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Sun Aug 16 1:45 am

MLB - Week 21 of 27

Braves What If?

The Braves What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Braves play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Braves What If?

Next Game - Diamondbacks (66‑58)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 74 50 17% 29% 50% 1% 2% 1% 1%
Current Standings 73 50 15% 28% 52% 1% 2% 1% 1%
Lose Next Game 73 51 12% 26% 56% 1% 2% 2% 1%


Current Series - Diamondbacks (66‑58) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Braves Sweeps 74 50 17% 29% 50% 1% 2% 1% 1%
Current Standings 73 50 15% 28% 52% 1% 2% 1% 1%
Diamondbacks Sweeps 73 51 12% 26% 56% 1% 2% 2% 1%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
39 of 39 100% 112 50 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 39 90% 108 54 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 39 77% 103 59 96% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
29 of 39 74% 102 60 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
28 of 39 72% 101 61 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
27 of 39 69% 100 62 73% 25% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
26 of 39 67% 99 63 58% 37% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1%
25 of 39 64% 98 64 43% 46% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1%
24 of 39 62% 97 65 28% 51% 20% <1% <1% <1% <1%
23 of 39 59% 96 66 15% 51% 35% <1% <1% <1% <1%
22 of 39 56% 95 67 7% 43% 50% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 39 54% 94 68 3% 31% 66% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 39 51% 93 69 1% 20% 79% 1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 39 49% 92 70 <1% 10% 87% 1% 1% <1% <1%
18 of 39 46% 91 71 <1% 5% 89% 2% 3% <1% <1%
17 of 39 44% 90 72 <1% 2% 87% 2% 7% 2% <1%
16 of 39 41% 89 73 <1% 1% 79% 2% 11% 7% 1%
15 of 39 38% 88 74 <1% <1% 67% 1% 13% 14% 4%
14 of 39 36% 87 75 <1% <1% 54% 1% 12% 22% 11%
13 of 39 33% 86 76 <1% <1% 38% <1% 9% 27% 26%
12 of 39 31% 85 77 <1% <1% 24% <1% 5% 25% 46%
11 of 39 28% 84 78 <1% <1% 13% <1% 2% 16% 69%
10 of 39 26% 83 79 <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% 9% 85%
9 of 39 23% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 3% 95%
5 of 39 13% 78 84 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 39 0% 73 89 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs