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Sun May 4 3:30 am

MLB - Week 7 of 28

Athletics What If?

The Athletics What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Athletics play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Athletics What If?

Next Game - Marlins (13‑19)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 19 16 6% 7% 5% 10% 9% 8% 55%
Current Standings 18 16 5% 7% 5% 10% 9% 8% 56%
Lose Next Game 18 17 5% 6% 5% 10% 9% 8% 57%


Current Series - Marlins (13‑19) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Athletics Sweeps 19 16 6% 7% 5% 10% 9% 8% 55%
Current Standings 18 16 5% 7% 5% 10% 9% 8% 56%
Marlins Sweeps 18 17 5% 6% 5% 10% 9% 8% 57%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
128 of 128 100% 146 16 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 128 94% 138 24 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
110 of 128 86% 128 34 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 128 78% 118 44 99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
95 of 128 74% 113 49 94% 4% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
94 of 128 73% 112 50 92% 5% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
93 of 128 73% 111 51 89% 7% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
92 of 128 72% 110 52 86% 9% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
91 of 128 71% 109 53 82% 11% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 128 70% 108 54 77% 15% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
89 of 128 70% 107 55 73% 17% 1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 128 69% 106 56 65% 21% 1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 128 68% 105 57 59% 24% 2% 15% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 128 67% 104 58 53% 26% 2% 18% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 128 66% 103 59 45% 29% 4% 21% 1% <1% <1%
84 of 128 66% 102 60 38% 33% 4% 23% 1% <1% <1%
83 of 128 65% 101 61 31% 32% 6% 28% 3% <1% <1%
82 of 128 64% 100 62 25% 34% 8% 30% 3% <1% <1%
81 of 128 63% 99 63 19% 32% 10% 33% 6% <1% <1%
80 of 128 63% 98 64 14% 30% 11% 35% 9% 1% <1%
79 of 128 62% 97 65 10% 28% 13% 37% 11% 1% <1%
78 of 128 61% 96 66 7% 23% 16% 37% 15% 2% <1%
77 of 128 60% 95 67 5% 20% 16% 36% 20% 3% <1%
76 of 128 59% 94 68 3% 17% 16% 34% 24% 6% 1%
75 of 128 59% 93 69 2% 12% 17% 31% 29% 8% 1%
74 of 128 58% 92 70 1% 9% 17% 27% 31% 12% 2%
73 of 128 57% 91 71 <1% 6% 16% 23% 33% 17% 4%
72 of 128 56% 90 72 <1% 5% 14% 18% 34% 22% 7%
71 of 128 55% 89 73 <1% 3% 12% 14% 31% 27% 12%
70 of 128 55% 88 74 <1% 2% 11% 10% 29% 30% 19%
69 of 128 54% 87 75 <1% 1% 9% 6% 24% 32% 27%
68 of 128 53% 86 76 <1% 1% 7% 4% 19% 32% 38%
67 of 128 52% 85 77 <1% <1% 5% 2% 14% 30% 48%
66 of 128 52% 84 78 <1% <1% 4% 1% 10% 25% 60%
65 of 128 51% 83 79 <1% <1% 3% 1% 6% 20% 70%
64 of 128 50% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% 3% 14% 80%
63 of 128 49% 81 81 <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 10% 86%
62 of 128 48% 80 82 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 6% 92%
60 of 128 47% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
50 of 128 39% 68 94 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 128 31% 58 104 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 128 23% 48 114 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 128 16% 38 124 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 128 8% 28 134 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 128 0% 18 144 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs