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Tue Jul 8 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Athletics What If?

The Athletics What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Athletics play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Athletics What If?

Next Game - Braves (39‑50)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 38 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 37 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 37 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Current Series - Braves (39‑50) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Athletics Sweeps 40 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 37 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Braves Sweeps 37 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
70 of 70 100% 107 55 96% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 70 99% 106 56 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 70 97% 105 57 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 70 96% 104 58 86% 13% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 70 94% 103 59 79% 19% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 70 93% 102 60 72% 25% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 70 91% 101 61 63% 31% 1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 70 90% 100 62 54% 37% 2% 7% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 70 89% 99 63 43% 42% 4% 11% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 70 87% 98 64 32% 46% 7% 16% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 70 86% 97 65 23% 45% 11% 22% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 70 84% 96 66 15% 41% 15% 29% 1% <1% <1%
58 of 70 83% 95 67 9% 36% 18% 36% 1% <1% <1%
57 of 70 81% 94 68 5% 28% 22% 43% 3% <1% <1%
56 of 70 80% 93 69 2% 20% 24% 47% 6% <1% <1%
55 of 70 79% 92 70 1% 13% 24% 51% 11% 1% <1%
54 of 70 77% 91 71 <1% 8% 21% 50% 18% 2% <1%
53 of 70 76% 90 72 <1% 3% 17% 47% 27% 5% <1%
52 of 70 74% 89 73 <1% 2% 13% 40% 35% 10% 1%
51 of 70 73% 88 74 <1% 1% 9% 28% 41% 18% 3%
50 of 70 71% 87 75 <1% <1% 6% 18% 40% 28% 9%
49 of 70 70% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 10% 33% 36% 18%
48 of 70 69% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 4% 24% 38% 32%
47 of 70 67% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 2% 13% 32% 52%
46 of 70 66% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 71%
45 of 70 64% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
44 of 70 63% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 94%
40 of 70 57% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 70 43% 67 95 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 70 29% 57 105 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 70 14% 47 115 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 70 0% 37 125 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs