The W. Kentucky Hilltoppers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how W. Kentucky plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 24% | 17% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 19% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Current Standings | 19% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
|||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 94% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 7 | 1 | 66% | 30% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 6 | 2 | 19% | 42% | 30% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 5 | 3 | 1% | 10% | 31% | 35% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 34% | 31% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 3 | 5 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 37% | 27% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 11% | 34% | 40% | 14% | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 8% | 34% | 57% | ^ | ^ |