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Thu Jul 3 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Braves What If?

The Braves What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Braves play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Braves What If?

Next Game - Angels (42‑43)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 40 46 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Current Standings 39 46 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Lose Next Game 39 47 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 1% 97%


Current Series - Angels (42‑43) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Braves Sweeps 40 46 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Current Standings 39 46 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Angels Sweeps 39 47 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 1% 97%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
77 of 77 100% 116 46 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
70 of 77 91% 109 53 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 77 90% 108 54 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 77 88% 107 55 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 77 87% 106 56 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 77 86% 105 57 80% 19% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 77 84% 104 58 74% 25% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 77 83% 103 59 68% 30% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 77 82% 102 60 60% 37% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 77 81% 101 61 52% 42% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 77 79% 100 62 42% 47% 5% 6% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 77 78% 99 63 33% 50% 8% 9% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 77 77% 98 64 25% 50% 11% 13% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 77 75% 97 65 17% 48% 16% 18% 1% <1% <1%
57 of 77 74% 96 66 11% 42% 20% 24% 2% <1% <1%
56 of 77 73% 95 67 6% 35% 25% 28% 6% <1% <1%
55 of 77 71% 94 68 3% 27% 29% 31% 10% 1% <1%
54 of 77 70% 93 69 1% 19% 30% 31% 16% 3% <1%
53 of 77 69% 92 70 <1% 11% 28% 29% 24% 6% 1%
52 of 77 68% 91 71 <1% 6% 25% 24% 31% 12% 2%
51 of 77 66% 90 72 <1% 3% 22% 16% 33% 21% 6%
50 of 77 65% 89 73 <1% 1% 16% 10% 30% 29% 14%
49 of 77 64% 88 74 <1% <1% 12% 5% 22% 34% 27%
48 of 77 62% 87 75 <1% <1% 7% 2% 15% 31% 45%
47 of 77 61% 86 76 <1% <1% 5% 1% 7% 25% 63%
46 of 77 60% 85 77 <1% <1% 3% <1% 3% 16% 78%
45 of 77 58% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 8% 89%
40 of 77 52% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 77 39% 69 93 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 77 26% 59 103 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 77 13% 49 113 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 77 0% 39 123 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs