The Sunderland What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | 1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Sunderland beats Liverpool Sunderland beats Manchester City |
Worst Case Scenario Liverpool beats Sunderland Manchester City beats Sunderland |
|||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 25 of 25 | 100% | 31 | 3 | 4 | 97 | 97% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 25 | 96% | 30 | 4 | 4 | 94 | 90% | 10% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 25 | 92% | 29 | 5 | 4 | 91 | 77% | 22% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 25 | 88% | 28 | 6 | 4 | 88 | 59% | 40% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 25 | 84% | 27 | 7 | 4 | 85 | 40% | 54% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 25 | 80% | 26 | 8 | 4 | 82 | 22% | 60% | 17% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 25 | 76% | 25 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 9% | 51% | 34% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 25 | 72% | 24 | 10 | 4 | 76 | 3% | 31% | 46% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 25 | 68% | 23 | 11 | 4 | 73 | <1% | 12% | 39% | 35% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 25 | 64% | 22 | 12 | 4 | 70 | <1% | 3% | 19% | 39% | 29% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 25 | 60% | 21 | 13 | 4 | 67 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 35% | 28% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 25 | 56% | 20 | 14 | 4 | 64 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 17% | 33% | 29% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 25 | 52% | 19 | 15 | 4 | 61 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 28% | 31% | 17% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 12 of 25 | 48% | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 24% | 32% | 23% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 25 | 44% | 17 | 17 | 4 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 32% | 28% | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 25 | 40% | 16 | 18 | 4 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 30% | 31% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 25 | 36% | 15 | 19 | 4 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 28% | 35% | 19% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 25 | 32% | 14 | 20 | 4 | 46 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 29% | 38% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 25 | 28% | 13 | 21 | 4 | 43 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 33% | 39% | 15% | 2% | <1% |
| 6 of 25 | 24% | 12 | 22 | 4 | 40 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 39% | 34% | 12% | 2% |
| 5 of 25 | 20% | 11 | 23 | 4 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 20% | 40% | 29% | 9% |
| 4 of 25 | 16% | 10 | 24 | 4 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 40% | 29% |
| 3 of 25 | 12% | 9 | 25 | 4 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 32% | 58% |
| 2 of 25 | 8% | 8 | 26 | 4 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 84% |
| 0 of 25 | 0% | 6 | 28 | 4 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |