The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |||
| Bowling Green (2‑6) vs Western Michigan (5‑3) |
1 | Bowling Green Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% | ||