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Thu Oct 22 11:00 pm

Conference USA Football - Week 9 of 13

Liberty Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Liberty Flames are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Flames final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Liberty Flames fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Liberty Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Liberty Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Liberty
(6‑1)

vs
Florida Intl.
(3‑4)
20 Liberty Wins 48% 30% 14% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 43% 29% 14% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Florida Intl. Wins 24% 34% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Kennesaw St.
(1‑6)

vs
Middle Tenn. St.
(4‑3)
4 Kennesaw St. Wins 46% 31% 11% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 43% 29% 14% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Middle Tenn. St. Wins 43% 29% 14% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
New Mexico St.
(3‑4)

vs
Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St.
(5‑2)
3 New Mexico St. Wins 56% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 43% 29% 14% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. Wins 39% 32% 15% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Delaware
(3‑4)

vs
W. Kentucky
(3‑4)
1 Delaware Wins 45% 28% 14% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 43% 29% 14% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
W. Kentucky Wins 44% 28% 14% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Sam Houston
(1‑6)

vs
Missouri St.
(2‑5)
1 Sam Houston Wins 43% 29% 14% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 43% 29% 14% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Missouri St. Wins 44% 28% 14% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant