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Mon Sep 29 6:00 pm

English Premier League - Week 8 of 41

Everton What If?

The Everton What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Everton What If?

Next Game - Crystal Palace (3‑0‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 2 2 11 <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 9%
Current Standings 2 2 2 8 <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 13%
Lose Next Game 2 3 2 8 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 14%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 9%
Current Standings <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 13%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 14%
Best Case Scenario
   Everton beats Crystal Palace
 Worst Case Scenario
   Crystal Palace beats Everton
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
32 of 32 100% 34 2 2 104 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 32 94% 32 4 2 98 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 32 91% 31 5 2 95 81% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 32 88% 30 6 2 92 64% 32% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 32 84% 29 7 2 89 44% 44% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 32 81% 28 8 2 86 26% 47% 23% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 32 78% 27 9 2 83 13% 40% 36% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 32 75% 26 10 2 80 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 32 72% 25 11 2 77 1% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 32 69% 24 12 2 74 <1% 4% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 32 66% 23 13 2 71 <1% 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 32 63% 22 14 2 68 <1% <1% 3% 13% 31% 33% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 32 59% 21 15 2 65 <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 32 56% 20 16 2 62 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 32 53% 19 17 2 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 32 50% 18 18 2 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 23% 33% 23% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 32 47% 17 19 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 32 44% 16 20 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 32 41% 15 21 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 32 38% 14 22 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 20% 33% 26% 11% 2% <1% <1%
11 of 32 34% 13 23 2 41 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2% <1%
10 of 32 31% 12 24 2 38 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 19% 34% 28% 11% 2%
9 of 32 28% 11 25 2 35 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 11%
8 of 32 25% 10 26 2 32 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 38% 34%
7 of 32 22% 9 27 2 29 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 27% 65%
6 of 32 19% 8 28 2 26 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 88%
5 of 32 16% 7 29 2 23 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
0 of 32 0% 2 34 2 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League