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Fri Oct 10 1:30 am

Conference USA Football - Week 8 of 14

Liberty Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Liberty Flames are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flames final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Liberty Flames fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Liberty Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Liberty Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Liberty
(2‑4)

vs
New Mexico St.
(3‑2)
6 Liberty Wins 2% 6% 10% 13% 18% 19% 18% 11% 3% <1%
Current Probabilities ^ 1% 3% 6% 10% 14% 17% 19% 17% 10%
New Mexico St. Wins 3% ^ <1% 1% 3% 6% 10% 17% 23% 21%
Delaware
(3‑2)

vs
Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St.
(3‑3)
1 Delaware Wins 1% 4% 7% 10% 13% 16% 19% 16% 11% 3%
Current Probabilities ^ 1% 3% 6% 10% 14% 17% 19% 17% 10%
Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. Wins 3% ^ 1% 3% 6% 9% 14% 17% 20% 17%
Florida Intl.
(2‑3)

vs
W. Kentucky
(5‑1)
1 Florida Intl. Wins 1% 4% 6% 9% 12% 16% 20% 18% 11% 3%
Current Probabilities ^ 1% 3% 6% 10% 14% 17% 19% 17% 10%
W. Kentucky Wins 3% ^ 1% 3% 7% 10% 14% 16% 19% 16%
UTEP
(1‑5)

vs
Sam Houston
(0‑6)
0 UTEP Wins 1% 4% 7% 9% 13% 18% 20% 14% 10% 4%
Current Probabilities ^ 1% 3% 6% 10% 14% 17% 19% 17% 10%
Sam Houston Wins 3% ^ 1% 3% 7% 9% 14% 16% 18% 18%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant