The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Athletic Bilbao (10‑11‑5) vs Barcelona (21‑4‑1) |
25 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | 29% | 64% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 74% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 17% | 77% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Madrid (19‑4‑3) vs Celta Vigo (10‑6‑10) |
23 | Real Madrid Wins | 24% | 72% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 74% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Celta Vigo Wins | 13% | 77% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Sociedad (9‑9‑8) vs Atletico Madrid (15‑5‑6) |
1 | Real Sociedad Wins | 20% | 74% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 74% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 19% | 73% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Levante (5‑15‑6) vs Girona (7‑10‑9) |
1 | Levante Wins | 20% | 73% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 74% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Girona Wins | 19% | 74% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Valencia (7‑11‑8) vs Alavés (7‑13‑6) |
0 | Valencia Wins | 20% | 73% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 74% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Alavés Wins | 19% | 74% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Villarreal (16‑7‑3) vs Elche (5‑10‑11) |
0 | Villarreal Wins | 20% | 73% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 74% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Elche Wins | 20% | 76% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mallorca (6‑14‑6) vs Osasuna (9‑11‑6) |
0 | Mallorca Wins | 19% | 74% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 74% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Osasuna Wins | 19% | 74% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sevilla FC (8‑12‑6) vs Rayo Vallecano (7‑10‑9) |
0 | Sevilla FC Wins | 20% | 74% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 74% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rayo Vallecano Wins | 20% | 73% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Getafe (9‑12‑5) vs Real Betis (11‑5‑10) |
0 | Getafe Wins | 20% | 73% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 74% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 20% | 73% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||