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Sun Nov 9 1:45 am

Conference USA Football - Week 12 of 14

Liberty Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Liberty Flames are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flames final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Liberty Flames fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Liberty Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Liberty Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Liberty
(4‑5)

vs
Florida Intl.
(4‑5)
3 Liberty Wins <1% 3% 11% 34% 52% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities ^ <1% 2% 7% 21% 34% 34% 2% <1% ^
Florida Intl. Wins ^ ^ X <1% 3% 12% 26% 57% 2% <1%
Middle Tenn. St.
(1‑8)

vs
W. Kentucky
(7‑2)
3 Middle Tenn. St. Wins <1% 4% 9% 17% 33% 32% 3% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities ^ <1% 2% 7% 21% 34% 34% 2% <1% ^
W. Kentucky Wins ^ ^ X 2% 7% 22% 34% 34% 1% <1%
Delaware
(5‑4)

vs
Sam Houston
(1‑8)
0 Delaware Wins <1% 2% 7% 21% 34% 35% 1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities ^ <1% 2% 7% 21% 34% 34% 2% <1% ^
Sam Houston Wins ^ ^ <1% 2% 7% 21% 34% 33% 3% 1%
UTEP
(2‑7)

vs
Missouri St.
(6‑3)
0 UTEP Wins <1% 2% 7% 21% 33% 33% 4% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities ^ <1% 2% 7% 21% 34% 34% 2% <1% ^
Missouri St. Wins ^ ^ <1% 2% 7% 21% 33% 35% 1% <1%
Kennesaw St.
(7‑2)

vs
Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St.
(6‑3)
0 Kennesaw St. Wins <1% 2% 3% 23% 34% 35% 2% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities ^ <1% 2% 7% 21% 34% 34% 2% <1% ^
Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. Wins ^ ^ X 2% 11% 18% 33% 34% 1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant