The Nottingham What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 16% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 8 | 3 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 25% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 9 | 3 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 19% | 23% | 28% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 20% | 21% | 24% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 25% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 27% |
|
Best Case Scenario Crystal Palace beats Leeds United |
Worst Case Scenario Leeds United beats Crystal Palace |
|||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 22 of 22 | 100% | 27 | 8 | 3 | 84 | 49% | 45% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 22 | 95% | 26 | 9 | 3 | 81 | 27% | 53% | 20% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 22 | 91% | 25 | 10 | 3 | 78 | 11% | 46% | 40% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 22 | 86% | 24 | 11 | 3 | 75 | 3% | 27% | 54% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 22 | 82% | 23 | 12 | 3 | 72 | <1% | 10% | 46% | 35% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 22 | 77% | 22 | 13 | 3 | 69 | <1% | 2% | 22% | 43% | 26% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 22 | 73% | 21 | 14 | 3 | 66 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 38% | 24% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 22 | 68% | 20 | 15 | 3 | 63 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 34% | 27% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 22 | 64% | 19 | 16 | 3 | 60 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 30% | 31% | 16% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 22 | 59% | 18 | 17 | 3 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 22% | 32% | 24% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 22 | 55% | 17 | 18 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 28% | 31% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 22 | 50% | 16 | 19 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 32% | 27% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 22 | 45% | 15 | 20 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 29% | 34% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 22 | 41% | 14 | 21 | 3 | 45 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 27% | 38% | 22% | 3% | <1% |
| 8 of 22 | 36% | 13 | 22 | 3 | 42 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 29% | 43% | 18% | 2% |
| 7 of 22 | 32% | 12 | 23 | 3 | 39 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 39% | 39% | 12% |
| 6 of 22 | 27% | 11 | 24 | 3 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 19% | 46% | 33% |
| 5 of 22 | 23% | 10 | 25 | 3 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 33% | 61% |
| 4 of 22 | 18% | 9 | 26 | 3 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 84% |
| 0 of 22 | 0% | 5 | 30 | 3 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |