The W. Kentucky Hilltoppers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how W. Kentucky plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 1 | 29% | 33% | 37% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 5 | 1 | 27% | 34% | 37% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 2 | 7% | 39% | 37% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 29% | 33% | 37% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 27% | 34% | 37% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 7% | 39% | 37% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario W. Kentucky beats Middle Tenn. St. |
Worst Case Scenario Middle Tenn. St. beats W. Kentucky |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 58% | 42% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 6 | 2 | 7% | 43% | 49% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 5 | 3 | X | 2% | 61% | 35% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |