The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Oregon (5‑5) vs Maryland (6‑4) |
24 | Oregon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Maryland Wins | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Michigan (9‑0) vs USC (10‑1) |
2 | Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | ||
| USC Wins | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Michigan St. (9‑1) vs Nebraska (11‑0) |
1 | Michigan St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Illinois (8‑3) vs Penn State (8‑3) |
1 | Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Minnesota (6‑5) vs NorthwesternN. Western (6‑4) |
0 | Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Ohio St. (8‑2) vs Rutgers (5‑6) |
0 | Ohio St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 17% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | ||
| UCLA (7‑3) vs Iowa (9‑2) |
0 | UCLA Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 19% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Iowa Wins | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Indiana (8‑3) vs Washington (7‑3) |
0 | Indiana Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Washington Wins | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Purdue (10‑1) vs Wisconsin (7‑3) |
0 | Purdue Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | ||