Is your team going to win its league championship, qualify for the UEFA Championship League, or be relegated? The EPL table presents the probabilities that a team will win each table spot.  All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.  Click a team name to proceed to the team page.
Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GDi Goal Differential |
GPi Games Played 38 game season |
Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |
Liverpool | 5i Liverpool Recent Games Won Sun, Aug 31 vs Arsenal 1-0 Won Sun, Sep 14 @ Burnley 1-0 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Everton 2-1 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Crystal Palace 1-2 Sat, Oct 04 @ Chelsea Sat, Oct 18 vs Man U Sat, Oct 25 @ Brentford Sat, Nov 01 vs Aston Villa |
1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 22% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Arsenal | 4 Arsenal Recent Games Lost Sun, Aug 31 @ Liverpool 0-1 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Nottingham 3-0 Tie Sun, Sep 21 vs Man City 1-1 Won Sun, Sep 28 @ Newcastle 2-1 Sat, Oct 04 vs West Ham Sat, Oct 18 @ Fulham Sat, Oct 25 vs Crystal Palace Sat, Nov 01 @ Burnley |
1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 38% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Crystal Palace | 3 Crystal Palace Recent Games Won Sun, Aug 31 @ Aston Villa 3-0 Tie Sat, Sep 13 vs Sunderland 0-0 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ West Ham 2-1 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Liverpool 2-1 Sun, Oct 05 @ Everton Sat, Oct 18 vs Bournemouth Sat, Oct 25 @ Arsenal Sat, Nov 01 vs Brentford |
0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Tottenham Hotspur | 3 Tottenham Hotspur Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 vs Bournemouth 0-1 Won Sat, Sep 13 @ West Ham 3-0 Tie Sat, Sep 20 @ Brighton 2-2 Tie Sat, Sep 27 vs Wolves 1-1 Sat, Oct 04 @ Leeds United Sat, Oct 18 vs Aston Villa Sat, Oct 25 @ Everton Sat, Nov 01 vs Chelsea |
1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Sunderland | 3 Sunderland Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Brentford 2-1 Tie Sat, Sep 13 @ Crystal Palace 0-0 Tie Sun, Sep 21 vs Aston Villa 1-1 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Nottingham 1-0 Sat, Oct 04 @ Man U Sat, Oct 18 vs Wolves Sat, Oct 25 @ Chelsea Sat, Nov 01 vs Everton |
1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
BournemouthBournemoth | 3 Bournemouth Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 @ Tottenham Hotspur 1-0 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Brighton 2-1 Tie Sun, Sep 21 vs Newcastle 0-0 Tie Sat, Sep 27 @ Leeds United 2-2 Fri, Oct 03 vs Fulham Sat, Oct 18 @ Crystal Palace Sat, Oct 25 vs Nottingham Sat, Nov 01 @ Man City |
1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
Manchester City | 3 Manchester City Recent Games Lost Sun, Aug 31 @ Brighton 1-2 Won Sun, Sep 14 vs Man U 3-0 Tie Sun, Sep 21 @ Arsenal 1-1 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Burnley 5-1 Sun, Oct 05 @ Brentford Sat, Oct 18 vs Everton Sat, Oct 25 @ Aston Villa Sat, Nov 01 vs Bournemouth |
2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 19% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Chelsea | 2 Chelsea Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Fulham 2-0 Tie Sat, Sep 13 @ Brentford 2-2 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Man U 1-2 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Brighton 1-3 Sat, Oct 04 vs Liverpool Sat, Oct 18 @ Nottingham Sat, Oct 25 vs Sunderland Sat, Nov 01 @ Tottenham Hotspur |
2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
Everton | 2 Everton Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 @ Wolves 3-2 Tie Sat, Sep 13 vs Aston Villa 0-0 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Liverpool 1-2 Tie Mon, Sep 29 vs West Ham 1-1 Sun, Oct 05 vs Crystal Palace Sat, Oct 18 @ Man City Sat, Oct 25 vs Tottenham Hotspur Sat, Nov 01 @ Sunderland |
2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 13% |
Brighton | 2 Brighton Recent Games Won Sun, Aug 31 vs Man City 2-1 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Bournemouth 1-2 Tie Sat, Sep 20 vs Tottenham Hotspur 2-2 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Chelsea 3-1 Sun, Oct 05 @ Wolves Sat, Oct 18 vs Newcastle Sat, Oct 25 @ Man U Sat, Nov 01 vs Leeds United |
