The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |||
| Bowling Green (3‑5) vs Buffalo (4‑4) |
1 | Bowling Green Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 1% | ||
| Western Michigan (4‑4) vs Central Michigan (5‑3) |
0 | Western Michigan Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 1% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 1% | ||