The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||||
| St. Pauli (6‑13‑5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (9‑8‑7) |
13 | St. Pauli Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 8% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 12% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (7‑10‑7) vs Werder Bremen (5‑12‑7) |
3 | FC Union Berlin Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 8% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 11% | ||
| Hamburg SV (6‑10‑8) vs VfL Wolfsburg (5‑14‑5) |
3 | Hamburg SV Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 14% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 8% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 10% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (14‑6‑4) vs Mainz (5‑11‑8) |
2 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 8% | ||
| Mainz Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 15% | 9% | ||
| Bayern Munich (20‑1‑3) vs Borussia (6‑11‑7) |
1 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 8% | ||
| Borussia Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 9% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (15‑2‑7) vs FC Cologne (6‑12‑6) |
1 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 8% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 9% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (13‑7‑4) vs SC Freiburg (9‑9‑6) |
1 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 8% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 9% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (14‑6‑4) vs FC Heidenheim (3‑16‑5) |
0 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 8% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 9% | ||
| FC Augsburg (9‑11‑4) vs RB Leipzig (13‑6‑5) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 8% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 9% | ||