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Sun May 17 11:15 pm

MLB - Week 9 of 27

Brewers What If?

The Brewers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Brewers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Brewers What If?

Next Game - Cubs (29‑18)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 27 18 9% 10% 6% 14% 11% 9% 40%
Current Standings 26 18 9% 9% 6% 14% 11% 9% 42%
Lose Next Game 26 19 8% 9% 6% 14% 12% 9% 43%


Current Series - Cubs (29‑18) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Brewers Sweeps 29 18 11% 11% 7% 15% 11% 9% 36%
Current Standings 26 18 9% 9% 6% 14% 11% 9% 42%
Cubs Sweeps 26 21 6% 8% 5% 14% 12% 9% 46%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
118 of 118 100% 144 18 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 118 93% 136 26 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 118 85% 126 36 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 118 76% 116 46 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 118 74% 113 49 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 118 73% 112 50 92% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 118 72% 111 51 89% 10% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 118 71% 110 52 85% 13% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 118 70% 109 53 81% 16% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 118 69% 108 54 76% 20% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 118 69% 107 55 70% 24% 1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 118 68% 106 56 65% 27% 2% 7% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 118 67% 105 57 58% 30% 3% 9% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 118 66% 104 58 50% 34% 4% 12% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 118 65% 103 59 42% 36% 6% 15% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 118 64% 102 60 35% 37% 7% 20% 1% <1% <1%
75 of 118 64% 101 61 28% 37% 9% 24% 1% <1% <1%
74 of 118 63% 100 62 21% 35% 12% 29% 3% <1% <1%
73 of 118 62% 99 63 16% 33% 13% 33% 4% <1% <1%
72 of 118 61% 98 64 11% 29% 15% 37% 7% <1% <1%
71 of 118 60% 97 65 8% 25% 16% 39% 11% 1% <1%
70 of 118 59% 96 66 4% 21% 18% 40% 16% 2% <1%
69 of 118 58% 95 67 3% 16% 17% 40% 20% 4% <1%
68 of 118 58% 94 68 2% 12% 17% 37% 26% 6% 1%
67 of 118 57% 93 69 1% 8% 16% 33% 31% 10% 1%
66 of 118 56% 92 70 <1% 5% 14% 28% 35% 15% 3%
65 of 118 55% 91 71 <1% 3% 12% 21% 37% 21% 6%
64 of 118 54% 90 72 <1% 1% 9% 15% 35% 27% 11%
63 of 118 53% 89 73 <1% 1% 7% 10% 31% 33% 19%
62 of 118 53% 88 74 <1% <1% 4% 6% 24% 35% 30%
61 of 118 52% 87 75 <1% <1% 3% 3% 18% 33% 43%
60 of 118 51% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 2% 12% 28% 57%
59 of 118 50% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 1% 6% 21% 70%
58 of 118 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 15% 81%
57 of 118 48% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 89%
56 of 118 47% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 95%
50 of 118 42% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 118 34% 66 96 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 118 25% 56 106 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 118 17% 46 116 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 118 8% 36 126 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 118 0% 26 136 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs