PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 20 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 27 of 27

Brewers What If?

The Brewers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Brewers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Brewers What If?

Next Game - Phillies (86‑70)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 99 58 96% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 98 58 92% 8% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Lose Next Game 98 59 88% 12% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^


Current Series - Phillies (86‑70) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Brewers Sweeps 101 58 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 98 58 92% 8% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Phillies Sweeps 98 61 71% 28% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 92% 8% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Worst Case Scenario 83% 17% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Best Case Scenario
   Brewers beats Phillies
   Padres beats Dodgers
Worst Case Scenario
   Phillies beats Brewers
   Dodgers beats Padres
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
6 of 6 100% 104 58 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 6 83% 103 59 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 6 67% 102 60 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 6 50% 101 61 94% 6% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 6 33% 100 62 72% 28% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
1 of 6 17% 99 63 41% 59% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
0 of 6 0% 98 64 15% 80% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs