The Real Madrid What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 15 | 2 | 3 | 48 | 19% | 48% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 14 | 2 | 3 | 45 | 18% | 47% | 26% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 14 | 3 | 3 | 45 | 11% | 43% | 31% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | 19% | 52% | 21% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 18% | 47% | 26% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 18% | 46% | 26% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Alavés beats Villarreal |
Worst Case Scenario Villarreal beats Alavés |
|||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 19 of 19 | 100% | 33 | 2 | 3 | 102 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 19 | 95% | 32 | 3 | 3 | 99 | 94% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 19 | 89% | 31 | 4 | 3 | 96 | 79% | 21% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 19 | 84% | 30 | 5 | 3 | 93 | 57% | 43% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 19 | 79% | 29 | 6 | 3 | 90 | 34% | 62% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 19 | 74% | 28 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 16% | 69% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 19 | 68% | 27 | 8 | 3 | 84 | 5% | 59% | 34% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 19 | 63% | 26 | 9 | 3 | 81 | 1% | 38% | 50% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 19 | 58% | 25 | 10 | 3 | 78 | <1% | 19% | 54% | 27% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 19 | 53% | 24 | 11 | 3 | 75 | <1% | 7% | 42% | 48% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 19 | 47% | 23 | 12 | 3 | 72 | <1% | 2% | 24% | 62% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 19 | 42% | 22 | 13 | 3 | 69 | <1% | <1% | 9% | 58% | 29% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 19 | 37% | 21 | 14 | 3 | 66 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 38% | 44% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 19 | 32% | 20 | 15 | 3 | 63 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 43% | 33% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 19 | 26% | 19 | 16 | 3 | 60 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 24% | 42% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 4 of 19 | 21% | 18 | 17 | 3 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 28% | 41% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 of 19 | 16% | 17 | 18 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 27% | 38% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 2 of 19 | 11% | 16 | 19 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 34% | 27% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 1 of 19 | 5% | 15 | 20 | 3 | 48 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 27% | 32% | 20% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 0 of 19 | 0% | 14 | 21 | 3 | 45 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 29% | 31% | 17% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |