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Sat Jul 4 1:45 am

MLB - Week 15 of 27

Braves What If?

The Braves What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Braves play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Braves What If?

Next Game - Mets (36‑52)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 52 35 8% 21% 36% 10% 9% 6% 10%
Current Standings 51 35 8% 20% 34% 10% 10% 7% 11%
Lose Next Game 51 36 6% 19% 34% 10% 10% 8% 13%


Current Series - Mets (36‑52) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Braves Sweeps 54 35 9% 22% 35% 11% 9% 6% 8%
Current Standings 51 35 8% 20% 34% 10% 10% 7% 11%
Mets Sweeps 51 38 4% 15% 34% 11% 11% 9% 17%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
76 of 76 100% 127 35 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 76 92% 121 41 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
60 of 76 79% 111 51 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 76 78% 110 52 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 76 76% 109 53 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 76 75% 108 54 84% 16% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 76 74% 107 55 78% 21% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 76 72% 106 56 70% 28% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 76 71% 105 57 61% 36% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 76 70% 104 58 54% 41% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 76 68% 103 59 45% 47% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 76 67% 102 60 36% 52% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 76 66% 101 61 28% 55% 16% <1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 76 64% 100 62 22% 55% 23% 1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 76 63% 99 63 14% 55% 29% 2% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 76 62% 98 64 10% 49% 39% 3% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 76 61% 97 65 6% 43% 46% 5% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 76 59% 96 66 3% 35% 53% 8% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 76 58% 95 67 2% 25% 59% 13% 1% <1% <1%
43 of 76 57% 94 68 1% 18% 62% 16% 3% <1% <1%
42 of 76 55% 93 69 <1% 11% 61% 20% 7% <1% <1%
41 of 76 54% 92 70 <1% 6% 56% 24% 12% 2% <1%
40 of 76 53% 91 71 <1% 3% 50% 23% 20% 4% <1%
39 of 76 51% 90 72 <1% 1% 40% 21% 27% 10% 1%
38 of 76 50% 89 73 <1% <1% 32% 17% 31% 17% 4%
37 of 76 49% 88 74 <1% <1% 22% 11% 31% 25% 10%
36 of 76 47% 87 75 <1% <1% 15% 6% 26% 33% 21%
35 of 76 46% 86 76 <1% <1% 9% 3% 18% 34% 37%
34 of 76 45% 85 77 <1% <1% 5% 1% 11% 28% 55%
33 of 76 43% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% <1% 5% 20% 73%
32 of 76 42% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 11% 87%
31 of 76 41% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 94%
30 of 76 39% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%
20 of 76 26% 71 91 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 76 13% 61 101 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 76 0% 51 111 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs