The Athletic Bilbao What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Win Next Game | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
Current Standings | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 6% |
Lose Next Game | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 6% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% |
Best Case Scenario Athletic Bilbao beats Elche |
Worst Case Scenario Elche beats Athletic Bilbao |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
30 of 30 | 100% | 34 | 3 | 1 | 103 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
28 of 30 | 93% | 32 | 5 | 1 | 97 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
27 of 30 | 90% | 31 | 6 | 1 | 94 | 88% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
26 of 30 | 87% | 30 | 7 | 1 | 91 | 74% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
25 of 30 | 83% | 29 | 8 | 1 | 88 | 56% | 38% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
24 of 30 | 80% | 28 | 9 | 1 | 85 | 37% | 47% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
23 of 30 | 77% | 27 | 10 | 1 | 82 | 19% | 46% | 29% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
22 of 30 | 73% | 26 | 11 | 1 | 79 | 8% | 34% | 40% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
21 of 30 | 70% | 25 | 12 | 1 | 76 | 2% | 18% | 39% | 30% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 30 | 67% | 24 | 13 | 1 | 73 | <1% | 6% | 26% | 37% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 30 | 63% | 23 | 14 | 1 | 70 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 28% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 30 | 60% | 22 | 15 | 1 | 67 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 30% | 33% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 30 | 57% | 21 | 16 | 1 | 64 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 31% | 31% | 16% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
16 of 30 | 53% | 20 | 17 | 1 | 61 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 30% | 31% | 16% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
15 of 30 | 50% | 19 | 18 | 1 | 58 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 14% | 29% | 30% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 30 | 47% | 18 | 19 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 29% | 31% | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 30 | 43% | 17 | 20 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 32% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 30 | 40% | 16 | 21 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 27% | 33% | 20% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 30 | 37% | 15 | 22 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 34% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 30 | 33% | 14 | 23 | 1 | 43 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 25% | 35% | 22% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
9 of 30 | 30% | 13 | 24 | 1 | 40 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 26% | 35% | 22% | 6% | 1% |
8 of 30 | 27% | 12 | 25 | 1 | 37 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 27% | 36% | 22% | 6% |
7 of 30 | 23% | 11 | 26 | 1 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 29% | 37% | 23% |
6 of 30 | 20% | 10 | 27 | 1 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 34% | 52% |
5 of 30 | 17% | 9 | 28 | 1 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 80% |
4 of 30 | 13% | 8 | 29 | 1 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 95% |
0 of 30 | 0% | 4 | 33 | 1 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |