnesota (5‑5) |
4 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Michigan (9‑0) vs USC (9‑1) |
4 | Michigan Wins | 18% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| USC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Wisconsin (7‑3) vs Purdue (10‑1) |
3 | Wisconsin Wins | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Oregon (5‑5) vs Maryland (6‑4) |
3 | Oregon Wins | 18% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Maryland Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Ohio St. (8‑2) vs Rutgers (5‑6) |
1 | Ohio St. Wins | 18% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Iowa (8‑2) vs UCLA (7‑3) |
1 | Iowa Wins | 18% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana (8‑3) vs Washington (7‑3) |
1 | Indiana Wins | 18% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||