The Brighton What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 10 | 10 | 10 | 40 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 9 | 10 | 10 | 37 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 9 | 11 | 10 | 37 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Newcastle beats Chelsea Brighton beats Sunderland |
Worst Case Scenario Chelsea beats Newcastle Sunderland beats Brighton |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 9 of 9 | 100% | 18 | 10 | 10 | 64 | X | <1% | 9% | 36% | 41% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 9 | 89% | 17 | 11 | 10 | 61 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 25% | 44% | 23% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 9 | 78% | 16 | 12 | 10 | 58 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 44% | 32% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 9 | 67% | 15 | 13 | 10 | 55 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 37% | 36% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 5 of 9 | 56% | 14 | 14 | 10 | 52 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 35% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 9 | 44% | 13 | 15 | 10 | 49 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 37% | 29% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 of 9 | 33% | 12 | 16 | 10 | 46 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 31% | 46% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 2 of 9 | 22% | 11 | 17 | 10 | 43 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 27% | 48% | 20% | 2% | <1% |
| 1 of 9 | 11% | 10 | 18 | 10 | 40 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 26% | 50% | 20% | 2% |
| 0 of 9 | 0% | 9 | 19 | 10 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 31% | 47% | 19% |