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Tue May 12 1:45 am

MLB - Week 8 of 27

Brewers What If?

The Brewers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Brewers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Brewers What If?

Next Game - Padres (24‑16)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 23 16 8% 7% 4% 15% 12% 9% 46%
Current Standings 22 16 7% 7% 3% 14% 11% 9% 47%
Lose Next Game 22 17 7% 7% 4% 14% 11% 9% 49%


Current Series - Padres (24‑16) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Brewers Sweeps 25 16 9% 8% 3% 16% 12% 10% 43%
Current Standings 22 16 7% 7% 3% 14% 11% 9% 47%
Padres Sweeps 22 19 5% 6% 4% 12% 11% 9% 52%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
124 of 124 100% 146 16 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 124 97% 142 20 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 124 89% 132 30 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
100 of 124 81% 122 40 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
93 of 124 75% 115 47 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
92 of 124 74% 114 48 94% 6% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
91 of 124 73% 113 49 91% 7% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 124 73% 112 50 89% 10% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
89 of 124 72% 111 51 86% 11% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 124 71% 110 52 82% 14% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 124 70% 109 53 78% 17% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 124 69% 108 54 72% 20% 1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 124 69% 107 55 66% 23% 1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 124 68% 106 56 60% 27% 1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 124 67% 105 57 53% 29% 2% 16% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 124 66% 104 58 47% 32% 3% 19% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 124 65% 103 59 39% 31% 4% 24% 1% <1% <1%
80 of 124 65% 102 60 33% 32% 6% 28% 2% <1% <1%
79 of 124 64% 101 61 26% 32% 7% 33% 3% <1% <1%
78 of 124 63% 100 62 19% 31% 8% 37% 4% <1% <1%
77 of 124 62% 99 63 15% 28% 10% 40% 7% <1% <1%
76 of 124 61% 98 64 10% 25% 11% 43% 11% 1% <1%
75 of 124 60% 97 65 7% 21% 12% 45% 15% 1% <1%
74 of 124 60% 96 66 4% 17% 12% 45% 19% 3% <1%
73 of 124 59% 95 67 3% 13% 12% 43% 25% 5% <1%
72 of 124 58% 94 68 1% 9% 11% 39% 31% 7% 1%
71 of 124 57% 93 69 1% 6% 10% 34% 35% 12% 2%
70 of 124 56% 92 70 <1% 4% 8% 28% 38% 18% 4%
69 of 124 56% 91 71 <1% 2% 7% 21% 38% 23% 7%
68 of 124 55% 90 72 <1% 1% 5% 16% 36% 30% 12%
67 of 124 54% 89 73 <1% 1% 4% 11% 31% 33% 19%
66 of 124 53% 88 74 <1% <1% 3% 6% 26% 35% 29%
65 of 124 52% 87 75 <1% <1% 2% 4% 19% 34% 40%
64 of 124 52% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 2% 13% 30% 54%
63 of 124 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 1% 8% 25% 65%
62 of 124 50% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 18% 77%
61 of 124 49% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 86%
60 of 124 48% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
50 of 124 40% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 124 32% 62 100 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 124 24% 52 110 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 124 16% 42 120 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 124 8% 32 130 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 124 0% 22 140 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs