The Most Important Games for the Cincinnati Bearcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bearcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cincinnati Bearcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cincinnati Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Cincinnati (4‑1) vs UCF (3‑2) |
17 | Cincinnati Wins | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCF Wins | 6% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas (4‑2) vs Texas Tech (5‑0) |
4 | Kansas Wins | 19% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah (4‑1) vs Arizona St. (4‑1) |
2 | Utah Wins | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona St. Wins | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona (4‑1) vs BYU (5‑0) |
2 | Arizona Wins | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BYU Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas St. (2‑4) vs TCU (4‑1) |
2 | Kansas St. Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TCU Wins | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. (1‑4) vs Houston (4‑1) |
1 | Oklahoma St. Wins | 17% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Houston Wins | 16% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado (2‑4) vs Iowa St. (5‑1) |
1 | Colorado Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa St. Wins | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||