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Sat Jul 18 8:00 am

MLB - Week 17 of 27

Brewers What If?

The Brewers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Brewers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Brewers What If?

Next Game - Marlins (52‑46)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 61 37 39% 36% 14% 7% 2% 1% <1%
Current Standings 60 37 38% 36% 14% 7% 3% 1% 1%
Lose Next Game 60 38 35% 37% 16% 8% 3% 1% 1%


Current Series - Marlins (52‑46) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Brewers Sweeps 62 37 42% 36% 12% 6% 2% 1% <1%
Current Standings 60 37 38% 36% 14% 7% 3% 1% 1%
Marlins Sweeps 60 39 31% 37% 17% 9% 3% 2% 1%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
65 of 65 100% 125 37 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 65 92% 120 42 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
50 of 65 77% 110 52 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
47 of 65 72% 107 55 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 65 71% 106 56 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 65 69% 105 57 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 65 68% 104 58 83% 17% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 65 66% 103 59 76% 24% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 65 65% 102 60 69% 31% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 65 63% 101 61 59% 39% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 65 62% 100 62 50% 46% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 65 60% 99 63 38% 54% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
38 of 65 58% 98 64 29% 58% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1%
37 of 65 57% 97 65 21% 59% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1%
36 of 65 55% 96 66 13% 56% 24% 7% <1% <1% <1%
35 of 65 54% 95 67 9% 49% 31% 11% <1% <1% <1%
34 of 65 52% 94 68 4% 40% 38% 17% 1% <1% <1%
33 of 65 51% 93 69 2% 30% 43% 22% 4% <1% <1%
32 of 65 49% 92 70 <1% 18% 45% 28% 7% 1% <1%
31 of 65 48% 91 71 <1% 10% 43% 29% 15% 2% <1%
30 of 65 46% 90 72 <1% 4% 37% 28% 23% 7% 1%
29 of 65 45% 89 73 <1% 2% 27% 23% 30% 15% 3%
28 of 65 43% 88 74 <1% <1% 18% 15% 34% 23% 9%
27 of 65 42% 87 75 <1% <1% 12% 8% 28% 32% 20%
26 of 65 40% 86 76 <1% <1% 6% 3% 19% 33% 38%
25 of 65 38% 85 77 <1% <1% 3% 1% 10% 27% 59%
24 of 65 37% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 4% 16% 79%
23 of 65 35% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
20 of 65 31% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 65 15% 70 92 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 65 0% 60 102 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs