The Most Important Games for Borussia Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Borussia Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Borussia Dortmund Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Borussia Dortmund (6‑1‑2) vs Hamburg SV (2‑5‑2) |
14 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | 30% | 32% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | <1% | 21% | 31% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Heidenheim (1‑6‑2) vs Bayer Leverkusen (5‑2‑2) |
3 | FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | 29% | 32% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Borussia (1‑5‑3) vs FC Cologne (4‑3‑2) |
2 | Borussia Wins | <1% | 28% | 32% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Augsburg (2‑6‑1) vs VfB Stuttgart (6‑3) |
2 | FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | 28% | 32% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mainz (1‑6‑2) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (4‑3‑2) |
2 | Mainz Wins | <1% | 29% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| RB Leipzig (7‑1‑1) vs TSG Hoffenheim (5‑3‑1) |
1 | RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | 26% | 33% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | 30% | 29% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (2‑5‑2) vs Werder Bremen (3‑3‑3) |
1 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | 27% | 31% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Pauli (2‑6‑1) vs SC Freiburg (2‑3‑4) |
0 | St. Pauli Wins | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayern Munich (9‑0) vs FC Union Berlin (3‑4‑2) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | 1% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||