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Sun Oct 5 4:15 pm

Bundesliga - Week 9 of 39

Borussia What If?

The Borussia What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Borussia What If?

Next Game - FC Union Berlin (2‑3‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Bundesliga Champions and UEFA
Champions League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 1 3 3 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 13% 54%
Current Standings 0 3 3 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 6% 8% 12% 61%
Lose Next Game 0 4 3 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 12% 64%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Bundesliga Champions and UEFA
Champions League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 13% 54%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 6% 8% 12% 61%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 12% 64%
Best Case Scenario
   Borussia beats FC Union Berlin
 Worst Case Scenario
   FC Union Berlin beats Borussia
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Bundesliga Champions and UEFA
Champions League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Relegation
Playoff
28 of 28 100% 28 3 3 87 23% 76% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 28 96% 27 4 3 84 12% 86% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 28 93% 26 5 3 81 6% 87% 7% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 28 89% 25 6 3 78 3% 80% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 28 86% 24 7 3 75 1% 65% 30% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 28 82% 23 8 3 72 <1% 46% 42% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 28 79% 22 9 3 69 <1% 26% 47% 24% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 28 75% 21 10 3 66 <1% 12% 38% 36% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 28 71% 20 11 3 63 <1% 3% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 28 68% 19 12 3 60 <1% 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
18 of 28 64% 18 13 3 57 <1% <1% 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 28 61% 17 14 3 54 <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 28 57% 16 15 3 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 28 54% 15 16 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 26% 34% 21% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 28 50% 14 17 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 28 46% 13 18 3 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 28 43% 12 19 3 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% <1% <1%
11 of 28 39% 11 20 3 36 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% <1%
10 of 28 36% 10 21 3 33 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 32% 34% 15% 3%
9 of 28 32% 9 22 3 30 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 34% 35% 15%
8 of 28 29% 8 23 3 27 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 17% 39% 42%
7 of 28 25% 7 24 3 24 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 72%
6 of 28 21% 6 25 3 21 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 9% 91%
5 of 28 18% 5 26 3 18 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
0 of 28 0% 0 31 3 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Bundesliga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ##  denotes Relegation Playoff