The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| St. Pauli (6‑17‑8) vs Mainz (8‑13‑10) |
21 | St. Pauli Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 68% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 63% | 30% | ||
| Mainz Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 60% | 39% | ||
| SC Freiburg (12‑12‑7) vs VfL Wolfsburg (6‑18‑7) |
12 | SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 71% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 63% | 30% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 47% | 47% | ||
| Bayern Munich (26‑1‑4) vs FC Heidenheim (5‑19‑7) |
3 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 63% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 63% | 30% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 58% | 36% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (11‑10‑10) vs Hamburg SV (7‑14‑10) |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 62% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 63% | 30% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 65% | 31% | ||
| FC Augsburg (10‑14‑7) vs Werder Bremen (8‑15‑8) |
1 | FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 62% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 63% | 30% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 65% | 29% | ||
| Borussia (7‑13‑11) vs Borussia Dortmund (20‑4‑7) |
0 | Borussia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 64% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 63% | 30% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 62% | 31% | ||
| FC Cologne (7‑14‑10) vs FC Union Berlin (8‑15‑8) |
0 | FC Cologne Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 65% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 63% | 30% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 62% | 31% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (17‑8‑6) vs VfB Stuttgart (17‑8‑6) |
0 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 63% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 63% | 30% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 63% | 30% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (16‑8‑7) vs RB Leipzig (19‑7‑5) |
0 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 63% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 63% | 30% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 63% | 30% | ||