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Tue Jun 3 3:30 am

MLB - Week 12 of 28

Brewers What If?

The Brewers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Brewers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Brewers What If?

Next Game - Reds (29‑32)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 34 28 3% 5% 6% 9% 11% 11% 55%
Current Standings 33 28 2% 5% 6% 9% 10% 11% 57%
Lose Next Game 33 29 2% 5% 6% 8% 10% 11% 59%


Current Series - Reds (29‑32) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Brewers Sweeps 35 28 3% 5% 7% 10% 11% 12% 52%
Current Standings 33 28 2% 5% 6% 9% 10% 11% 57%
Reds Sweeps 33 30 2% 4% 6% 7% 10% 10% 62%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
101 of 101 100% 134 28 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 101 99% 133 29 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 101 89% 123 39 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 101 79% 113 49 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 101 75% 109 53 94% 5% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 101 74% 108 54 91% 8% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 101 73% 107 55 87% 10% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 101 72% 106 56 81% 14% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 101 71% 105 57 74% 19% 1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 101 70% 104 58 67% 23% 2% 8% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 101 69% 103 59 57% 29% 3% 11% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 101 68% 102 60 47% 33% 5% 15% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 101 67% 101 61 37% 37% 7% 19% 1% <1% <1%
67 of 101 66% 100 62 29% 37% 9% 23% 2% <1% <1%
66 of 101 65% 99 63 20% 36% 13% 28% 3% <1% <1%
65 of 101 64% 98 64 13% 33% 16% 32% 6% <1% <1%
64 of 101 63% 97 65 9% 27% 19% 34% 10% 1% <1%
63 of 101 62% 96 66 5% 23% 20% 35% 14% 2% <1%
62 of 101 61% 95 67 2% 18% 22% 34% 20% 4% <1%
61 of 101 60% 94 68 1% 13% 21% 31% 26% 6% 1%
60 of 101 59% 93 69 1% 9% 20% 28% 31% 11% 2%
59 of 101 58% 92 70 <1% 5% 18% 22% 34% 17% 3%
58 of 101 57% 91 71 <1% 3% 15% 17% 34% 24% 7%
57 of 101 56% 90 72 <1% 2% 12% 10% 31% 30% 14%
56 of 101 55% 89 73 <1% 1% 10% 7% 26% 34% 23%
55 of 101 54% 88 74 <1% <1% 6% 4% 20% 35% 35%
54 of 101 53% 87 75 <1% <1% 5% 1% 13% 30% 50%
53 of 101 52% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 1% 8% 25% 64%
52 of 101 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% <1% 3% 18% 77%
51 of 101 50% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 10% 87%
50 of 101 50% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
40 of 101 40% 73 89 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 101 30% 63 99 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 101 20% 53 109 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 101 10% 43 119 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 101 0% 33 129 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs