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Sat Jul 25 1:45 am

MLB - Week 18 of 27

Braves What If?

The Braves What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Braves play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Braves What If?

Next Game - Orioles (50‑54)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 62 42 9% 23% 53% 4% 5% 3% 3%
Current Standings 61 42 8% 22% 53% 5% 5% 4% 3%
Lose Next Game 61 43 7% 21% 54% 5% 6% 4% 4%


Current Series - Orioles (50‑54) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Braves Sweeps 63 42 10% 25% 51% 4% 4% 2% 2%
Current Standings 61 42 8% 22% 53% 5% 5% 4% 3%
Orioles Sweeps 61 44 6% 19% 55% 5% 6% 4% 5%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
59 of 59 100% 120 42 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
50 of 59 85% 111 51 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
46 of 59 78% 107 55 92% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 59 76% 106 56 88% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 59 75% 105 57 81% 18% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 59 73% 104 58 72% 27% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 59 71% 103 59 62% 35% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 59 69% 102 60 52% 43% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 59 68% 101 61 41% 49% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 59 66% 100 62 30% 53% 16% <1% <1% <1% <1%
38 of 59 64% 99 63 20% 55% 25% <1% <1% <1% <1%
37 of 59 63% 98 64 13% 53% 34% <1% <1% <1% <1%
36 of 59 61% 97 65 8% 46% 46% <1% <1% <1% <1%
35 of 59 59% 96 66 5% 38% 56% 1% <1% <1% <1%
34 of 59 58% 95 67 2% 30% 67% 2% <1% <1% <1%
33 of 59 56% 94 68 1% 21% 75% 3% <1% <1% <1%
32 of 59 54% 93 69 <1% 13% 81% 5% 1% <1% <1%
31 of 59 53% 92 70 <1% 7% 82% 7% 3% <1% <1%
30 of 59 51% 91 71 <1% 4% 80% 10% 6% 1% <1%
29 of 59 49% 90 72 <1% 2% 74% 12% 11% 2% <1%
28 of 59 47% 89 73 <1% 1% 63% 12% 18% 6% 1%
27 of 59 46% 88 74 <1% <1% 53% 9% 22% 13% 3%
26 of 59 44% 87 75 <1% <1% 40% 6% 23% 22% 8%
25 of 59 42% 86 76 <1% <1% 28% 3% 20% 29% 20%
24 of 59 41% 85 77 <1% <1% 17% 2% 12% 30% 40%
23 of 59 39% 84 78 <1% <1% 9% <1% 6% 23% 62%
22 of 59 37% 83 79 <1% <1% 4% <1% 2% 13% 81%
21 of 59 36% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 6% 92%
20 of 59 34% 81 81 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
10 of 59 17% 71 91 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 59 0% 61 101 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs