Are the Cincinnati Bearcats going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Cincinnati standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 9 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| Houston | 1i Houston Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs Stephen F. Austin 27-0 Won Sat, Sep 06 @ Rice 35-9 Won Fri, Sep 12 vs Colorado 36-20 Fri, Sep 26 @ Oregon St. Sat, Oct 04 vs Texas Tech Sat, Oct 11 @ Oklahoma St. Sat, Oct 18 vs Arizona |
0 | 1 | 15% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Iowa St. | 1 Iowa St. Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 23 @ Kansas St. 24-21 Won Sat, Aug 30 vs South Dakota 55-7 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Iowa 16-13 Won Sat, Sep 13 @ Arkansas St. 24-16 Sat, Sep 27 vs Arizona Sat, Oct 04 @ Cincinnati Sat, Oct 11 @ Colorado Sat, Oct 25 vs BYU |
0 | 1 | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| TCU | 0 TCU Recent Games Won Mon, Sep 01 @ North Carolina 48-14 Sat, Sep 13 vs Abilene Christian Sat, Sep 20 vs SMU Fri, Sep 26 @ Arizona St. Sat, Oct 04 vs Colorado |
0 | 0 | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Arizona | 0 Arizona Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Hawaii 40-6 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Weber State 48-3 Won Fri, Sep 12 vs Kansas St. 23-17 Sat, Sep 27 @ Iowa St. Sat, Oct 04 vs Oklahoma St. Sat, Oct 11 vs BYU Sat, Oct 18 @ Houston |
0 | 0 | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Texas Tech | 0 Texas Tech Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff 67-7 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Kent State 62-14 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Oregon St. 45-14 Sat, Sep 20 @ Utah Sat, Oct 04 @ Houston Sat, Oct 11 vs Kansas Sat, Oct 18 @ Arizona St. |
0 | 0 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Utah | 0 Utah Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 @ UCLA 43-10 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Cal Poly 63-9 Sat, Sep 13 @ Wyoming Sat, Sep 20 vs Texas Tech Sat, Sep 27 @ West Virginia Sat, Oct 11 vs Arizona St. |
0 | 0 | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| UCF | 0 UCF Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs Jacksonville St. 17-10 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs North Carolina A&T 68-7 Sat, Sep 20 vs North Carolina Sat, Sep 27 @ Kansas St. Sat, Oct 04 vs Kansas Sat, Oct 11 @ Cincinnati |
0 | 0 | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| Baylor | 0 Baylor Recent Games Lost Fri, Aug 29 vs Auburn 24-38 Won Sat, Sep 06 @ SMU 48-45 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Samford 42-7 Sat, Sep 20 vs Arizona St. Sat, Sep 27 @ Oklahoma St. Sat, Oct 04 vs Kansas St. Sat, Oct 18 @ TCU |
0 | 0 | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
| Kansas | 0 Kansas Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 23 vs Fresno State 31-7 Won Fri, Aug 29 vs Wagner 46-7 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Missouri 31-42 Sat, Sep 20 vs West Virginia Sat, Sep 27 vs Cincinnati Sat, Oct 04 @ UCF Sat, Oct 11 @ Texas Tech |
0 | 0 | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
| BYU | 0 BYU Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Portland State 69-0 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Stanford 27-3 Sat, Sep 20 @ East Carolina Sat, Sep 27 @ Colorado Fri, Oct 03 vs West Virginia Sat, Oct 11 @ Arizona |
0 | 0 | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% |
| Cincinnati | 0 Cincinnati Recent Games Lost Thu, Aug 28 vs Nebraska 17-20 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Bowling Green 34-20 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Northwestern State 70-0 Sat, Sep 27 @ Kansas Sat, Oct 04 vs Iowa St. Sat, Oct 11 vs UCF Sat, Oct 18 @ Oklahoma St. |
0 | 0 | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% |
| West Virginia | 0 West Virginia Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Robert Morris 45-3 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Ohio 10-17 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Pittsburgh 31-24 Sat, Sep 20 @ Kansas Sat, Sep 27 vs Utah Fri, Oct 03 @ BYU Sat, Oct 18 @ UCF |
0 | 0 | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Oklahoma St. | 0 Oklahoma St. Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs UT Martin 27-7 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Oregon 3-69 Fri, Sep 19 vs Tulsa Sat, Sep 27 vs Baylor Sat, Oct 04 @ Arizona Sat, Oct 11 vs Houston |
0 | 0 | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 10% |
| Arizona St. | 0 Arizona St. Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Northern Arizona 38-19 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Mississippi St. 20-24 Sat, Sep 13 vs Texas St. Sat, Sep 20 @ Baylor Fri, Sep 26 vs TCU Sat, Oct 11 @ Utah |
0 | 0 | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% |
| Colorado | 0 Colorado Recent Games Lost Fri, Aug 29 vs Georgia Tech 20-27 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Delaware 31-7 Lost Fri, Sep 12 @ Houston 20-36 Sat, Sep 20 vs Wyoming Sat, Sep 27 vs BYU Sat, Oct 04 @ TCU Sat, Oct 11 vs Iowa St. |
1 | 1 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% |
| Kansas St. | 0 Kansas St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 23 vs Iowa St. 21-24 Won Sat, Aug 30 vs North Dakota 38-35 Lost Sat, Sep 06 vs Black Knights 21-24 Lost Fri, Sep 12 @ Arizona 17-23 Sat, Sep 27 vs UCF Sat, Oct 04 @ Baylor Sat, Oct 11 vs TCU Sat, Oct 25 @ Kansas |
1 | 1 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 24% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Houston | 1 | 0 | 2% |
| (2)Iowa St. | 1 | 0 | 1% |
| (5)Texas Tech | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (3)TCU | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (7)UCF | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (4)Arizona | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (6)Utah | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (12)West Virginia | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (9)Kansas | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (8)Baylor | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (14)Arizona St. | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (10)BYU | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (13)Oklahoma St. | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (15)Colorado | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| (16)Kansas St. | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| Elimination | 91% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kansas (2‑1) |
Away | Sat Sep 27, TBD | |
| 6 | Iowa St. (4‑0) |
Home | Sat Oct 4, TBD | |
| 7 | UCF (2‑0) |
Home | Sat Oct 11, TBD | |
| 8 | Oklahoma St. (1‑1) |
Away | Sat Oct 18, TBD | |
| 9 | Baylor (2‑1) |
Home | Sat Oct 25, TBD | |
| 10 | Utah (2‑0) |
Away | Sat Nov 1, TBD | |
| 12 | Arizona (3‑0) |
Home | Sat Nov 15, TBD | |
| 13 | BYU (2‑0) |
Home | Sat Nov 22, TBD | |
| 14 | TCU (1‑0) |
Away | Sat Nov 29, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nebraska (3‑0) |
Big 10Big 10 | 17‑20 | Home | Thu Aug 28, 9:00 pm |
| 2 | Bowling Green (2‑1) |
MACMAC | 34‑20 | Home | Sat Sep 6, 3:30 pm |
| 3 | Northwestern State | ‑‑ | 70‑0 | Home | Sat Sep 13, 3:30 pm |