Where are the St. Thomas Tommies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Thomas standings table presents the probabilities of the Tommies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Michigan Tech | 4i Michigan Tech Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 02 vs Northern Michigan 6-3 Won Fri, Nov 08 @ Ferris State 3-2 Won Sat, Nov 09 @ Ferris State 3-1 Fri, Nov 22 vs Minnesota State Sat, Nov 23 vs Minnesota State |
0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 38% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Minnesota State | 3 Minnesota State Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 09 vs St. Thomas 1-1 Won Fri, Nov 15 vs Northern Michigan 3-0 Lost Sat, Nov 16 vs Northern Michigan 1-1 Fri, Nov 22 @ Michigan Tech Sat, Nov 23 @ Michigan Tech |
1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 25% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Lake Superior | 3 Lake Superior Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 15 vs Ferris State 4-2 Lost Sat, Nov 16 @ Ferris State 2-3 Fri, Nov 22 @ Anchorage Sat, Nov 23 @ Anchorage |
0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 5% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 4% |
| Bowling Green | 2 Bowling Green Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 01 vs Ferris State 2-0 Won Sat, Nov 02 vs Ferris State 5-4 Won Fri, Nov 15 @ St. Thomas 2-2 Lost Sat, Nov 16 @ St. Thomas 3-6 Fri, Nov 29 vs Michigan Tech Sat, Nov 30 vs Michigan Tech |
1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 1% |
| Bemidji State | 2 Bemidji State Recent Games Lost Thu, Nov 14 @ Minnesota 3-5 Won Sat, Nov 16 vs Minnesota 3-1 Fri, Nov 22 vs St. Thomas Sat, Nov 23 vs St. Thomas |
0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 1% |
| Ferris State | 2 Ferris State Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 15 @ Lake S. 2-4 Won Sat, Nov 16 vs Lake S. 3-2 Fri, Nov 22 vs Augustana Sat, Nov 23 vs Augustana |
0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 36% | 21% |
| St. Thomas | 1 St. Thomas Recent Games Lost Sat, Nov 09 @ Minnesota State 1-1 Lost Fri, Nov 15 vs B. Green 2-2 Won Sat, Nov 16 vs B. Green 6-3 Fri, Nov 22 @ Bemidji State Sat, Nov 23 @ Bemidji State |
0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 3% |
| Northern Michigan | 0 Northern Michigan Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 08 vs Lake S. 0-5 Lost Sat, Nov 09 vs Lake S. 1-5 Lost Fri, Nov 15 @ Minnesota State 0-3 Won Sat, Nov 16 @ Minnesota State 1-1 Fri, Nov 29 @ Augustana Sat, Nov 30 @ Augustana |
1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 69% |
| Record | Total | Home (49%) |
Away (51%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| (5)Bemidji State | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 19% | 8% | 11% |
| (3)Lake Superior | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18% | 10% | 9% |
| (4)Bowling Green | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16% | 6% | 10% |
| (2)Minnesota State | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14% | 3% | 11% |
| (6)Ferris State | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13% | 11% | 1% |
| (1)Michigan Tech | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13% | 3% | 10% |
| (8)Northern Michigan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8% | 8% | <1% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Minnesota State (8‑4‑2) |
3‑5 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 8:07 pm |
| 6 | Minnesota State (8‑4‑2) |
1‑1 (SO) | Away | Sat Nov 9, 7:07 pm |
| 7 | Bowling Green (5‑4‑1) |
2‑2 (SO) | Home | Fri Nov 15, 8:07 pm |
| 7 | Bowling Green (5‑4‑1) |
6‑3 | Home | Sat Nov 16, 7:07 pm |
| 8 | Bemidji State (5‑6) |
Away | Fri Nov 22, 8:07 pm | |
| 8 | Bemidji State (5‑6) |
Away | Sat Nov 23, 7:07 pm | |
| 9 | Lake Superior (4‑6) |
Home | Fri Nov 29, 8:07 pm | |
| 9 | Lake Superior (4‑6) |
Home | Sat Nov 30, 7:07 pm | |
| 10 | Michigan Tech (6‑2) |
Away | Fri Dec 6, 7:07 pm | |
| 10 | Michigan Tech (6‑2) |
Away | Sat Dec 7, 6:07 pm | |
| 15 | Ferris State (3‑9‑2) |
Home | Fri Jan 10, 8:07 pm | |
| 15 | Ferris State (3‑9‑2) |
Home | Sat Jan 11, 7:07 pm | |
| 16 | Lake Superior (4‑6) |
Away | Fri Jan 17, 7:07 pm | |
| 16 | Lake Superior (4‑6) |
Away | Sat Jan 18, 6:07 pm | |
| 17 | Bemidji State (5‑6) |
Home | Sat Jan 25, 7:07 pm | |
| 17 | Bemidji State (5‑6) |
Home | Sun Jan 26, 4:07 pm | |
| 18 | Minnesota State (8‑4‑2) |
Away | Fri Jan 31, 8:07 pm | |
| 18 | Minnesota State (8‑4‑2) |
Home | Sat Feb 1, 7:07 pm | |
| 19 | Bowling Green (5‑4‑1) |
Away | Fri Feb 7, 7:07 pm | |
| 19 | Bowling Green (5‑4‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 8, 7:07 pm | |
| 21 | Northern Michigan (1‑10‑1) |
Away | Fri Feb 21, 7:07 pm | |
| 21 | Northern Michigan (1‑10‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 6:07 pm | |
| 22 | Michigan Tech (6‑2) |
Home | Fri Feb 28, 8:07 pm | |
| 22 | Michigan Tech (6‑2) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 7:07 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Cloud State (8‑3) |
NCHCNCHC | 0‑1 | Home | Sun Oct 6, 6:07 pm |
| 2 | Vermont (2‑6‑3) |
EastEast | 5‑5 (OT) | Home | Fri Oct 11, 8:07 pm |
| 2 | Vermont (2‑6‑3) |
EastEast | 3‑1 | Home | Sat Oct 12, 7:07 pm |
| 4 | Minnesota (10‑2) |
Big 10Big 10 | 1‑7 | Away | Fri Oct 25, 6:30 pm |
| 4 | Minnesota (10‑2) |
Big 10Big 10 | 2‑6 | Home | Sat Oct 26, 9:00 pm |
| 5 | Augustana (5‑6) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑0 | Home | Fri Nov 1, 8:07 pm |
| 5 | Augustana (5‑6) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑0 | Home | Fri Nov 1, 8:07 pm |
| 5 | Augustana (5‑6) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑3 | Home | Sat Nov 2, 7:07 pm |
| 13 | St. Cloud State (8‑3) |
NCHCNCHC | Away | Sun Dec 29, 5:07 pm | |
| 14 | Lindenwood (2‑9‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Fri Jan 3, 8:30 pm | |
| 14 | Lindenwood (2‑9‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Sat Jan 4, 5:30 pm |