The Most Important Games for Borussia Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Borussia Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Borussia Dortmund Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Borussia Dortmund (13‑1‑6) vs VfL Wolfsburg (5‑11‑4) |
12 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | 1% | 53% | 29% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 49% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | 37% | 33% | 18% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Pauli (3‑12‑5) vs VfB Stuttgart (12‑5‑3) |
3 | St. Pauli Wins | 1% | 49% | 31% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 49% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | 1% | 48% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cologne (6‑9‑5) vs RB Leipzig (11‑6‑3) |
3 | FC Cologne Wins | 1% | 50% | 30% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 49% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | 1% | 48% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Borussia (5‑9‑6) vs Bayer Leverkusen (11‑6‑2) |
2 | Borussia Wins | 1% | 50% | 31% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 49% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | 1% | 48% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (13‑4‑3) vs Bayern Munich (16‑1‑3) |
1 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | 2% | 38% | 38% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 49% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 1% | 51% | 28% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Heidenheim (3‑13‑4) vs Hamburg SV (4‑8‑7) |
0 | FC Heidenheim Wins | 1% | 49% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 49% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | 1% | 49% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Augsburg (6‑10‑4) vs Mainz (4‑10‑6) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | 1% | 49% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 49% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mainz Wins | 1% | 49% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Werder Bremen (4‑9‑7) vs SC Freiburg (7‑7‑6) |
0 | Werder Bremen Wins | 1% | 48% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 49% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | 1% | 49% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||