The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |||
| Ball State (1‑3) vs Toledo (3‑1) |
5 | Ball State Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Toledo Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Bowling Green (0‑4) vs Miami OH (2‑2) |
1 | Bowling Green Wins | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Buffalo (2‑2) vs Western Michigan (2‑2) |
0 | Buffalo Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 13% | ||
| UMass (4‑0) vs Eastern Michigan (2‑3) |
0 | UMass Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Ohio (2‑2) vs Kent State (2‑2) |
0 | Ohio Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Kent State Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Akron (1‑3) vs Central Michigan (2‑2) |
0 | Akron Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | ||