The Most Important Games for Athletic Bilbao are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Athletic Bilbao fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) | Game Winner | Athletic Bilbao Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and  UEFA Champions League Participant | 2** UEFA Champions League Participant | 3** UEFA Champions League Participant | 4** UEFA Champions League Participant | 5*** UEFA Europa League Participant | 6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Athletic Bilbao (4‑4‑2) vs Real Sociedad (2‑5‑3) | 8 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Real Sociedad Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | ||
| Villarreal (6‑2‑2) vs Rayo Vallecano (4‑4‑2) | 1 | Villarreal Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Rayo Vallecano Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Espanyol (4‑2‑3) vs Alavés (3‑4‑3) | 1 | Espanyol Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Alavés Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Barcelona (7‑2‑1) vs Elche (3‑2‑5) | 1 | Barcelona Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Elche Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Real Madrid (9‑1) vs Valencia (2‑5‑3) | 0 | Real Madrid Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Valencia Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 10% | ||
| Levante (2‑5‑3) vs Celta Vigo (1‑2‑7) | 0 | Levante Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Celta Vigo Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Girona (1‑5‑4) vs Getafe (4‑4‑2) | 0 | Girona Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Getafe Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Atletico Madrid (5‑1‑4) vs Sevilla FC (4‑5‑1) | 0 | Atletico Madrid Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Sevilla FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Mallorca (2‑5‑3) vs Real Betis (4‑2‑4) | 0 | Mallorca Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 10% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 10% | ||