St. Thomas Tommies What If?

	Resultant Record					Regular Season Finish
	WRi Wins in Regulation	WOSi Wins in OT and SO	LOSi Losses in OT and SO	LRi Losses in Regulation	Ptsi Pts = 3WR + 2WOS + 1LOS + 0LR	1^* First Round Home Field Advantange	2^* First Round Home Field Advantange	3^* First Round Home Field Advantange	4^* First Round Home Field Advantange	5	6	7	8
Win Next Game	2	0	2	1	8	8%	13%	16%	18%	18%	15%	10%	2%
Current Standings	1	0	2	1	5	6%	12%	15%	16%	17%	17%	13%	3%
Lose Next Game	1	0	2	2	5	4%	10%	14%	16%	18%	19%	14%	4%

	Resultant Record					Regular Season Finish
	WRi Wins in Regulation	WOSi Wins in OT and SO	LOSi Losses in OT and SO	LRi Losses in Regulation	Ptsi Pts = 3WR + 2WOS + 1LOS + 0LR	1^* First Round Home Field Advantange	2^* First Round Home Field Advantange	3^* First Round Home Field Advantange	4^* First Round Home Field Advantange	5	6	7	8
St. Thomas Sweeps	3	0	2	1	11	10%	15%	18%	18%	17%	14%	7%	1%
Current Standings	1	0	2	1	5	6%	12%	15%	16%	17%	17%	13%	3%
Bemidji State Sweeps	1	0	2	3	5	3%	8%	13%	17%	19%	20%	16%	4%

	Regular Season Finish
	1^* First Round Home Field Advantange	2^* First Round Home Field Advantange	3^* First Round Home Field Advantange	4^* First Round Home Field Advantange	5	6	7	8
Best Case Scenario	8%	13%	16%	18%	18%	15%	10%	2%
Current Standings	6%	12%	15%	16%	17%	17%	13%	3%
Worst Case Scenario	4%	10%	14%	16%	18%	19%	14%	4%
Best Case Scenario St. Thomas beats Bemidji State					Worst Case Scenario Bemidji State beats St. Thomas

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record					Regular Season Finish
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	WRi Wins in Regulation	WOSi Wins in OT and SO	LOSi Losses in OT and SO	LRi Losses in Regulation	Ptsi Pts = 3WR + 2WOS + 1LOS + 0LR	1^* First Round Home Field Advantange	2^* First Round Home Field Advantange	3^* First Round Home Field Advantange	4^* First Round Home Field Advantange	5	6	7	8
20 of 20	100%	21	0	2	1	65	100%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
19 of 20	95%	20	0	2	2	62	>99%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^	^
18 of 20	90%	19	0	2	3	59	94%	6%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^
17 of 20	85%	18	0	2	4	56	78%	22%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^
16 of 20	80%	17	0	2	5	53	52%	45%	4%	<1%	^	^	^	^
15 of 20	75%	16	0	2	6	50	24%	58%	17%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^
14 of 20	70%	15	0	2	7	47	6%	47%	42%	5%	<1%	^	^	^
13 of 20	65%	14	0	2	8	44	1%	19%	55%	24%	1%	<1%	^	^
12 of 20	60%	13	0	2	9	41	<1%	4%	36%	50%	10%	<1%	^	^
11 of 20	55%	12	0	2	10	38	<1%	<1%	12%	51%	34%	3%	<1%	^
10 of 20	50%	11	0	2	11	35	X	<1%	2%	27%	53%	17%	1%	<1%
9 of 20	45%	10	0	2	12	32	X	<1%	<1%	8%	46%	42%	5%	<1%
8 of 20	40%	9	0	2	13	29	X	X	<1%	1%	22%	57%	19%	<1%
7 of 20	35%	8	0	2	14	26	X	X	<1%	<1%	6%	49%	43%	2%
6 of 20	30%	7	0	2	15	23	X	X	X	<1%	1%	26%	64%	9%
5 of 20	25%	6	0	2	16	20	X	X	X	X	<1%	8%	66%	26%
4 of 20	20%	5	0	2	17	17	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	50%	49%
3 of 20	15%	4	0	2	18	14	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	26%	74%
2 of 20	10%	3	0	2	19	11	X	X	X	X	X	X	9%	91%
1 of 20	5%	2	0	2	20	8	X	X	X	X	X	X	1%	99%
0 of 20	0%	1	0	2	21	5	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament

CCHA Hockey - Week 8 of 22