The Most Important Games for Borussia Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Borussia Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Borussia Dortmund Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Borussia Dortmund (11‑1‑6) vs FC Union Berlin (6‑6‑6) |
12 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | 54% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | 38% | 28% | 19% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Werder Bremen (4‑7‑6) vs Bayer Leverkusen (9‑6‑2) |
3 | Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | 49% | 27% | 15% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Borussia (5‑8‑5) vs VfB Stuttgart (10‑5‑3) |
3 | Borussia Wins | <1% | 49% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Heidenheim (3‑11‑4) vs RB Leipzig (10‑5‑2) |
2 | FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | 52% | 25% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | 47% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (7‑5‑6) vs TSG Hoffenheim (10‑4‑3) |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | 52% | 25% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | 44% | 28% | 17% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (5‑9‑4) vs Mainz (2‑10‑6) |
1 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | 47% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mainz Wins | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Augsburg (4‑10‑4) vs Bayern Munich (16‑0‑2) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | 47% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SC Freiburg (6‑6‑6) vs FC Cologne (5‑8‑5) |
0 | SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | <1% | 47% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Pauli (3‑11‑3) vs Hamburg SV (4‑8‑5) |
0 | St. Pauli Wins | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 48% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | <1% | 47% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||