2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
Fulham | 2 Fulham Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Chelsea 0-2 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Leeds United 1-0 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Brentford 3-1 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Aston Villa 1-3 Fri, Oct 03 @ Bournemouth Sat, Oct 18 vs Arsenal Sat, Oct 25 @ Newcastle Sat, Nov 01 vs Wolves |
2 | 2 | -1 | 6 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 16% |
Leeds United | 2 Leeds United Recent Games Tie Sat, Aug 30 vs Newcastle 0-0 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Fulham 0-1 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Wolves 3-1 Tie Sat, Sep 27 vs Bournemouth 2-2 Sat, Oct 04 vs Tottenham Hotspur Sat, Oct 18 @ Burnley Sat, Oct 25 vs West Ham Sat, Nov 01 @ Brighton |
2 | 2 | -3 | 6 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 18% |
Brentford | 2 Brentford Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Sunderland 1-2 Tie Sat, Sep 13 vs Chelsea 2-2 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Fulham 1-3 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Man U 3-1 Sun, Oct 05 vs Man City Sat, Oct 18 @ West Ham Sat, Oct 25 vs Liverpool Sat, Nov 01 @ Crystal Palace |
3 | 1 | -2 | 6 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 20% |
Manchester United | 2 Manchester United Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Burnley 3-2 Lost Sun, Sep 14 @ Man City 0-3 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Chelsea 2-1 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Brentford 1-3 Sat, Oct 04 vs Sunderland Sat, Oct 18 @ Liverpool Sat, Oct 25 vs Brighton Sat, Nov 01 @ Nottingham |
3 | 1 | -4 | 6 | 7 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 17% |
Newcastle | 1 Newcastle Recent Games Tie Sat, Aug 30 @ Leeds United 0-0 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Wolves 1-0 Tie Sun, Sep 21 @ Bournemouth 0-0 Lost Sun, Sep 28 vs Arsenal 1-2 Sun, Oct 05 vs Nottingham Sat, Oct 18 @ Brighton Sat, Oct 25 vs Fulham Sat, Nov 01 @ West Ham |
2 | 3 | -1 | 6 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 8% |
Aston Villa | 1 Aston Villa Recent Games Lost Sun, Aug 31 vs Crystal Palace 0-3 Tie Sat, Sep 13 @ Everton 0-0 Tie Sun, Sep 21 @ Sunderland 1-1 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Fulham 3-1 Sun, Oct 05 vs Burnley Sat, Oct 18 @ Tottenham Hotspur Sat, Oct 25 vs Man City Sat, Nov 01 @ Liverpool |
2 | 3 | -2 | 6 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 10% |
Nottingham | 1 Nottingham Recent Games Lost Sun, Aug 31 vs West Ham 0-3 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Arsenal 0-3 Tie Sat, Sep 20 @ Burnley 1-1 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Sunderland 0-1 Sun, Oct 05 @ Newcastle Sat, Oct 18 vs Chelsea Sat, Oct 25 @ Bournemouth Sat, Nov 01 vs Man U |
3 | 2 | -5 | 6 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 42% |
Burnley | 1 Burnley Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Man U 2-3 Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Liverpool 0-1 Tie Sat, Sep 20 vs Nottingham 1-1 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Man City 1-5 Sun, Oct 05 @ Aston Villa Sat, Oct 18 vs Leeds United Sat, Oct 25 @ Wolves Sat, Nov 01 vs Arsenal |
4 | 1 | -7 | 6 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 37% |
West Ham | 1 West Ham Recent Games Won Sun, Aug 31 @ Nottingham 3-0 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Tottenham Hotspur 0-3 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Crystal Palace 1-2 Tie Mon, Sep 29 @ Everton 1-1 Sat, Oct 04 @ Arsenal Sat, Oct 18 vs Brentford Sat, Oct 25 @ Leeds United Sat, Nov 01 vs Newcastle |
4 | 1 | -8 | 6 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
WolverhamptonWolves | 0 Wolverhampton Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 vs Everton 2-3 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Newcastle 0-1 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Leeds United 1-3 Tie Sat, Sep 27 @ Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Sun, Oct 05 vs Brighton Sat, Oct 18 @ Sunderland Sat, Oct 25 vs Burnley Sat, Nov 01 @ Fulham |
5 | 1 | -9 | 6 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 64% |