The Ball State Cardinals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Ball State plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 4 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 58% | 23% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 2 | 4 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 27% | 16% | 9% | 41% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 13% | 13% | 11% | 62% | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Current Standings | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 27% | 16% | 9% | 41% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 4 | 4 | X | X | X | X | 1% | 20% | 70% | 9% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 69% | 27% | 3% | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 10% | 14% | 76% | ^ |