The Most Important Games for Athletic Bilbao are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Athletic Bilbao fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Athletic Bilbao Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Athletic Bilbao (16‑5‑13) vs Alavés (8‑15‑11) |
48 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | X | X | 2% | 86% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Alavés Wins | X | X | <1% | 58% | 30% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Girona (10‑16‑8) vs Villarreal (16‑8‑10) |
23 | Girona Wins | X | X | 1% | 87% | 10% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Villarreal Wins | X | X | 1% | 72% | 21% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Osasuna (10‑10‑14) vs Real Betis (16‑9‑9) |
11 | Osasuna Wins | X | X | 1% | 84% | 14% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Betis Wins | X | X | 1% | 77% | 17% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Sociedad (12‑15‑7) vs Atletico Madrid (19‑5‑10) |
1 | Real Sociedad Wins | X | X | 5% | 77% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | X | X | <1% | 80% | 16% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Las Palmas (8‑18‑8) vs Rayo Vallecano (11‑12‑11) |
0 | Las Palmas Wins | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rayo Vallecano Wins | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Valencia (10‑12‑12) vs Getafe (10‑15‑9) |
0 | Valencia Wins | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Getafe Wins | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Celta Vigo (13‑14‑7) vs Sevilla FC (9‑14‑11) |
0 | Celta Vigo Wins | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sevilla FC Wins | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mallorca (12‑14‑8) vs Valladolid (4‑26‑4) |
0 | Mallorca Wins | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Valladolid Wins | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Leganés (6‑15‑13) vs Espanyol (10‑15‑9) |
0 | Leganés Wins | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Espanyol Wins | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Barcelona (25‑5‑4) vs Real Madrid (23‑5‑6) |
0 | Barcelona Wins | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Madrid Wins | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||