Where are the St. Thomas Tommies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Thomas standings table presents the probabilities of the Tommies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Minnesota State | 8i Minnesota State Recent Games Won Fri, Dec 13 vs Lake S. 2-1 Won Sat, Dec 14 vs Lake S. 3-2 Lost Fri, Jan 10 @ Northern Michigan 2-3 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ Northern Michigan 6-1 Fri, Jan 17 vs Michigan Tech Sat, Jan 18 vs Michigan Tech |
3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 71% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan Tech | 8 Michigan Tech Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 04 @ Holy Cross 4-3 Lost Fri, Jan 10 vs Lake S. 2-4 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Lake S. 1-0 Fri, Jan 17 @ Minnesota State Sat, Jan 18 @ Minnesota State |
0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 14% | 31% | 29% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Bowling Green | 6 Bowling Green Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 03 @ Lake S. 3-0 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ Lake S. 3-1 Won Fri, Jan 10 vs Bemidji State 4-3 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Bemidji State 4-4 Fri, Jan 17 @ Ferris State Sat, Jan 18 @ Ferris State |
3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 26 | 10% | 33% | 29% | 15% | 9% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Lake Superior | 7 Lake Superior Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 03 vs B. Green 0-3 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs B. Green 1-3 Won Fri, Jan 10 @ Michigan Tech 4-2 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Michigan Tech 0-1 Fri, Jan 17 vs St. Thomas Sat, Jan 18 vs St. Thomas |
0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 1% | 6% | 12% | 28% | 31% | 18% | 4% | <1% |
| Bemidji State | 4 Bemidji State Recent Games Lost Tue, Dec 31 vs Minnesota-Duluth 2-4 Lost Fri, Jan 10 @ B. Green 3-4 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ B. Green 4-4 Fri, Jan 17 vs Northern Michigan Sat, Jan 18 vs Northern Michigan |
3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 3% | 10% | 15% | 24% | 28% | 17% | 4% | <1% |
| St. Thomas | 4 St. Thomas Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 03 @ Lindenwood 3-2 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ Lindenwood 4-2 Won Fri, Jan 10 vs Ferris State 9-6 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Ferris State 4-3 Fri, Jan 17 @ Lake S. Sat, Jan 18 @ Lake S. |
0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 41% | 16% | 1% |
| Ferris State | 4 Ferris State Recent Games Lost Sun, Dec 29 @ Alaska 1-4 Sun, Dec 29 @ Alaska Lost Fri, Jan 10 @ St. Thomas 6-9 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ St. Thomas 3-4 Fri, Jan 17 vs B. Green Sat, Jan 18 vs B. Green |
0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 18% | 68% | 7% |
| Northern Michigan | 1 Northern Michigan Recent Games Lost Mon, Dec 30 @ Michigan Tech 3-4 Won Fri, Jan 10 vs Minnesota State 3-2 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Minnesota State 1-6 Fri, Jan 17 @ Bemidji State Sat, Jan 18 @ Bemidji State |
1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% |
| Record | Total | Home (24%) |
Away (76%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| (2)Michigan Tech | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 23% | 3% | 20% |
| (3)Bowling Green | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 23% | 2% | 20% |
| (4)Lake Superior | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 21% | 8% | 13% |
| (5)Bemidji State | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 21% | 6% | 15% |
| (1)Minnesota State | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 7% | <1% | 7% |
| (7)Ferris State | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 4% | 4% | 1% |
| (8)Northern Michigan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Minnesota State (15‑5‑2) |
3‑5 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 8:07 pm |
| 6 | Minnesota State (15‑5‑2) |
1‑1 (SO) | Away | Sat Nov 9, 7:07 pm |
| 7 | Bowling Green (11‑7‑3) |
2‑2 (SO) | Home | Fri Nov 15, 8:07 pm |
| 7 | Bowling Green (11‑7‑3) |
6‑3 | Home | Sat Nov 16, 7:07 pm |
| 8 | Bemidji State (8‑10‑4) |
2‑2 (SO) | Away | Fri Nov 22, 8:07 pm |
| 8 | Bemidji State (8‑10‑4) |
1‑2 | Away | Sat Nov 23, 7:07 pm |
| 9 | Lake Superior (9‑12‑1) |
2‑4 | Home | Fri Nov 29, 8:07 pm |
| 9 | Lake Superior (9‑12‑1) |
3‑5 | Home | Sat Nov 30, 7:07 pm |
| 10 | Michigan Tech (12‑8‑2) |
1‑2 | Away | Fri Dec 6, 7:07 pm |
| 10 | Michigan Tech (12‑8‑2) |
4‑1 | Away | Sat Dec 7, 6:07 pm |
| 15 | Ferris State (6‑14‑2) |
9‑6 | Home | Fri Jan 10, 8:07 pm |
| 15 | Ferris State (6‑14‑2) |
4‑3 | Home | Sat Jan 11, 7:07 pm |
| 16 | Lake Superior (9‑12‑1) |
Away | Fri Jan 17, 7:07 pm | |
| 16 | Lake Superior (9‑12‑1) |
Away | Sat Jan 18, 6:07 pm | |
| 17 | Bemidji State (8‑10‑4) |
Home | Sat Jan 25, 7:07 pm | |
| 17 | Bemidji State (8‑10‑4) |
Home | Sun Jan 26, 4:07 pm | |
| 18 | Minnesota State (15‑5‑2) |
Away | Fri Jan 31, 8:07 pm | |
| 18 | Minnesota State (15‑5‑2) |
Home | Sat Feb 1, 7:07 pm | |
| 19 | Bowling Green (11‑7‑3) |
Away | Fri Feb 7, 7:07 pm | |
| 19 | Bowling Green (11‑7‑3) |
Away | Sat Feb 8, 7:07 pm | |
| 21 | Northern Michigan (2‑19‑1) |
Away | Fri Feb 21, 7:07 pm | |
| 21 | Northern Michigan (2‑19‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 6:07 pm | |
| 22 | Michigan Tech (12‑8‑2) |
Home | Fri Feb 28, 8:07 pm | |
| 22 | Michigan Tech (12‑8‑2) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 7:07 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Cloud State (11‑9) |
NCHCNCHC | 0‑1 | Home | Sun Oct 6, 6:07 pm |
| 2 | Vermont (8‑10‑3) |
EastEast | 5‑5 (OT) | Home | Fri Oct 11, 8:07 pm |
| 2 | Vermont (8‑10‑3) |
EastEast | 3‑1 | Home | Sat Oct 12, 7:07 pm |
| 4 | Minnesota (18‑4‑2) |
Big 10Big 10 | 1‑7 | Away | Fri Oct 25, 6:30 pm |
| 4 | Minnesota (18‑4‑2) |
Big 10Big 10 | 2‑6 | Home | Sat Oct 26, 9:00 pm |
| 5 | Augustana (12‑8‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑0 | Home | Fri Nov 1, 8:07 pm |
| 5 | Augustana (12‑8‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑0 | Home | Fri Nov 1, 8:07 pm |
| 5 | Augustana (12‑8‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑3 | Home | Sat Nov 2, 7:07 pm |
| 13 | St. Cloud State (11‑9) |
NCHCNCHC | 1‑2 | Away | Sun Dec 29, 5:07 pm |
| 14 | Lindenwood (5‑16‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 3‑2 (OT) | Away | Fri Jan 3, 8:30 pm |
| 14 | Lindenwood (5‑16‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑2 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 5:30 pm |