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Thu May 14 1:45 am

MLB - Week 8 of 27

Braves What If?

The Braves What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Braves play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Braves What If?

Next Game - Cubs (27‑16)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 31 13 46% 21% 16% 3% 3% 3% 7%
Current Standings 30 13 45% 21% 16% 3% 3% 3% 7%
Lose Next Game 30 14 43% 22% 17% 3% 4% 3% 8%


Current Series - Cubs (27‑16) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Braves Sweeps 31 13 46% 21% 16% 3% 3% 3% 7%
Current Standings 30 13 45% 21% 16% 3% 3% 3% 7%
Cubs Sweeps 30 14 43% 22% 17% 3% 4% 3% 8%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
119 of 119 100% 149 13 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 119 92% 140 22 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 119 84% 130 32 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
90 of 119 76% 120 42 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 119 68% 111 51 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 119 67% 110 52 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 119 66% 109 53 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 119 66% 108 54 86% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 119 65% 107 55 81% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 119 64% 106 56 76% 22% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 119 63% 105 57 70% 28% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 119 62% 104 58 62% 34% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 119 61% 103 59 54% 39% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 119 61% 102 60 46% 45% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 119 60% 101 61 38% 48% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 119 59% 100 62 32% 50% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 119 58% 99 63 24% 52% 19% 4% 1% <1% <1%
68 of 119 57% 98 64 18% 50% 25% 6% 1% <1% <1%
67 of 119 56% 97 65 12% 49% 30% 7% 2% <1% <1%
66 of 119 55% 96 66 9% 43% 35% 9% 4% <1% <1%
65 of 119 55% 95 67 5% 38% 40% 10% 5% 1% <1%
64 of 119 54% 94 68 3% 32% 44% 11% 8% 2% <1%
63 of 119 53% 93 69 2% 25% 47% 11% 11% 4% 1%
62 of 119 52% 92 70 1% 20% 49% 10% 14% 6% 1%
61 of 119 51% 91 71 <1% 15% 48% 9% 16% 10% 3%
60 of 119 50% 90 72 <1% 11% 47% 7% 17% 13% 5%
59 of 119 50% 89 73 <1% 7% 43% 5% 17% 18% 10%
58 of 119 49% 88 74 <1% 4% 39% 4% 15% 21% 18%
57 of 119 48% 87 75 <1% 3% 34% 2% 13% 22% 26%
56 of 119 47% 86 76 <1% 1% 29% 1% 9% 21% 37%
55 of 119 46% 85 77 <1% 1% 24% <1% 6% 18% 50%
54 of 119 45% 84 78 <1% <1% 20% <1% 3% 15% 61%
53 of 119 45% 83 79 <1% <1% 15% <1% 1% 9% 74%
52 of 119 44% 82 80 <1% <1% 12% <1% 1% 5% 82%
51 of 119 43% 81 81 <1% <1% 9% <1% <1% 3% 88%
50 of 119 42% 80 82 <1% <1% 7% <1% <1% 1% 92%
49 of 119 41% 79 83 <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% 1% 95%
40 of 119 34% 70 92 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 119 25% 60 102 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 119 17% 50 112 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 119 8% 40 122 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 119 0% 30 132 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs