The Most Important Games for Marseille are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marseille fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marseille Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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| Marseille (15‑7‑4) vs Lille (13‑8‑5) |
19 | Marseille Wins | <1% | 11% | 77% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 72% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lille Wins | <1% | 3% | 64% | 20% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| AS Monaco (13‑9‑4) vs Lyon (14‑7‑5) |
3 | AS Monaco Wins | <1% | 8% | 75% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 72% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lyon Wins | <1% | 8% | 70% | 15% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Metz (3‑19‑4) vs Stade Rennais (12‑7‑7) |
2 | Metz Wins | <1% | 8% | 74% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 72% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stade Rennais Wins | <1% | 8% | 72% | 13% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nantes (4‑16‑5) vs Strasbourg (10‑9‑7) |
0 | Nantes Wins | <1% | 8% | 72% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 72% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Strasbourg Wins | <1% | 8% | 72% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Paris FC (6‑10‑10) vs Le Havre (6‑11‑9) |
0 | Paris FC Wins | <1% | 8% | 72% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 72% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Le Havre Wins | <1% | 8% | 72% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||