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Mon Sep 29 6:00 pm

English Premier League - Week 8 of 41

Sunderland What If?

The Sunderland What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sunderland What If?

Next Game - Manchester United (2‑3‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 4 1 2 14 1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 3% 2%
Current Standings 3 1 2 11 <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 4%
Lose Next Game 3 2 2 11 <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 3% 2%
Current Standings <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 4%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4%
Best Case Scenario
   Sunderland beats Manchester United
 Worst Case Scenario
   Manchester United beats Sunderland
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
32 of 32 100% 35 1 2 107 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 32 94% 33 3 2 101 98% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 32 91% 32 4 2 98 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 32 88% 31 5 2 95 82% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 32 84% 30 6 2 92 65% 32% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 32 81% 29 7 2 89 45% 43% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 32 78% 28 8 2 86 26% 47% 23% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 32 75% 27 9 2 83 13% 39% 36% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 32 72% 26 10 2 80 5% 25% 41% 24% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 32 69% 25 11 2 77 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 32 66% 24 12 2 74 <1% 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 32 63% 23 13 2 71 <1% 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 32 59% 22 14 2 68 <1% <1% 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
18 of 32 56% 21 15 2 65 <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 33% 30% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 32 53% 20 16 2 62 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 34% 27% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 32 50% 19 17 2 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 34% 24% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 32 47% 18 18 2 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 32 44% 17 19 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 32 41% 16 20 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 32 38% 15 21 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 32 34% 14 22 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 2% <1% <1%
10 of 32 31% 13 23 2 41 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 34% 26% 10% 2% <1%
9 of 32 28% 12 24 2 38 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 2%
8 of 32 25% 11 25 2 35 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10%
7 of 32 22% 10 26 2 32 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 38% 33%
6 of 32 19% 9 27 2 29 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 28% 64%
5 of 32 16% 8 28 2 26 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 87%
0 of 32 0% 3 33 2 11 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League