The Liberty Flames What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Liberty plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 2 | <1% | 3% | 11% | 34% | 52% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 3 | 2 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 21% | 34% | 34% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 3 | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 26% | 57% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | 9% | 17% | 23% | 51% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | <1% | 2% | 7% | 21% | 34% | 34% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | 13% | 27% | 57% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Jacksonville St. beats Kennesaw St. Middle Tenn. St. beats W. Kentucky Liberty beats Florida Intl. |
Worst Case Scenario Kennesaw St. beats Jacksonville St. W. Kentucky beats Middle Tenn. St. Florida Intl. beats Liberty |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 6 | 2 | <1% | 22% | 55% | 22% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 5 | 3 | X | <1% | 11% | 68% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 4 | 4 | X | X | X | 7% | 67% | 27% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | 1% | 93% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ |