The Most Important Games for Borussia Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Borussia Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Borussia Dortmund Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Borussia Dortmund (4‑0‑2) vs Bayern Munich (6‑0) |
17 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | 2% | 34% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 1% | 28% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Heidenheim (1‑5) vs Werder Bremen (2‑3‑1) |
2 | FC Heidenheim Wins | 1% | 29% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hamburg SV (2‑2‑2) vs RB Leipzig (4‑1‑1) |
2 | Hamburg SV Wins | 1% | 31% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mainz (1‑4‑1) vs Bayer Leverkusen (3‑1‑2) |
1 | Mainz Wins | 1% | 29% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SC Freiburg (2‑2‑2) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (3‑3) |
1 | SC Freiburg Wins | 1% | 29% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (1‑3‑2) vs VfB Stuttgart (4‑2) |
1 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | 1% | 29% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Borussia (0‑3‑3) vs FC Union Berlin (2‑3‑1) |
1 | Borussia Wins | 1% | 28% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | 1% | 29% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Augsburg (2‑4) vs FC Cologne (3‑2‑1) |
1 | FC Augsburg Wins | 1% | 29% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Pauli (2‑3‑1) vs TSG Hoffenheim (2‑3‑1) |
0 | St. Pauli Wins | 1% | 28% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 28% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | 1% | 29% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||