The Most Important Games for Marseille are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marseille fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marseille Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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| Marseille (18‑9‑5) vs Le Havre (9‑19‑4) |
54 | Marseille Wins | X | 78% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Le Havre Wins | X | 11% | 26% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Brest (14‑13‑5) vs Lille (16‑7‑9) |
11 | Brest Wins | X | 62% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lille Wins | X | 58% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Angers (9‑17‑6) vs Strasbourg (16‑7‑9) |
11 | Angers Wins | X | 64% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Strasbourg Wins | X | 57% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stade Rennais (12‑18‑2) vs Nice (16‑7‑9) |
10 | Stade Rennais Wins | X | 64% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nice Wins | X | 56% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lyon (16‑10‑6) vs AS Monaco (17‑8‑7) |
6 | Lyon Wins | X | 69% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| AS Monaco Wins | X | 54% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auxerre (11‑13‑8) vs Nantes (7‑14‑11) |
0 | Auxerre Wins | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nantes Wins | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Paris SG (24‑2‑6) vs MontpellierMontpellir (4‑24‑4) |
0 | Paris SG Wins | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| MontpellierMontpellir Wins | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stade de Reims (8‑15‑9) vs Saint-EtienneSt-Etienne (7‑19‑6) |
0 | Stade de Reims Wins | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Saint-EtienneSt-Etienne Wins | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Toulouse (10‑14‑8) vs Lens (14‑12‑6) |
0 | Toulouse Wins | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lens Wins | X | 60% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||