The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| St. Thomas (9‑10‑4) vs Lake Superior (9‑12‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
25 | St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 6% | 12% | 21% | 25% | 30% | 6% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 41% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 51% | 26% | 1% | ||
| Northern Michigan (2‑19‑1) vs Bemidji State (8‑10‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
4 | Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 33% | 14% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 41% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 42% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota State (15‑5‑2) vs Michigan Tech (12‑8‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 40% | 16% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 41% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 20% | 42% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Ferris State (6‑14‑2) vs Bowling Green (11‑7‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 30% | 27% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 41% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Bowling Green Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 19% | 47% | 11% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| St. Thomas (9‑10‑4) vs Lake Superior (9‑12‑1) |
12 | St. Thomas Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 22% | 37% | 11% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 41% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Lake Superior Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 47% | 20% | 1% | ||
| Northern Michigan (2‑19‑1) vs Bemidji State (8‑10‑4) |
2 | Northern Michigan Wins | <1% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 20% | 37% | 16% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 41% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Bemidji State Wins | <1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 19% | 42% | 16% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota State (15‑5‑2) vs Michigan Tech (12‑8‑2) |
1 | Minnesota State Wins | <1% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 42% | 16% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 41% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Michigan Tech Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 42% | 15% | 1% | ||
| Ferris State (6‑14‑2) vs Bowling Green (11‑7‑3) |
0 | Ferris State Wins | <1% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 36% | 21% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 41% | 16% | 1% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 44% | 13% | 1% | ||