The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Real Madrid (5‑2) vs Villarreal (2‑3‑2) |
18 | Real Madrid Wins | 7% | 33% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | 4% | 28% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Getafe (2‑3‑2) vs Barcelona (7‑0) |
5 | Getafe Wins | 8% | 30% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rayo Vallecano (2‑3‑2) vs Athletic Bilbao (2‑2‑2) |
2 | Rayo Vallecano Wins | 6% | 32% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao Wins | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Osasuna (2‑3‑2) vs Real Betis (5‑1‑1) |
1 | Osasuna Wins | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alavés (3‑2‑2) vs Atletico Madrid (5‑1‑1) |
1 | Alavés Wins | 7% | 33% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 6% | 31% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Valencia (1‑5‑1) vs Santander (2‑4‑1) |
1 | Valencia Wins | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Santander Wins | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Sociedad (3‑3‑1) vs Deportivo (2‑1‑4) |
1 | Real Sociedad Wins | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Deportivo Wins | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Elche (1‑4‑2) vs Celta Vigo (1‑2‑4) |
0 | Elche Wins | 7% | 32% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Celta Vigo Wins | 7% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Espanyol (2‑4‑1) vs Málaga (0‑4‑3) |
0 | Espanyol Wins | 6% | 32% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Málaga Wins | 6% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||