Where are the St. Thomas Tommies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Thomas standings table presents the probabilities of the Tommies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 26 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Minnesota State | 7i Minnesota State Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 02 vs Mass.-Lowell 1-3 Won Sat, Jan 03 vs Yale 4-3 Sat, Jan 10 vs St. Thomas |
2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 28% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| St. Thomas | 7 St. Thomas Recent Games Won Fri, Dec 12 @ Northern Michigan 2-0 Won Sat, Dec 13 @ Northern Michigan 4-3 Won Fri, Jan 02 vs Ferris State 5-3 Won Sat, Jan 03 vs Ferris State 8-4 Sat, Jan 10 @ Minnesota State |
2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 18% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Bemidji State | 4 Bemidji State Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 29 @ North Dakota 1-2 Lost Fri, Dec 05 @ Augustana 1-3 Won Sun, Dec 07 @ Augustana 4-4 Fri, Jan 09 vs Michigan Tech Sat, Jan 10 vs Michigan Tech |
6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 21% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Augustana | 6 Augustana Recent Games Won Fri, Dec 19 vs Nebraska-Omaha 7-4 Lost Sat, Dec 20 vs Nebraska-Omaha 1-4 Won Fri, Jan 02 vs Colorado College 3-2 Won Sat, Jan 03 vs Colorado College 4-2 Fri, Jan 09 @ Northern Michigan Sat, Jan 10 @ Northern Michigan |
2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 17% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan Tech | 6 Michigan Tech Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 02 @ Air Force 2-8 Won Sat, Jan 03 @ Anchorage 5-0 Fri, Jan 09 @ Bemidji State Sat, Jan 10 @ Bemidji State |
1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 19% | 8% | <1% | <1% |
| Bowling Green | 4 Bowling Green Recent Games Tie Fri, Jan 02 @ Ohio State 2-2 Won Sat, Jan 03 vs Ohio State 5-3 Fri, Jan 09 @ Ferris State Sat, Jan 10 @ Ferris State |
3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 27% | 10% | <1% | <1% |
| Lake Superior | 4 Lake Superior Recent Games Lost Mon, Dec 29 vs Boston College 3-4 Won Sat, Jan 03 vs Northern Michigan 2-1 Won Sun, Jan 04 vs Northern Michigan 2-1 Fri, Jan 16 @ B. Green Sat, Jan 17 @ B. Green |
1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 17 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 65% | 9% | 1% |
| Ferris State | 2 Ferris State Recent Games Lost Mon, Dec 29 vs Miami 2-4 Lost Fri, Jan 02 @ St. Thomas 3-5 Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ St. Thomas 4-8 Fri, Jan 09 vs B. Green Sat, Jan 10 vs B. Green |
1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 78% | 12% |
| Northern Michigan | 1 Northern Michigan Recent Games Lost Fri, Dec 12 vs St. Thomas 0-2 Lost Sat, Dec 13 vs St. Thomas 3-4 Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ Lake S. 1-2 Lost Sun, Jan 04 @ Lake S. 1-2 Fri, Jan 09 vs Augustana Sat, Jan 10 vs Augustana |
0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 87% |
| Record | Total | Home (68%) |
Away (32%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| (7)Lake Superior | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18% | 17% | 1% |
| (6)Bowling Green | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17% | 11% | 6% |
| (5)Michigan Tech | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 16% | 9% | 7% |
| (8)Ferris State | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 15% | 15% | <1% |
| (3)Bemidji State | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12% | 5% | 7% |
| (4)Augustana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11% | 5% | 6% |
| (1)Minnesota State | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 9% | 3% | 7% |
| (9)Northern Michigan | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| Elimination | <1% | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Minnesota State (12‑5‑5) |
1‑3 | Home | Fri Oct 31, 8:07 pm |
| 5 | Minnesota State (12‑5‑5) |
4‑3 (OT) | Away | Sat Nov 1, 7:07 pm |
| 7 | Augustana (12‑6‑3) |
4‑4 (SO) | Away | Sat Nov 15, 7:07 pm |
| 8 | Bowling Green (9‑5‑4) |
2‑3 (OT) | Home | Fri Nov 21, 8:07 pm |
| 8 | Bowling Green (9‑5‑4) |
6‑2 | Home | Sat Nov 22, 7:07 pm |
| 9 | Michigan Tech (12‑8‑2) |
3‑3 (SO) | Away | Fri Nov 28, 7:07 pm |
| 9 | Michigan Tech (12‑8‑2) |
2‑1 | Away | Sat Nov 29, 6:07 pm |
| 10 | Lake Superior (8‑13‑1) |
3‑5 | Home | Fri Dec 5, 8:07 pm |
| 10 | Lake Superior (8‑13‑1) |
4‑1 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 7:07 pm |
| 11 | Northern Michigan (1‑21) |
2‑0 | Away | Fri Dec 12, 7:07 pm |
| 11 | Northern Michigan (1‑21) |
4‑3 | Away | Sat Dec 13, 6:07 pm |
| 14 | Ferris State (4‑18) |
5‑3 | Home | Fri Jan 2, 8:07 pm |
| 14 | Ferris State (4‑18) |
8‑4 | Home | Sat Jan 3, 7:07 pm |
| 15 | Minnesota State (12‑5‑5) |
Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:07 pm | |
| 16 | Bemidji State (9‑8‑3) |
Home | Fri Jan 16, 8:07 pm | |
| 16 | Bemidji State (9‑8‑3) |
Home | Sat Jan 17, 8:07 pm | |
| 17 | Lake Superior (8‑13‑1) |
Away | Fri Jan 23, 7:07 pm | |
| 17 | Lake Superior (8‑13‑1) |
Away | Sat Jan 24, 6:07 pm | |
| 18 | Michigan Tech (12‑8‑2) |
Home | Fri Jan 30, 8:07 pm | |
| 18 | Michigan Tech (12‑8‑2) |
Home | Sat Jan 31, 7:07 pm | |
| 19 | Bowling Green (9‑5‑4) |
Away | Fri Feb 6, 7:07 pm | |
| 19 | Bowling Green (9‑5‑4) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 7:07 pm | |
| 21 | Augustana (12‑6‑3) |
Home | Fri Feb 20, 8:07 pm | |
| 21 | Augustana (12‑6‑3) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 8:07 pm | |
| 22 | Bemidji State (9‑8‑3) |
Away | Fri Feb 27, 8:07 pm | |
| 22 | Bemidji State (9‑8‑3) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 7:07 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Cloud State (10‑10) |
NCHCNCHC | 4‑3 | Away | Sat Oct 4 |
| 2 | North Dakota (16‑4) |
NCHCNCHC | 2‑6 | Away | Fri Oct 10 |
| 2 | North Dakota (16‑4) |
NCHCNCHC | 2‑5 | Home | Sun Oct 12 |
| 3 | Air Force (10‑8‑2) |
AtlanticAtl. | 11‑2 | Away | Fri Oct 17 |
| 3 | Air Force (10‑8‑2) |
AtlanticAtl. | 2‑6 | Away | Sat Oct 18 |
| 4 | Providence (9‑7‑2) |
EastEast | 2‑2 (OT) | Home | Fri Oct 24, 8:07 pm |
| 4 | Providence (9‑7‑2) |
EastEast | 4‑7 | Home | Sat Oct 25, 8:07 pm |
| 7 | St. Cloud State (10‑10) |
NCHCNCHC | 3‑1 | Home | Tue Nov 11, 8:07 pm |