The Most Important Games for Borussia Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Borussia Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Borussia Dortmund Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Borussia Dortmund (5‑0‑3) vs SV Elversberg (4‑3‑1) |
24 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | 4% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SV Elversberg Wins | 2% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (3‑5) vs Werder Bremen (4‑1‑3) |
4 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | 4% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (1‑3‑4) vs SC Freiburg (5‑2‑1) |
2 | FC Union Berlin Wins | 4% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mainz (3‑4‑1) vs Bayern Munich (5‑0‑3) |
2 | Mainz Wins | 5% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 3% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cologne (2‑3‑3) vs Bayer Leverkusen (4‑3‑1) |
2 | FC Cologne Wins | 4% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | 4% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Schalke (1‑4‑3) vs TSG Hoffenheim (3‑5) |
1 | Schalke Wins | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hamburg SV (3‑5) vs Borussia (1‑6‑1) |
0 | Hamburg SV Wins | 4% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Borussia Wins | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SC Paderborn (2‑3‑3) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (3‑3‑2) |
0 | SC Paderborn Wins | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| RB Leipzig (5‑3) vs FC Augsburg (2‑3‑3) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | 4% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | 4% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||