The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Real Madrid (8‑1‑3) vs Leganés (3‑4‑5) |
16 | Real Madrid Wins | 12% | 53% | 23% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Leganés Wins | 7% | 48% | 26% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Celta Vigo (5‑6‑2) vs Barcelona (11‑2) |
9 | Celta Vigo Wins | 14% | 48% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 10% | 53% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alavés (4‑7‑1) vs Atletico Madrid (7‑1‑5) |
2 | Alavés Wins | 11% | 56% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 11% | 51% | 24% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Getafe (1‑5‑7) vs Valladolid (1‑8‑3) |
1 | Getafe Wins | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Valladolid Wins | 10% | 51% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Las Palmas (3‑7‑3) vs Mallorca (5‑5‑3) |
1 | Las Palmas Wins | 11% | 51% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mallorca Wins | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao (5‑3‑5) vs Real Sociedad (5‑5‑3) |
0 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | 11% | 51% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Sociedad Wins | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rayo Vallecano (4‑4‑4) vs Sevilla FC (4‑6‑3) |
0 | Rayo Vallecano Wins | 11% | 52% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sevilla FC Wins | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Espanyol (3‑8‑1) vs Girona (5‑5‑3) |
0 | Espanyol Wins | 11% | 52% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Girona Wins | 11% | 52% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Valencia (1‑6‑4) vs Real Betis (4‑3‑5) |
0 | Valencia Wins | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 11% | 51% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Villarreal (7‑2‑3) vs Osasuna (6‑4‑3) |
0 | Villarreal Wins | 11% | 51% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Osasuna Wins | 11% | 52% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||