The W. Kentucky Hilltoppers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how W. Kentucky plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 1 | 34% | 37% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 4 | 1 | 28% | 35% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 2 | 11% | 34% | 24% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 48% | 31% | 18% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 28% | 35% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 9% | 31% | 25% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario UTEP beats Kennesaw St. Missouri St. beats Florida Intl. W. Kentucky beats New Mexico St. |
Worst Case Scenario Kennesaw St. beats UTEP Florida Intl. beats Missouri St. New Mexico St. beats W. Kentucky |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 64% | 36% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 6 | 2 | 16% | 52% | 29% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 11% | 40% | 35% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 4 | 4 | X | <1% | 3% | 17% | 32% | 33% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% |