The Athletic Bilbao What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 17 | 5 | 13 | 64 | X | X | 2% | 86% | 11% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 16 | 5 | 13 | 61 | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 16 | 6 | 13 | 61 | X | X | <1% | 58% | 30% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | X | X | 2% | 96% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | X | 1% | 80% | 15% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | <1% | 44% | 34% | 22% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Girona beats Villarreal Athletic Bilbao beats Alavés Osasuna beats Real Betis |
Worst Case Scenario Villarreal beats Girona Alavés beats Athletic Bilbao Real Betis beats Osasuna |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 20 | 5 | 13 | 73 | X | X | 16% | 84% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 19 | 6 | 13 | 70 | X | X | 2% | 98% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 18 | 7 | 13 | 67 | X | X | X | 89% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 17 | 8 | 13 | 64 | X | X | X | 38% | 49% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 16 | 9 | 13 | 61 | X | X | X | 4% | 34% | 62% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |