The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| St. Pauli (6‑15‑6) vs FC Union Berlin (8‑12‑7) |
23 | St. Pauli Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 29% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 18% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 19% | 45% | 23% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (13‑7‑7) vs VfL Wolfsburg (5‑16‑6) |
9 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 42% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 18% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 18% | 31% | 31% | ||
| RB Leipzig (15‑7‑5) vs Werder Bremen (7‑13‑7) |
6 | RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 22% | 38% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 18% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 17% | 46% | 19% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (10‑9‑8) vs FC Cologne (6‑13‑8) |
4 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 20% | 38% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 18% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 20% | 43% | 19% | ||
| FC Heidenheim (3‑18‑6) vs Borussia (7‑12‑8) |
1 | FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 20% | 37% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 18% | ||
| Borussia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 20% | 41% | 18% | ||
| Mainz (7‑11‑9) vs TSG Hoffenheim (15‑7‑5) |
0 | Mainz Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 21% | 40% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 18% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 19% | ||
| Bayern Munich (22‑1‑4) vs SC Freiburg (10‑10‑7) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 18% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 19% | ||
| FC Augsburg (9‑14‑4) vs Hamburg SV (7‑11‑9) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 18% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 18% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (16‑6‑5) vs Borussia Dortmund (18‑2‑7) |
0 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 18% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 18% | ||